1.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
2.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
3.The etiology and treatment of craniopharyngioma with aneurysm
Mengqing HU ; Fangjun LIU ; Zhongqing ZHOU ; Yuming SUN ; Hai QIAN ; Ting LEI ; Xin XIANG ; Xiang′en SHI
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2022;45(8):689-695
Objective:To explore the etiology and treatment of craniopharyngioma with aneurysm.Methods:Seven cases of craniopharyngioma with aneurysm from March 2014 to October 2019 treated in Sanbo Brain Hospital, Capital Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. Among the 7 patients, there were 5 males and 2 females. There were 4 cases of recurrent craniopharyngiomas, 1 case of primary tumor and 2 cases of non-recurrence tumor. Three patients with blood blister-like aneurysms were treated with microsurgical suture after craniopharyngioma resection. Among the three cases with internal carotid artery fusiform aneurysm, 1 case underwent craniopharyngioma resection after internal maxillary artery-radial artery-middle cerebral artery bypass and isolation of the aneurysm; 1 case only underwent internal maxillary artery-radial artery-middle cerebral artery bypass and isolation of the aneurysm for non-recurrence tumor; 1 case underwent craniopharyngioma resection and dynamic observation of aneurysm. One case with a cystic aneurysm of the middle cerebral artery was clipped and the craniopharyngioma did not relapse.Results:All patients had no serious postoperative complications. During the follow-up period, there was no recurrence of craniopharyngioma, no recurrence of treated aneurysms, and the stability of aneurysms was observed.Conclusions:Inflammatory stimulation of craniopharyngioma cystic fluid and operation itself are the important reasons for the occurrence of aneurysms after craniopharyngioma surgery. Choosing appropriate surgical methods can complete the removal of craniopharyngioma and the treatment of aneurysms at one time.
4.Acute kidney injury in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a single-center retrospective observational study.
Guanhua XIAO ; Hongbin HU ; Feng WU ; Tong SHA ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Qiaobing HUANG ; Haijun LI ; Jiafa HAN ; Wenhong SONG ; Zhongqing CHEN ; Shumin CAI
Journal of Southern Medical University 2021;41(2):157-163
OBJECTIVE:
To assess the predictors and outcomes of acute kidney injury (AKI) among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).
OBJECTIVE:
This retrospective observational study was conducted among patients with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 admitted to Hankou Hospital between January, 5 and March 8, 2020. We evaluated the association of AKI with the demographic and biochemical parameters and clinical outcomes of the patients using univariate regression analysis.
OBJECTIVE:
Atotal of 287 COVID-19 patients, including 55 with AKI and 232 without AKI, were included in the analysis. Compared with the patients without AKI, the patients with AKI were older, predominantly male, and were more likely to have hypoxia and pre-existing hypertension and cerebrovascular diseases. The patients with AKI also had higher levels of white blood cells, D-dimer, aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, creatine kinase, lactate dehydrogenase, procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, a higher prevalence of hyperkalemia, lower lymphocyte counts, and higher chest computed tomographic scores. The incidence of stage 1 AKI was 14.3% and that of stage 2 or 3 AKI was 4.9%. The patients with AKI had much higher mortality rate than those without AKI.
OBJECTIVE
AKI is an important complication of COVID-19. An older age, a male gender, multiple pre- existing comorbidities, lymphopenia, increased infection indicators, elevated D-dimer, and impaired heart and liver functions are all potential risk factors ofAKI. COVID- 19 patients with AKI that progresses into stages 2 or 3 AKI have a high mortality rate. Prevention of AKI and monitoring kidney function is critical in the care of COVID-19 patients.
Acute Kidney Injury/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
COVID-19
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Retrospective Studies
;
SARS-CoV-2
5.Clinical characteristics and outcomes of adult critically ill patients with COVID-19 in Honghu, Hubei Province.
Jiayin LU ; Yuan ZHANG ; Gong CHENG ; Jin HE ; Feng WU ; Hongbin HU ; Tong SHA ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2020;40(6):778-785
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the clinical characteristics and outcomes of adult critically ill patients with COVID-19 and identify the risk factors correlated with in-hospital deaths.
METHODS:
This study was conducted among 20 confirmed adult cases of COVID-19 in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of Honghu People's Hospital in Jingzhou City, Hubei Province. According to the final outcome, the patients were divided into survivor group and death group with 10 patients each. The demographic data, clinical manifestations and signs, laboratory findings, treatment measures and clinical outcomes were obtained from electronic medical records to compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes between the two groups. Univariate logistic analysis was used to analyze the risk factors associated with in-hospital death.
RESULTS:
The mean age of patients with confirmed COVID-19 was 70 ± 12 years, and 40% of them were male. The patients were admitted to ICU 11 ± 9 days after symptom onset. The most common symptoms on admission were cough (19 cases), fatigue or myalgia (18 cases), fever (17 cases) and dyspnea (16 cases). Eleven (55%) of the patients had underlying diseases, among which hypertension was the most common (11 cases), followed by cardiovascular disease (4 cases) and diabetes (3 cases). Six (30%) of the patients received invasive mechanical ventilation and continued renal replacement therapy but eventually died. Acute cardiac injury was the most common complication (19 cases). Half of the patients died between the 2nd and 19th day after ICU admission. Compared with dead patients, the surviving patients had a lower average body weight (61.70±2.36 68.60±7.15 kg, =0.01) and a higher Glasgow Coma Index (14.69 ± 0.70 12.70 ± 2.45, =0.03), and were less likely to develop shock (2 10, =0.001) or acute respiratory distress syndrome (2 10, =0.001).
CONCLUSIONS
Critically ill patients with COVID-19 are generally older. A higher body weight and a lower lymphocyte count are potentially associated with a greater likeliness of fatality in ICU patients with COVID-19.
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Betacoronavirus
;
Coronavirus Infections
;
Critical Illness
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Pandemics
;
Pneumonia, Viral
;
Retrospective Studies
6.Median effective plasma concentration of remifentanil inhibiting cardiovascular response to CO2 pneumoperitoneum stimulus when combined with propofol in patients undergoing laparoscopic gynaecological surgery
Chunhong LIU ; Liqun YIN ; Xiaxi LIU ; Qingbo HU ; Zhongqing WANG
The Journal of Clinical Anesthesiology 2019;35(1):26-28
Objective To determine the median effective plasma concentration (Cp50) of remifentanil inhibiting cardiovascular response to CO2 pneumoperitoneum stimulus when combined with propofol in patients undergoing laparoscopic gynaecological surgery.Methods Twenty-two female patients scheduled for elective laparoscopic gynaecological surgery under general anesthesia, aged20-60 years, with a BMI 18-30 kg/m2, falling into ASA physical statusⅠ orⅡ, were enrolled in this study.Anesthesia was induced with propofol and remifentanil target-controlled infusion and iv injection of rocuronium 0.6 mg/kg.The target plasma concentration (Cp) of remifentanil and propofol were set at 5 ng/ml and 4μg/ml respectively.3 minutes after endotracheal intubation, the Cp of remifentanil was adjusted.The target Cp was set at 6 ng/ml in the first patient.CO2 pneumoperitoneum was performed after the target effect-site concentration and Cp were balanced.Each time Cp increased/decreased by 20%in the next patient depending on whether or not the cardiovascular response to CO2 pneumoperitoneum occurred.The positive cardiovascular response was defined as HR and/or MAP increasing by 20% within 3 minutes after CO2 pneumoperitoneum.The Cp50 and 95% confidence interval (CI) of remifentanil required to inhibit cardiovascular response to CO2 pneumoperitoneum stimulus when combined with propofol in patients undergoing laparoscopic gynaecological surgery were calculated.Results The Cp50 (95% CI) of remifentanil required to inhibit cardiovascular response to CO2 pneumoperitoneum stimulus was 4.58 (4.14-5.08) ng/ml when combined with propofol in patients undergoing laparoscopic gynaecological surgery.Conclusion The Cp50 of remifentanil required to inhibit cardiovascular response to CO2 pneumoperitoneum stimulus was 4.58 ng/ml when combined with propofol in patients undergoing laparoscopic gynaecological surgery.
7.Comparison of temporary occlusion of abdominal aorta, temporary occlusion of common iliac artery and internal iliac artery ligation in the treatment of complex acetabular fracture
Zhengbo HU ; Yongjun SHAO ; Zhongqing ZHAO ; Aidong YUAN ; Heng ZHANG ; Zhinian ZHONG ; Zhengyan HE ; Wenhu LI
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2019;21(2):144-152
Objective To compare the effectiveness of controlling blood loss in the treatment of complex acetabular fracture between temporary occlusion of abdominal aorta by interventional balloon (TOAAIB),temporary occlusion of common iliac artery by interventional balloon (TOCAIIB) and internal iliac artery ligation (IIAL).Methods Included for this study were 113 complex acetabular fractures which had been treated at Department of Orthopaedic Trauma,Shaoguang Hospital Affiliated to Southern Medical University from January 2000 through January 2017.There were 68 males and 45 females,aged from 23 to 61 years (average,42.3 years).According to the Letournel classification,all of them belonged to complex fractures,including 10 T-type,24 double-column,16 posterior column & posterior wall,46 transverse & posterior wall and 15 anterior & posterior half-transverse ones.They were all treated by open reduction and internal fixation but differed in surgical hemostasis techniques:TOAAIB was used in 37cases,TOCAIIB in 31 and IIAL in 45.Fracture reduction was evaluated by Matta criteria.Intraoperative bleeding and postoperative wound drainage,fracture union and complications related to interventions were recorded.Hip function was evaluated by Modified d'Aubigne & Postal clinical grading system after fracture healing.Results The 3 groups (TOAAIB,TOCAIIB and IIAL) were comparable because there were no significant differences in gender,age,time from injury to surgery,Letournel classification or surgical approaches between the patients in the 3 groups (P > 0.05).Anatomical reduction was achieved in 91.15% of the patients (103/113) and satisfactory reduction in 8.85% (10/113).Intraoperative hemorrhage was 1,631.5 ±675.5 mL in the HAL group,892.6 ±217.7 mL in the TOCAIIB group and 648.0 ± 170.2 mL in the TOAAIB group,showing significant differences between the 3 groups (P < 0.05).One case of femoral artery thrombosis occurred in the TOAAIB group at the end of operation but was cured by symptomatic treatment of anticoagulation.There were no interventional complications in the other 2 groups.There were no significant differences between the 3 groups in postoperative wound drainage,fracture union time,hip function score or complications (P > 0.05).Conclusions In controlling intraoperative bleeding in the surgery for complex acetabular fracture,TOAAIB may be the best,followed by TOCAIIB,and IIAL may be the worst.However,choice of a proper surgical hemostasis technique should also depend on the specific intraoperative condition of a specific patient.
8.A retrospective review of 46 cases of chronic invasive fungal rhinosinusitis
Huimin XU ; Linghong ZHOU ; Qian LI ; Yuekai HU ; Haoxiang ZHU ; Yanli QIN ; Zhongqing CHEN ; Xuan WANG ; Liping ZHU
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2017;35(9):537-540
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics of chronic invasive fungal rhinosinusitis.Methods Clinical features and outcomes of 46 proven cases of chronic invasive fungal rhinosinusitis admitted in Huashan Hospital,Fudan University from January 2009 to December 2016 were retrospectively reviewed.Results Of the 46 patients enrolled,left sphenoid sinus,ethmoid sinus and maxillary sinus were affected in 24,23 and 20 cases,respectively,while right maxillary sinus,ethmoid sinus and sphenoid sinus were affected in 18,16 and 15 eases,respectively.Left and right frontal sinus were affected in 9 and 6 cases,respectively.The central nervous system and orbit were the most commonly affected sites in external nasal involvements,noted in 22 cases respectively.Left sphenoid (17 cases) and ethmoid sinus (15 cases) involvements were most common in central nervous system affected patients.Left sphenoid (14 cases) and ethmoid sinus (13 cases) involvements were most common in orbit affected patients.Aspergillus species were the primary pathogens observed in 42 eases.Zygomycete,candida and dark filamentous fungus were observed in two,one and one case,respectively.Pathologically,37 of the cases were chronic nongranulomatous type and the left 9 were chronic granulomatous type who were all immunocompetent hosts.The initial symptoms usually included headache,dizziness and nasal discomforts including nasal obstruction and purulent secretion.The chief complaints usually included headache,dizziness,and visual disturbances including blurred vision,vision loss or even blindness.Antifungal treatment combined with surgical interventions for removal or drainage focus lesions achieved significant effect,and 42 patients were cured.Conclusions Chronic invasive fungal rhinosinusitis should be taken into consideration in the presence of nasal discomforts or nonspecific symptoms such as headache and dizziness.The possibility of chronic invasive fungal rhinosinusitis should be cautious after the emergence of vision abnormalities.
9.Etiologic Analysis of Rotavirus Infection in Adults with Acute Gastroenteritis in Shanghai Changning District from 2010 to 2013
Zhongqing XU ; Silan SHEN ; Fangxing QIAN ; Shaoqin ZHU ; Wanju ZHANG ; Yunwen HU ; Xiangjun MENG
Chinese Journal of Gastroenterology 2016;(1):6-11
Background:Acute gastroenteritis is the second largest public health problem in the world. Rotavirus(RV)is one of the pathogens of acute gastroenteritis in adults,researches focusing on RV infection may provide the basis for prevention and control of the disease. Aims:To determine the epidemiological characteristics of RV infection in adults with acute gastroenteritis in Shanghai,China. Methods:From Jun. 2010 to Dec. 2013,stool samples and clinical data in adults with acute gastroenteritis in a designated hospital in Shanghai Changning District were collected. ELISA and PCR were used to detect RV infection and its genotypes. Results:A total of 1 554 eligible stool samples from acute gastroenteritis patients were recruited,of them 691 were males and 863 were females,the mean age was(46. 19 ± 15. 59)years old. RV was detected in 189 patients with a detection rate of 12. 2% ,163(10. 5% )were categorized as group A RV and 26(1. 7% ) were group B/ C RV;the most common genotypes in group A RV were G9(30. 1% )and G1(25. 2% ). Watery stool and vomiting were more prevalent in RV-positive patients than in RV-negative patients(P < 0. 05). The detection rates in years 2010,2011,2012 and 2013 were 12. 2% ,14. 9% ,6. 8% and 16. 3% ,respectively. When analyzed by age group,the detection rate was significantly lower in 18-39 years group than those in 40-59,60-79,and ≥80 years groups(8. 7% vs. 14. 8% ,14. 2% ,and 17. 1% ,P < 0. 05). The peak of epidemic was from Nov. to next Feb. Conclusions:RV infection in adults with acute gastroenteritis is more popular in middle aged and elderly people and shows a winter seasonality in Shanghai,China. The most common genotypes of group A RV are G9 and G1.
10.The epidemiology of adults acute viral gastroenteritis in Shanghai Changning district from 2010 ;to 2013
Zhongqing XU ; Jianjun CHEN ; Shaoqin ZHU ; Wanju ZHANG ; Yunwen HU ; Fangxing QIAN
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2016;39(5):419-424
Objective To investigate the epidemiology of adults acute viral gastroenteritis in Shanghai Changning district. Methods All of 1 554 stool specimens of adults acute gastroenteritis in Shanghai Changning district from June 2010 to December 2013, and the enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and multiple polymerase chain reaction was used to detecte different viruses. Results In all of 1 554 cases, the average age was (46.19 ± 15.59) years. Among them, 691 persons were male, 863 persons were female. Virus infection was detected in 407 cases, and the detection rate was 26.19%. Among them, 395 cases (97.05%) were single virus infection, and 12 cases (2.95%) were mixed infection. The peak of epidemic was from every November to next February. The incidence of watery diarrhea, vomiting and fever in virus positive group was significantly higher than that in virus negative group:95.09%(387/407) vs. 88.14%(1 011/1 147), 31.20%(127/407) vs. 18.83%(216/1 147), and 11.06%(45/407) vs. 7.59%(87/1147), P<0.01 or<0.05. Conclusions Rotavirus infection is common in adults with acute viral gastroenteritis. Patients with positive virus infection had a higher incidence of watery diarrhea, vomiting and fever. The peak of epidemic is winter.

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