1.Curvilinear model analysis between reference values of Chinese newborn boys' hemoglobin and altitude
Xiaoyan CHEN ; Yaomin LIANG ; Shumin YIN ; Zhongjie REN ; Xinyan LI ; Miao GE
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 1982;0(01):-
Objective To supply a scientific basis for laying out a unified standard of reference value of Chinese newborn boys' hemoglobin. Methods After the reference values of 5169 Chinese healthy newborn boys' hemoglobin tested in 78 areas were collected, a research was made on the relationship between the reference value of Chinese newborn boys' hemoglobin and altitude by using curvilinear regression analysis. Results As the altitude gradually increased, the reference value of Chinese newborn boys' hemoglobin gradually increased by index law, with significant correlation (R=0.601, F=43.05, P= 0.0000). One curvilinear regression model was given out: =176.9e 0.00008662x?25.3. Conclusion If altitude of a particular area is known, the reference value of Chinese newborn boys' hemoglobin in this area can be established by using regression model. According to the correlation between Chinese newborn boys' hemoglobin and altitude, China can be divided into three regions: Qinghai-Tibet Region, Central Region, Eastern Region.
2.Study on acid-base disturbance in patients with post-traumatic multiple organ dysfunction syndrome.
Chengshan REN ; Guisheng QIAN ; Zhongjie GUO ; Quanjie GAO ; Songhua YANG ; Haihua LU ; Baoling MAO
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2000;3(2):107-110
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the classification and incidence of acid-base disturbance (ABD) in the patients with post-traumatic multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). METHODS: A total of 119 patients with MODS were examined with arterial blood gas analysis and serum electrolytes detection for 675 times in this study. RESULTS: Different types of ABD existed in 647 times out of 675 times (95.9%) of blood-gas analyses. There were 270 times (41.7%) of simple ABD, 271 times (41.9%) of double ABD and 106 times (16.4%) of triple ABD. Among which, 404 times (62.4%) were in respiratory alkalosis (RAL), 332 times (51.3%) in metabolic acidosis (MA), 227 times (35.1%) in metabolic alkalosis (MAL) and 167 times (25.8%) in respiratory acidosis (RA). In this study, 79 cases (66.4%) out of 119 cases with MODS died from these kinds of ABD. CONCLUSIONS: It suggests that in the early stage of MODS, RAL with or without hypoxemia may exist, and later on, MA or even triple ABD may occur. In order to detect and correct the primary disorders as early as possible, it is important to keep the balance of hydrolyte. The treatment of primary diseases is also important. Disorders of acid-base balance were corrected according to pH standard values, anion gap (AG) and the potential [HCO(3)(-)] were also calculated simultaneously. When pH was more than 7.50 or lower than 7.20, it is necessary to give drugs of acidity or alkalinity to the patients with ABD to maintain pH value within a normal range.
3.Epidemiological characteristics of fatal cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease in children under 5 years old in China, 2008-2018
Jinzhao CUI ; Taoran NIE ; Minrui REN ; Fengfeng LIU ; Yu LI ; Liping WANG ; Jibin TAN ; Zhaorui CHANG ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(7):1041-1046
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics and risk factors of fatal cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in children under 5 years old in China from 2008 to 2018, and provide evidence for the development of targeted prevention and control measures and reduction of the incidence of fatal HFMD cases.Methods:The incidence data of reported HFMD cases in China during 2008-2018 were collected from the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance Reporting System of China for the analyses on the demographic characteristics, spatial distribution, diagnosis or reporting and pathogen spectrum of the HFMD cases. Then the risk factors causing deaths were analyzed by using logistic regression model.Results:From 2008 to 2018, a total of 3 646 fatal cases of HFMD in children under 5 years old were reported in China. There were more fatal HFMD cases in boys than in girls (1.82∶1), the death mainly occurred in age group 0 to 2 years (87.71%). Adjusted mortality rate of HFMD in children under 5 years old in China declined from 0.87 per 100 000 in 2010 to 0.11 per 100 000 in 2018 (APC=-23.20%). In the 2 523 laboratory-confirmed deaths, 2 323 (92.07%) were EV-A71 infections, but the constituents of CV-A16 and other enterovirus infections increased. The interval from onset to diagnosis M=2( P25-P75:2 -4)d. The interval from onset to death M=3( P25-P75:2 -4)d. Age between 0 and 1 years, EV-A71 infection, longer interval between onset and diagnosis, and living in rural area were the risk factors causing fatal HFMD cases. Conclusions:The number of the fatal cases, the rate of mortality and case fatality HFMD in China had shown downward trends since 2010. EV-A71 is still the main pathogen causing fatal cases, but we should pay more attention to gene pattern of the other enteroviruses except EV-A71 and CV-A16. To reduce the risk of the fatal cases we should strengthen the health education about the immunization of EV-A71 inactivated vaccines and reduce the interval from onset to diagnosis in young children in western provinces and rural areas.
4.Analysis of effect on infectious diseases outbreak detection performance by classifying provinces for moving percentile method.
Honglong ZHANG ; Qiao SUN ; Shengjie LAI ; Xiang REN ; Dinglun ZHOU ; Xianfei YE ; Lingjia ZENG ; Jianxing YU ; Liping WANG ; Hongjie YU ; Zhongjie LI ; Wei LYU ; Yajia LAN ; Weizhong YANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2014;48(4):265-269
OBJECTIVEProviding evidences for further modification of China Infectious Diseases Automated-alert and Response System (CIDARS) via analyzing the outbreak detection performance of Moving Percentile Method (MPM) by optimizing thresholds in different provinces.
METHODSWe collected the amount of MPM signals, response results of signals in CIDARS, cases data in nationwide Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting Information System, and outbreaks data in Public Health Emergency Reporting System of 16 infectious diseases in 31 provinces in Chinese mainland from January 2011 to October 2013. The threshold with the optimal sensitivity, the shortest time to detect outbreak and the least number of signals was considered as the best threshold of each disease in Chinese mainland and in each province.
RESULTSAmong all the 16 diseases, the optimal thresholds of 10 diseases, including dysentery, dengue, hepatitis A, typhoid and paratyphoid, meningococcal meningitis, Japanese encephalitis, scarlet fever, leptospirosis, hepatitis, typhus in country level were the 90(th) percentile (P90), which was the same as provincial level for those diseases.For the other 6 diseases, including other infectious diarrhea, influenza, acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis, mumps, rubella and epidemic hemorrhagic fever, the nationwide optimal thresholds were the 80th percentile (P80), which was different from that by provinces for each disease. For these 6 diseases, the number of signals generated by MPM with the optimal threshold for each province was decreased by 23.71% (45 557), 15.59% (6 124), 14.07% (1 870), 9.44% (13 881), 8.65% (1 294) and 6.03% (313) respectively, comparing to the national optimal threshold, while the sensitivity and time to detection of CIDARS were still the same.
CONCLUSIONOptimizing the threshold by different diseases and provinces for MPM in CIDARS could reduce the number of signals while maintaining the same sensitivity and time to detection.
China ; Communicable Diseases ; Disease Notification ; Disease Outbreaks ; prevention & control ; Humans ; Population Surveillance ; methods
5.Comparing the performance of temporal model and temporal-spatial model for outbreak detection in China Infectious Diseases Automated-alert and Response System, 2011-2013, China.
Shengjie LAI ; Yilan LIAO ; Honglong ZHANG ; Xiaozhou LI ; Xiang REN ; Fu LI ; Jianxing YU ; Liping WANG ; Hongjie YU ; Yajia LAN ; Zhongjie LI ; Jinfeng WANG ; Weizhong YANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2014;48(4):259-264
OBJECTIVEFor providing evidences for further modification of China Infectious Diseases Automated-alert and Response System (CIDARS) by comparing the early-warning performance of the temporal model and temporal-spatial model in CIDARS.
METHODSThe application performance for outbreak detection of temporal model and temporal-spatial model simultaneously running among 208 pilot counties in 20 provinces from 2011 to 2013 was compared; the 16 infectious diseases were divided into two classes according to the disease incidence level; cases data in nationwide Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting Information System was combined with outbreaks reported to Public Health Emergency Reporting System, by adopting the index of the number of signals, sensitivity, false alarm rate and time for detection.
RESULTSThe overall sensitivity of temporal model and temporal-spatial model for 16 diseases was 96.23% (153/159) and 90.57% (144/159) respectively, without significant difference (Z = -1.604, P = 0.109), and the false alarm rate of temporal model (1.57%, 57 068/3 643 279) was significantly higher than that of temporal-spatial model (0.64%, 23 341/3 643 279) (Z = -3.408, P = 0.001), while the median time for detection of these two models was not significantly different, which was 3.0 days and 1.0 day respectively (Z = -1.334, P = 0.182).For 6 diseases of type I which represent the lower incidence, including epidemic hemorrhagic fever,Japanese encephalitis, dengue, meningococcal meningitis, typhus, leptospirosis, the sensitivity was 100% for both models (8/8, 8/8), and the false alarm rate of both temporal model and temporal-spatial model was 0.07% (954/1 367 437, 900/1 367 437), with the median time for detection being 2.5 days and 3.0 days respectively. The number of signals generated by temporal-spatial model was reduced by 2.29% compared with that of temporal model.For 10 diseases of type II which represent the higher incidence, including mumps, dysentery, scarlet fever, influenza, rubella, hepatitis E, acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis, hepatitis A, typhoid and paratyphoid, and other infectious diarrhea, the sensitivity of temporal model was 96.03% (145/151), and the sensitivity of temporal-spatial model was 90.07% (136/151), the number of signals generated by temporal-spatial model was reduced by 59.36% compared with that of temporal model. Compared to temporal model, temporal-spatial model reduced both the number of signals and the false alarm rate of all the type II diseases;and the median of outbreak detection time of temporal model and temporal-spatial model was 3.0 days and 1.0 day, respectively.
CONCLUSIONOverall, the temporal-spatial model had better outbreak detection performance, but the performance of two different models varies for infectious diseases with different incidence levels, and the adjustment and optimization of the temporal model and temporal-spatial model should be conducted according to specific infectious disease in CIDARS.
China ; Communicable Diseases ; Disease Notification ; Disease Outbreaks ; prevention & control ; Humans ; Models, Theoretical ; Population Surveillance ; methods ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis
6.The implement performance of China Infectious Diseases Automated-alert and Response System in 2011-2013.
Zhongjie LI ; Jiaqi MA ; Shengjie LAI ; Honglong ZHANG ; Xiang REN ; Lingjia ZENG ; Jianxing YU ; Liping WANG ; Lianmei JIN ; Hongjie YU ; Jinfeng WANG ; Yajia LAN ; Weizhong YANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2014;48(4):252-258
OBJECTIVETo analyze the implement performance of China Infectious Diseases Automated-alert and Response System (CIDARS) of 31 provinces in mainland China, and to provide the evidences for further promoting the application and improvement of this system.
METHODSThe amount of signals, response situation and verification outcome of signals related to 32 infectious diseases of 31 provinces in mainland China in CIDARS were investigated from 2011 to 2013, the changes by year on the proportion of responded signals and timeliness of signal response were descriptively analyzed.
RESULTSA total of 960 831 signals were generated nationwide on 32 kinds of infectious diseases in the system, with 98.87% signals (949 936) being responded, and the median (the 25(th) percentile to the 75(th) percentile (P25-P75) ) of time to response was 1.0 (0.4-3.3) h. Among all the signals, 242 355 signals were generated by the fixed-value detection method, the proportion of responded signals was 96.37% (62 349/64 703), 98.75% (68 413/69 282) and 99.37% (107 690/108 370), respectively, and the median (P25-P75) of time to response was 1.3 (0.3-9.7), 0.8(0.2-4.9) and 0.7 (0.2-4.2) h, respectively. After the preliminary data verification, field investigation and laboratory test by local public health staffs, 100 232 cases (41.36%) were finally confirmed.In addition, 718 476 signals were generated by the temporal aberration detection methods, and the average amount of signal per county per week throughout the country were 1.53, and 8 155 signals (1.14%) were verified as suspected outbreaks. During these 3 years, the proportion of signal response was 98.89% (231 149/233 746), 98.90% (254 182/257 015) and 99.31% (226 153/227 715), respectively, and the median (P25-P75) of time to response was 1.1 (0.5-3.3), 1.0 (0.5-2.9) and 1.0 (0.5-2.6) h, respectively.
CONCLUSIONFrom 2011 to 2013, the proportion of responded signals and response timeliness of CIDARS maintained a rather high level, and further presented an increasing trend year by year. But the proportion of signals related to suspected outbreaks should be improved.
China ; Communicable Diseases ; Disease Notification ; Disease Outbreaks ; prevention & control ; Humans ; Population Surveillance ; methods
7.Analysis of morbidity and mortality characteristics of the notifiable diseases reported in 2013 in China
Liping WANG ; Lingjia ZENG ; Xiang REN ; Mengjie GENG ; Zhongjie LI ; Hongjie YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2015;36(3):194-198
Objective To learn the characteristics of morbidity and mortality of notifiable diseases reported in China in 2013.Methods Descriptive analysis method was used to analyze the morbidity and mortality of notifiable diseases in China in 2013,with Microsoft Excel 2010 and ArcGIS 10.0 used to develop statistical charts.Results In 2013,the morbidity of the nationwide notifiable diseases was 473.87/100 000,a decrease of 3% below the average of the recent 3 years,while the mortality was 1.23/100 000,an increase of 2% over the average of the recent 3 years.The rate of laboratory diagnosis of the reported cases was 38.4%.Top 5 diseases of the reported incidence were hand foot and mouth disease,other infectious diarrhea,hepatitis B,tuberculosis and syphilis.The death cases reported were mainly AIDS,tuberculosis and rabies.As classified by the transmission route analysis,intestinal infectious diseases accounted for 49% of the total incidence reported for the year,followed by the blood and sexually transmitted infectious diseases,respiratory infectious diseases,animal and vector borne infectious diseases.According to the pathogenic analysis,virus infectious diseases accounted for 68% of the total cases,higher than bacterial infectious diseases and animal-borne/vector-borne infectious diseases.In Shanghai,Zhejiang and Jiangsu,human infection with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus was emerging,as epidemic situation of measles,dengue fever and brucellosis were on the rise significantly nationwide,while the morbidity of infectious diseases decreased,namely pulmonary tuberculosis,hepatitis B among others.Morbidity of the top 5 provinces for notifiable infectious diseases were Hainan,Guangxi,Guangdong,Xinjiang and Zhejiang,respectively.Conclusion The proportion of laboratory confirmed cases among totals was still low in 2013.The morbidity of the infectious diseases was higher in western provinces and parts of south-eastern province,the mortality was higher in westem provinces.The emerging human infection with avian influenza A (H7N9) virus,and the high epidemic of measles,dengue fever and brucellosis in some areas had caught the society concerns.
8.Viral etiologies of hospitalized pneumonia patients aged less than five years in six provinces, 2009-2012
Luzhao FENG ; Shengjie LAI ; Fu LI ; Xianfei YE ; Sa LI ; Xiang REN ; Honglong ZHANG ; Zhongjie LI ; Hongjie YU ; Weizhong YANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2014;(6):646-649
Objective To analyze the viral etiologies of hospitalized pneumonia patients aged less than five years in six provinces during 2009-2012,and to describe the seasonality of the detected viral etiologies. Methods Eight hospitals were selected in six provinces from a national acute respiratory infection surveillance network. Demographic information,clinical history and physical examination,and laboratory testing results of the enrolled hospitalized patients aged less than five years with pneumonia,including respiratory syncytial virus (RSV),human influenza virus, adenoviruses(ADV),human parainfluenza virus(PIV),human metapneumovirus(hMPV),human coronavirus(hCoV)and human bocavirus(hBoV)were analyzed. The viral etiology spectrum of the enrolled patients was analyzed by age-group,year,and seasonality of the detected viral etiologies were described. Results 4 508 hospitalized children less than five years old,with pneumonia from 8 hospitals were included,and 2 688(59.6%)patients were positive for at least one viral etiology. The most frequent detected virus was RSV(21.3%),followed by PIV(7.1%)and influenza(5.2%),hBoV (3.8%),ADV(3.6%)and hMPV(2.6%). The lowest positive rates in hCoV(1.1%). RSV,influenza, PIV,hBoV and hMPV all showed the nature of seasonality. Conclusion RSV was a most common viral etiology in the hospitalized young children less than 5 years of age with pneumonia. Prevention measures should be conducted to decrease its severe impact to the young infants and children in China.
9.Analysis on duplicated reporting of brucellosis in China, 2005-2017
Shuaibing DONG ; Yanfei LI ; Hai JIANG ; Cuihong ZHANG ; Mengguang FAN ; Yuexi LI ; Xiang REN ; Mengjie GENG ; Zhongjie LI ; Liping WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(3):389-394
Objective:To analyze the current status of duplicated reporting of brucellosis in China during 2005-2017, to understand the impact of duplicated reporting on the incidence of brucellosis, analyze the possible causes of duplicated reporting, and put forward propose solutions to further improve the brucellosis surveillance data quality.Methods:Data were from brucellosis case reporting cards in National Notifiable Disease Report System (NNDRS), Excel 2010 software was used to establish the database, the duplicated reporting was identified by using Spark DataFrame aggregation analysis in Python 3.2.Results:During 2005-2017, a total of 499 577 cases of brucellosis were reported, but the duplicated reporting rate was 75.76/10 000 (3 785/499 577). The duplicated reporting rate in same year was 37.21/10 000 (1 859/499 577), the duplicated reporting rate in other year was 39.87/10 000 (1 992/499 577) and the overall duplicated reporting rate increased year by year. The duplicated reporting rate in same institution was 33.59 % (1 271/3 785) and the duplicated reporting rate by other institutions was 66.41 % (2 514/3 785). Hospitals had the highest number of duplicated reporting (2 757), and community healthcare centers had the highest of duplicated reporting rate (281.27/10 000) (123/4 373). The reported incidence of brucellosis was 2.926 4/100 000 in 2017, the corrected incidence was 2.844 8/100 000 after removing the duplicated reporting, which was the maximum decrease from 2005 to 2017, the corrected incidence decreased by 2.79 %. From 2005 to 2017, the average reported incidence of brucellosis in Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region was 14.712 0/100 000, and the corrected incidence was 14.060 0/100 000 after removing the duplicate reporting, with a decrease by 4.43 %, the biggest decline in China. The average reported incidence of brucellosis in Ningxia Hui autonomous region was 13.987 1/100 000, and the corrected incidence of brucellosis was 13.662 2/100 000, with a decrease of 2.32 %, ranking second in China. The reasons for duplicated reporting of brucellosis included repeated medical care seeking in same or different medical institutions in same year or other year, including the repeated medical care seeking in other areas. Conclusions:During 2005-2017, the number of duplicated reporting of brucellosis cases was on the rise in China. Hospital and community health service centers had highest case number and rate of duplicate reporting respectively, the duplicated reporting was mainly caused by re-reporting by other institutions or in other years. The duplicated reporting of brucellosis had greatly affected the accuracy of surveillance data of brucellosis in some provinces, such as Xinjiang and Ningxia. It is recommended to further strengthen brucellosis reporting management, improve data quality of NNDRS.
10.Progress in research of specific antibody dynamic characteristics in patients with COVID-19
Hongting ZHAO ; Zhibin PENG ; Xiaokun YANG ; Zhili LI ; Minrui REN ; Ying QIN ; Xiaojin SUN ; Jianxing YU ; Zhijie AN ; Naiying MAO ; Wenbo XU ; Zhongjie LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(1):39-43
COVID-19 is an emerging infectious disease caused by SARS-CoV-2. After the infection of the virus, the host immune system is stimulated to produce multifarious specific antibodies to decrease or eliminate effects of the pathogen. Study of the specific antibodies dynamic characteristics in patients with COVID-19 is very important for the understanding and diagnosis of the disease, research and development of vaccine, and planning of prevention and control strategy. This paper reviews and summarizes the domestic and oversea research on dynamic characteristics of specific antibodies of COVID-19 patients, including the antibody producing, duration and level, and its possible influencing factors in order to improve the understanding of the immunological characteristics of COVID-19.