1.Formulation of combined predictive indicators using logistic regression model in predicting sepsis and prognosis
Liwei DUAN ; Sheng ZHANG ; Zhaofen LIN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2017;29(2):139-144
Objective To explore the method and performance of using multiple indices to diagnose sepsis and to predict the prognosis of severe ill patients.Methods Critically ill patients at first admission to intensive care unit (ICU) of Changzheng Hospital, Second Military Medical University, from January 2014 to September 2015 were enrolled if the following conditions were satisfied: ① patients were 18-75 years old;② the length of ICU stay was more than 24 hours; ③ All records of the patients were available. Data of the patients was collected by searching the electronic medical record system. Logistic regression model was formulated to create the new combined predictive indicator and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the new predictive indicator was built. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for both the new indicator and original ones were compared. The optimal cut-off point was obtained where the Youden index reached the maximum value. Diagnostic parameters such as sensitivity, specificity and predictive accuracy were also calculated for comparison. Finally, individual values were substituted into the equation to test the performance in predicting clinical outcomes.Results A total of 362 patients (218 males and 144 females) were enrolled in our study and 66 patients died. The average age was (48.3±19.3) years old. ① For the predictive model only containing categorical covariants [including procalcitonin (PCT), lipopolysaccharide (LPS), infection, white blood cells count (WBC) and fever], increased PCT, increased WBC and fever were demonstrated to be independent risk factors for sepsis in the logistic equation. The AUC for the new combined predictive indicator was higher than that of any other indictor, including PCT, LPS, infection, WBC and fever (0.930 vs. 0.661, 0.503, 0.570, 0.837, 0.800). The optimal cut-off value for the new combined predictive indicator was 0.518. Using the new indicator to diagnose sepsis, the sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic accuracy rate were 78.00%, 93.36% and 87.47%, respectively. One patient was randomly selected, and the clinical data was substituted into the probability equation for prediction. The calculated value was 0.015, which was less than the cut-off value (0.518), indicating that the prognosis was non-sepsis at an accuracy of 87.47%. ② For the predictive model only containing continuous covariants, the logistic model which combined acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score to predict in-hospital death events, both APACHE Ⅱ score and SOFA score were independent risk factors for death. The AUC for the new predictive indicator was higher than that of APACHE Ⅱ score and SOFA score (0.834 vs. 0.812, 0.813). The optimal cut-off value for the new combined predictive indicator in predicting in-hospital death events was 0.236, and the corresponding sensitivity, specificity and diagnostic accuracy for the combined predictive indicator were 73.12%, 76.51% and 75.70%, respectively. One patient was randomly selected, and the APACHE Ⅱscore and SOFA score was substituted into the probability equation for prediction. The calculated value was 0.570, which was higher than the cut-off value (0.236), indicating that the death prognosis at an accuracy of 75.70%.Conclusion The combined predictive indicator, which is formulated by logistic regression models, is superior toany single indicator in predicting sepsis or in-hospital death events.
2.Advances in rabbit models of cardiac arrest-cardiopulmonary resuscitation
Menyuan DIAO ; Jun GUAN ; Zhaofen LIN ; Zhe ZHANG ; Yan XIAO
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2016;28(12):1157-1160
The successful establishment of animal models of cardiac arrest-cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CA-CPR) undoubtedly provided an important basis for exploring the method of cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) and advanced cardiovascular life support (ACLS). However, pathophysiology varied with the etiology of cardiac arrest (CA). Therefore, preparation of similar animal models according to etiology was the basis for pathophysiological changes research. Compared with other animals, the rabbits had both the advantages of large and small animals, so they became common research object for the CA-CPR model. This paper reviewed the common methods of animal models of CA-CPR in rabbits. In this review, the methods, criteria, advantages, disadvantages and precautions of each model were analyzed, which would provide useful reference for CPR researchers.
3.Application and significance of multi-media network-based teaching platform in emergency and critical care medicine teaching
Qiang ZHANG ; Liang ZHAO ; Yonghua XU ; Zhaofen LIN
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2006;0(10):-
We created the multi-media network-based teaching platform in emergency and critical care medicine teaching and unified the advantages of the network technique,multimedia technique and information commons,to build up a new place for all kinds of persons to learn the emergency and critical care medicine in any time or any places,and to build up a teaching re-source library of emergency and critical care medicine by the digital image processing technique, streaming media technique and database technique.
4.Practice and discussion of teaching of Emergency and Critical Care Medicine for foreign students
Qiang ZHANG ; Bin CHEN ; Liang ZHAO ; Zhaofen LIN
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research 2005;0(05):-
In combination with the experience teaching overseas students in Emergency and Critical Care Medicine,we probe into the overseas students' characteristics,the choose of teaching materials and teachers,and how to improve theoretical and practical Emergency and Critical Care Medicine teaching quality etc.
5.The significance of NSE and S100? protein in the diagnosis of early brain injury after cardiopulmonary resuscitation in rats
Yujie MA ; Xingyi YANG ; Zhaofen LIN ; Lei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2006;0(04):-
Objective To study the changes of neuron specific enolase(NSE) and S100? protein levels in serum after cardiopulmonary resuscitation(CPR) in rats,and and to evaluate their significance on early diagnosis of brain injury. Methods Caridiac arrest model was induced by asphyxiation with ice-cold 0.5 mol KCl in rats,and resuscitation 5 minutes after arrest.Fifty male Sprague Dawley rats were randomly divided into 5 groups : sham control group (n=10) and 4 routine treatment group (experimental group) (n=10,per group) . The blood samples were taken from rats at 6 , 12 , 24 , 48 hours after restoration of spontaneous circulation(ROSC).NSE and S100? measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay were compared between each experimental group,serum from sham control animals was also analyzed. Results Both NSE and S100? were significantly increased in serum after ROSC when compared to sham controls(P
6.Epidemiological investigation of perimenopausal women in Shanghai.
Jin ZHENG ; Ji LI ; Li ZHANG ; Guohua HU ; Chaoqin YU ; Zhaofen ZHANG ; Shuang NI ; Meijuan WEI
Journal of Integrative Medicine 2009;7(9):827-30
Objective: To explore the cognitive level and the mental status of the patients suffering from perimenopausal syndrome in Shanghai, and to identify the traditional Chinese medicine syndrome distribution feature of perimenopausal syndrome. Methods: The cognitive level of the perimenopausal women was evaluated by using general living problem questionnaire. The mental status of the perimenopausal women was evaluated by using self-rating depressive scale. The traditional Chinese medicine syndrome distribution feature of perimenopausal syndrome was identified by using traditional Chinese medical symptoms questionnaire. Results: A total of 634 perimenopausal women finished the investigation. There were 74.76% (474/634) patients who knew little about the perimenopausal syndrome; 77.29% (490/634) patients had a depressive tendency; 8.36% (53/634) patients had depressive disorder. There were 72.40% (459/634) patients who had the symptoms such as susceptibility to anger and restlessness, restless sleep at night, thirst with dry throat and bitter taste, and all these symptoms could be classified into hyperactivity of heart and liver fire syndrome. Conclusion: Patients suffering from perimenopausal syndrome know little about this disease and mostly have depressive tendency, and the major traditional Chinese medicine syndrome pattern is hyperactivity of heart and liver fire based on the chief clinical manifestations of the patients.
7.Role of the permeability transition pore in cytochrome C release from mitochondria in rats brain after resuscitation from cardiac arrest
Yujie MA ; Xingyi YANG ; Zhaofen LIN ; Mingyong MIAO ; Lei ZHANG ; Bo NING
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2010;19(10):1015-1018
Objective To analyse the relationship between cytochrome C release and the opening degree of the permeability transition pore (PTP) during in post cardiopulmonary resuscitation(CPR) rats. Method Adult male Sprague Dawley (SD)rats were randomly (random number ) divided into a surgical sham group (no CA/CPR) ( n = 8) and CA/CPR group ( n = 48). Animals in CA/CPR group was induced by asphyxiation and icecold 0.5 mmol/L KCI and killed by decapitation and processed for isolation of brain cortex mitochondria at 3 h,6 h,12 h,24 h,48 h,72 h after restoration of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). MPTP opening degree was based on the absorbance changes of the mitochondrial suspension at 540 nm. Western blot analysed the release of CytC from mitochondrial to cytoplast. Results Neural cells MPTP always remained opening post ROSC. The opening degree of MPTP was not reaching the peak instantly. While its' change depended on time: remaining low level within 6 h post ROSC,then rapidly opening, till 12 h reaching the largest degree,and at 24 h post ROSC slightly shrunken. All these suggested that mitochondria started to shink. While at 48 h the opening degree largen again, shrunken once more at 72 h,but not reaching the normal level ( P < 0.05 or P < 0.01). Cytochrome C could not be detected in the cytosol in the earlier phases of the sham-operated brain samples but appeared in the mitochondria.The amount of cytochrome C released was proportional after restoration of spontaneous circulation 3 h and 24 h,failed to detect the enzyme in the mitochondria fraction. Conclusions We draw the conclusion MPTP plays a key role in neurocyte apoptosis after CA/CPR, which leads to mitochondria release CytC.
8.Combination of Weighted index of comorbidities and sepsis-related organ failure assessment score in death risk evaluation of septic patients
Yunliang CUI ; Yu LI ; Shuliu ZHANG ; Huili LI ; Dechang CHEN ; Zhaofen LIN ; Zhaotao TIAN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2014;26(1):41-45
Objective To predict the risk of 28-day mortality in septic patients in intensive care unit (ICU) with the combination of Weighted index of comorbidities (WIC) and sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) score.Methods The clinical data of adult severe sepsis/septic shock patients in Department of Emergency Medicine of Changzheng Hospital and Department of Critical Care Medicine of Jinan Military General Hospital from October 2011 to February 2013 were analyzed retrospectively.The etiological factor,past history,having severe sepsis or not were recorded.Age score,WIC score,acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score and SOFA score were calculated at or 24 hours after admission.The logistic regression was used and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to calculate the patients' outcome.Results In 310 enrolled patients,223 (71.9%) patients survived and 87 (28.1%) died.Univariate analysis showed that the P values of the age score,WIC score,APACHE Ⅱ score and SOFA score,chronic cardiac insufficiency,type 2 diabetes,cerebrovascular disease,tumor,multiple injury,pulmonary infection and having severe sepsis or not were all less than 0.2.The above 11 variables were put into the multivariate logistic regression equation 1,of which predicted probability was reserved.It revealed that 5 variables were independently associated with 28-day prognosis,of which influence power in descending order were SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) =1.308,95% confidence interval (95% CI):1.158-1.478,P=0.000],having severe sepsis or not (OR =0.206,95% CI:0.100-0.424,P=0.000),APACHE Ⅱ score (OR =1.090,95%CI:1.021-1.164,P=0.010),WICscore (OR=1.441,95%CI:1.067-1.947,P=0.017),agescore (OR=1.228,95%CI:1.027-1.468,P=0).024),the Walswere 18.554,18.369,6.725,5.662,5.067,respectively.The 3 variables,age score,WIC score and SOFA score,were brought into the multivariate logistic regression equation 2,of which predicted probability was reserved too.It revealed that age score (OR=1.330,95%CI:1.145-1.546,P=0.000),WIC score (OR =1.496,95% CI:1.145-1.546,P=0.000) and SOFA score (OR =1.429,95% CI:1.303-1.567,P=0.000),were independently associated with the septic patients' 28-day prognosis.There was no significant difference in the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) between the SOFA score and APACHE Ⅱ score (0.784 vs.0.780,Z=0.014,P=0.989).However,compared with APACHE Ⅱ score,the AUC of equation 1 (0.888) and 2 (0.851) were much more (Z=4.333,P=0.000; Z=2.669,P=0.008).Conclusion The sensitivity of 28-day prognosis by WIC score was improved greatly with the combination of SOFA score and age score.
9.Eearly diagnostic value of urinary NGAL in acute kidney injury in critically ill patients
Xingkai XU ; Yan LI ; Mengjin YU ; Xi WANG ; Zhaofen LIN ; Liandong ZHANG ; Hongwei SHAN
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2013;22(5):505-510
Objective To estimate the predictive value of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin in urine (uNGAL) for detection of acute kidney injury (AKI) in the intensive care unit (ICU) critically ill patients.Methods A total of 110 patients from the ICU of three general hospitals were enrolled in the study.The patients were adults more than 18 years of age.After admitted to ICU,the patients were continuously observed for 72 hours.According to the RIFLE criteria for diagnosis of AKI,the patients were classified as AKI group (33 cases) or non-AKI (77 cases).According to the sepsis diagnostic criteria,the patients were classified as sepsis (79 cases) or non-sepsis (31 cases).Exclusion criteria of patients were chronic renal insufficiency,malignant tumor,death after admitted to ICU 24 hours.Serum creatinine and uNGAL of the patients were analyzed daily.The difference of uNGAL between sepsis and non-sepsis patients,AKI and non-AKI patients,sepsis non-AKI and sepsis AKI patients was compared.Moreover,the difference of serum creatinine and uNGAL between AKI and non-AKI patients into ICU 24 h was compared,and the sensitivity and specificity of uNGAL and serum creatinine for diagnosis of AKI in the ICU patients were evaluated using ROC curve.Results The uNGAL levels were all significantly different between sepsis and non-septis patients,AKI and non-AKI patients,sepsis concomitant AKI and sepsis without AKI patients.The uNGAL levels were significantly different between AKI and non-AKI patients in ICU for the first 24 h,while the difference of serum creatinine were not significant.The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of uNGAL and serum creatinine of patients in ICU for the first 24 h were 0.828 (95% CI:O.742-0.914) and 0.583 (95% CI:0.471-0.695),respectively.The cutoff value of uNGAL was 170 ng/ml,and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.778 and 0.784,respectively.The sensitivity was superior to serum creatinine.Conclusions uNGAL was superior to serum creatinine in the diagnosis of AKI,and could be used as a marker of the early diagnosis of AKI.
10.A study on effect of vaporized perfluorocarbon combined with exogenous surfactant inhalation on rabbit models of acute lung injury
Rongbing HE ; Fan YI ; Sheng ZHANG ; Jun GUAN ; Wenfang LI ; Jun ZHU ; Zhaofen LIN
Chinese Journal of Integrated Traditional and Western Medicine in Intensive and Critical Care 2017;24(4):374-379
Objective To observe the effects of vaporized perfluorocarbon (PFC) combined with exogenous pulmonary surfactant (PS) inhalation on rabbit models of acute lung injury (ALI).Methods Thirty-two New Zealand rabbits were randomly divided into four groups: ALI group, combination treatment group, PFC group, and PS group (each groupn = 8 rabbits). The rabbit model of ALI was induced by the whole lung normal saline lavage. After modeling, in the combined group, 3 mL/kg vaporized perfluorooctyl bromide/dipalmitoylphosphatidylcholine (PFOB/DPPC) emulsion was inhaled, the rabbits in PFC and PS groups were treated with vaporized PFOB emulsion and vaporized DPPC emulsion 3 mL/kg inhalation respectively, and in the ALI group was given the same amount of vaporized normal saline inhalation. In each group, before modeling for 30 minutes (basic value), after modeling for 1 hour and after treatment at 0 minute, 30 minutes, 2 hours, 4 hours, the respiratory rate (RR), oxygenation index (OI), dynamic lung compliance (Cdyn) were observed, and the lung coefficient (LI) and lung permeability index (LPI) were calculated; the levels of serum tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) and interleukin-1β (IL-1β) were measured by double antibody sandwich enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA); the lung tissue was collected and the lung pathological changes were observed under macroscopic and microscopic observation.Results Aftermodeling, the levels of OI, Cdyn were quickly lowered, RR became significantly elevated, and there were obvious edema, hemorrhage and exudation in lung tissue of ALI group. The levels of OI were significantly increased in combined group and PFC group compared with the level in ALI group after treatment at 0 minute initially [mmHg (1 mmHg = 0.133 kPa): 231.0±16.7, 221.4±19.0 vs. 189.5±21.0, both P < 0.05], while the level of OI in PS group was increased significantly until 4 hours after treatment, being higher than that in ALI group (mmHg: 297.0±20.7 vs. 243.3±36.7,P < 0.05); RR was decreased significantly in combined treatment group at 30 minutes after treatment compared with that in ALI group (bpm: 151.1±13.3 vs. 178.5±32.0,P < 0.05), while the RR in PFC group and PS group were not increased significantly until 4 hours after treatment being higher than that in ALI group (bpm: 129.3±14.3, 133.1±13.9 vs. 157.5±32.5, bothP < 0.05). Compared to ALI group, the three treatment groups resulted in significant improvement in Cdyn right at 0 minute (mL/cmH2O: 1.64±0.10, 1.45±0.10, 1.43±0.09 vs. 0.57±0.05, allP < 0.05), their LPI, LI and inflammatory cytokines were significantly decreased [LPI (×10-5): 4.21±0.42, 4.76±0.55, 4.87±0.49 vs. 5.56±0.52, LI: 8.04±0.58, 8.90±0.88, 9.22±0.71 vs. 10.85±0.73, TNF-α (ng/L): 50.05±4.91, 56.18±5.54, 63.60±5.96 vs. 73.60±5.27, IL-1β (ng/L): 34.27±4.55, 40.29±5.03, 48.13±6.38 vs. 54.71±4.26, allP<0.05], and pulmonary edema, congestion and inflammatory cell infiltration were obviously ameliorated (pathological scores: 3.74±0.58, 4.50±0.75, 5.29±0.72 vs. 6.13±0.72, P < 0.05). Cdyn levels were increased significantly in combined treatment group at 0 minute, 30 minutes, 4 hours after treatment compared with thosein PFC and PS group, but there were no significant differences between PFC and PS group. Levels of LI, LPI, inflammatory factors and pathological scores were decreased significantly in combined treatment group compared with those in PFC and PS group, the degrees of improvement of inflammatory factors and pathological scores in PFC group were more obvious than those in PS group (allP < 0.05).Conclusions PFOB combined with DPPC inhalation can provide greater oxygen delivery, reduce the pro-inflammatory cytokines, supplement PS and influence its distribution on the surface of lung, which might lead to a marked and sustained improvement in oxygenation, pulmonary function and amelioration of lung edema and inflammatory reaction in saline lavage induced lung injury of rabbits.