Objective: Using system dynamics to provide prospective and simulation of double exponential smoothing on Basic Medical Insurance Fund and related indexes from 2013-2022 in Liaoning. Methods: Using the post testing to select the best value of αand projecting the whole procedure of forecast into the software of system dynamics to get the prospective result. Results: In ending of simulation, the increase of fund and other objects will reach about 2 times as much as those in 2013 , and out-of-pocket in total expenditure on health will be declined greatly. Conclusion: The economy of province is developing fast while Basic Medical Insurance is in relatively lower level.

Objective To compare the effect of continuous saphenous nerve block (SNB)with femoral nerve block (FNB)under multimodal analgesia for early analgesic effect and rehabilitation af-ter total knee replacement (TKA).Methods Sixty patients scheduled to undergo TKA,23 males and 37 females,were randomly divided into two groups:group A (continuous SNB)and group B (contin-uous FNB ).The patients received PCA after surgery by the catheter placed near nerve with ultrasound-guided.The loading dose was 0.5% ropivacaine 25 ml and 0.1 mg epinephrine,back-ground dose was 5 ml/h,bolus dose was 5 ml and the locking time was 20 min.The first time to walk and total steps,the knee joint range of motion,postoperative hospital stay,general anesthetics and additional analgesics dose and the side effects were also recorded.Results The first time to walkand walking distancein group A were better than group B [(25.4±2.1)h vs (34.0±2.7)h,(7.6±1.8) steps vs (3.7±1.3)steps,(P<0.05)].The range of motion in group A was bigger than in group B [12 h:(75.8±4.3)°vs (65.4±4.7)°,24 h:(93.3±4.2)°vs (81.8±4.3)°,48 h:(102.1±4.1)° vs (95.1±2.6)°,P<0.05].The average length of postoperative hospital stay was shorter in group A than in group B [(5.3±1.2)d vs (7.4±1.4)d,P<0.05].The additional analgesics and the side effects were similar between the two groups.Conclusion The continuous SNB combined with multi-modal analgesia was more beneficial to patients with the early postoperative rehabilitation for TKA.