1.Risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and establishment of a predictive model
Jing SUN ; Tingji WANG ; Zhijiao DUAN ; Li ZHANG ; Yanmei LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(1):151-159
ObjectiveTo investigate the independent predictive factors for 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), to establish a risk predictive model, and to assess its predictive efficacy in comparison with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 394 patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University and Hohhot Second Hospital from July 2018 to July 2024, and general information and laboratory markers on admission were collected from all patients. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of quantitative data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the adjusted chi-square test was used for comparison of qualitative data between two groups. The LASSO regression analysis was used to identify related variables, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to establish a predictive model and generate a nomogram. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and clinical decision curve were used to assess the performance of the model. ResultsA total of 394 patients with ACLF were included in this study, with 136 patients in the training set, 58 in the internal validation set, and 200 in the external validation set. The cohort had a mean age of 52.9±11.7 years, among whom male patients accounted for 72.84% (287/394), the patients with HBV infection accounted for 22.33% (88/394), the patients with alcohol-related causes accounted for 45.94% (181/394), and the patients with other causes (including drug-induced and autoimmune diseases) accounted for 31.73% (125/394). The overall 90-day mortality rate was 27.41% (108/394). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes (odds ratio [OR]= 5.831, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.587 — 21.424, P=0.008), cystatin C (Cys-C) (OR=2.984, 95%CI: 1.501 — 5.933, P=0.002), and spontaneous peritonitis (SBP) (OR=5.692, 95%CI: 2.150 — 15.071, P<0.001) were independent risk factors, and a nomogram was generated based on these factors. This model had an AUC of 0.836 in the training set, 0.881 in the internal validation set, and 0.878 in the external validation set, showing a good discriminatory ability. The calibration curve showed a good degree of fitting, with a relatively high net clinical benefit. The subgroup analysis based on etiology showed that the model had an AUC of 0.850 in the patients with HBV infection, 0.858 in the patients with alcohol-induced ACLF, and 0.908 in the patients with other etiologies, indicating that the model had a good discriminatory ability across the populations with different etiologies. Compared with traditional scores, the model (AUC=0.836) had a significantly better predictive value than MELD (AUC=0.619, Z=3.197, P=0.001), MELD-Na (AUC=0.651, Z=2.998, P=0.003), MELD 3.0 (AUC=0.601, Z=3.682, P<0.001), and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ (AUC=0.719, Z=2.396, P=0.017) alone. ConclusionDiabetes, SBP, and Cys-C are independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. Compared with MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0, and COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ scores, this model has a higher predictive value for 90-day prognosis in patients with ACLF and is suitable for patients with ACLF caused by various etiologies.
2.Mechanisms of Action of Dendrobium officinale Against Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Base on Its Components in Blood
Jilei ZHANG ; Lei FENG ; Yumei XU ; Heyan YAO ; Yanmei ZHANG ; Shunzhen ZHANG ; Jiao WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(10):168-175
ObjectiveTo investigate the preventive effect and mechanism of Dendrobium officinale (DO) on non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) by network pharmacology and animal experiments. MethodsDO components in blood after administration were identified and analyzed using ultra-performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole-electrostatic field orbitrap high-resolution mass spectrometry (UPLC-QE-HF-MS/MS). Network pharmacology and molecular docking methods were employed to obtain active ingredients and potential targets of DO for NAFLD control. High-fat feeds were used to replicate the NAFLD rat model. Biochemical kits were used for detecting the expression levels of blood lipids, hepatic lipids, and liver functions of rats. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and oil red O staining were employed to observe pathological changes in rat liver, and real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR (Real-time PCR) assay was performed to validate potential targets obtained from the network pharmacology analysis. ResultsA total of 13 DO components were identified in blood, including berberine, dihydrosanguinarine, and oxypeucedanin. A total of 14 potential targets were screened through network pharmacology, including Forkhead box protein O1 (FoxO1), epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), and insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1R), involving pathways such as the advanced glycation end product (AGE)/receptor for AGE (RAGE) signaling pathway, blood lipids and atherosclerosis, insulin resistance, and FoxO signaling. The results of animal experiments showed that the NAFLD rat model was successfully replicated. After the preventive treatment with DO for NAFLD rats, the indexes of blood lipids, hepatic lipids, and liver function were normalized; lipid deposition and lesions in the liver were significantly improved; the expression level of FoxO1 mRNA in the liver was significantly reduced (P<0.05), and the mRNA expression levels of phosphatidylinositide 3-kinases (PI3K), protein kinase B (Akt), EGFR, and IGF-1R were significantly increased (P<0.05). ConclusionDO has a preventive effect on NAFLD rats, and the mechanism of action may be related to the modulation of IGF1R and EGFR targets and activation of the PI3K/Akt/FoxO1 signaling pathway.
3.Association between obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome and cerebral white matter lesions
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2025;42(3):204-208
Objective To investigate the association between obstructive sleep apnea hypopnea syndrome (OSAHS) and white matter lesions (WMLs). Methods A total of 91 patients who attended Department of Neurology and Department of Epilepsy and Sleep Disorders in The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from June 2019 to December 2020 and met the diagnostic criteria for WMLs were enrolled as WMLs group, and 61 patients without WMLs were enrolled as control group. All subjects underwent brain MRI and PSG examinations, and related data were collected, including demographic data, past history, personal history, laboratory examination, and imaging findings. Results The WMLs group had a prevalence rate of OSAHS of 92.3% and an AHI of (32.85±19.86) events/hour on PSG, which were significantly higher than those in the control group (P<0.05). The Spearman rank correlation analysis showed a strong positive correlation between WMLs severity and OSAHS severity(r=0.602 52,P<0.0001). Conclusion The WMLs group is more susceptible to OSAHS than the control group, and the severity of WMLs is positively correlated with the severity of OSAHS.
4.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
5.Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases in Conghua District, Guangzhou from 2015 to 2022
Lu LUO ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Yi ZHENG ; Sirong WANG ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1307-1314
Background Exposure to air pollutants increases the risk of diseases in multiple systems, including respiratory and cardiovascular systems, yet its association with neurological diseases remains unclear. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases, identify potential susceptible populations, and quantify associated disease burden. Methods Daily 24-hour average concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), daily maximum 8-hour average concentration of ozone (O3), daily meteorological data (24-hour average temperature, 24-hour average relative humidity), and data on daily outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases from two hospitals in Conghua District, Guangzhou, China, were collected from 2015 to 2022. A time-stratified case-crossover design was adopted, and a conditional Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the association between air pollution exposure and neurological disease visits. Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analysis were used to validate model stability. Stratified analyses by season (cold season: from November to March; warm season: from April to October), sex (male, female), and age (≤45 years, 46–60 years, ≥61 years) were performed to identify vulnerable group. Additionally, the number and proportion of neurological disease visits attributable to short-term air pollutant exposure were calculated. Results A total of 72 673 outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were included during the study period. Most of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals (69.89% were over 45 years old) and females (60.25%). The results of single-pollutant models showed that for each interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, the risk of outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases increased by 7.54% (95%CI: 4.69%, 10.46%), 6.66% (95%CI: 3.92%, 9.46%), 16.72% (95%CI: 10.58%, 23.19%), 8.12% (95%CI: 4.82%, 11.53%), 5.60% (95%CI: 2.34%, 8.97%), and 6.11% (95%CI: 2.91%, 9.40%), respectively. The results of the two-pollutant model showed that the association between PM2.5 and SO2 exposure and outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were relatively stable. The stratified analyses showed that the effect of SO2 was stronger in the cold season. It was estimated that 8.32% (95%CI: 5.55%, 10.96%) and 6.65% (95%CI: 4.27%, 8.96%) of the outpatient and emergency department visits were attributable to short-term exposure to SO2 and PM2.5, respectively. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and SO2 is associated with increased risks of outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases. SO2 shows stronger effects during the cold season, and exposure to air pollution contributes to up to 8.32% of neurological disease visits.
6.Influencing factors and predictive model construction for occupational burnout among take-away deliveryman based on restricted cubic spline analysis
Bo GE ; Zhuolin SHEN ; Yongtao ZHENG ; Diwei XU ; Zuowei NI ; Longfang JIANG ; Yanmei WANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1336-1341
Background With the rapid development of the food delivery industry, take-away deliverymen become an essential component of urban logistics. However, high labor intensity, unstable income, and extended working hours place them at considerable risk of occupational burnout. Available studies have paid insufficient attention to the mental health of this population, and effective predictive or preventive approaches remain limited. Objective To understand the status of occupational burnout among take-away deliverymen, identify influencing factors based on restricted cubic spline analysis, and develop a predictive model to provide a theoretical basis for improving their mental health. Methods A cross-sectional survey was conducted among full-time take-away deliverymen registered to the "Ele.me" and "Meituan" platforms in Hangzhou between September 1 and November 30, 2024, using both online and offline approaches. A questionnaire covered sociodemographic, household, and occupational information, and the Maslach Burnout Inventory–General Survey were used in this survey. Univariate analyses and logistic regression were used to identify factors associated with burnout and to construct a predictive model. Model performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve. Furthermore, restricted cubic spline was used to further explore the relationship between age, working hours, and occupational burnout. Results Among the
7.Postoperative kinesiophobia level in patients with spinal fracture and its correlations with rehabilitation self-efficacy and rehabilitation compliance
Yi YAO ; Jiaxing TIAN ; Xuanhui DAI ; Xubo WANG ; Yanmei WANG ; Xin DONG
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2024;28(21):127-131
Objective To investigate the kinesiophobia level in patients after spinal fracture surgery and their correlations with rehabilitation self-efficacy and adherence. Methods A total of 150 patients who underwent spinal fracture surgery were enrolled in this study. General information was collected from all patients. The Tampa Scale for Kinesiophobia, Self-Efficacy for Rehabilitation Outcomes Scale, department-developed Rehabilitation Adherence Scale and postoperative activity pain [assessed using the Visual Analogue Scale (VAS)] were analyzed. Pearson correlation analysis was used to examine the relationships of kinesiophobia level with rehabilitation self-efficacy and adherence. Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted to identify factors influencing kinesiophobia level. Results The total score of postoperative kinesiophobia level in patients with spinal fracture was (57.14±3.12), which was at a high level. The total score of rehabilitation self-efficacy was (35.19±3.45), which was at a low level. The total score of rehabilitation compliance was (16.46±2.32), which was at a low level. Pearson correlation analysis showed that the total score of kinesiophobia level was negatively correlated with the total score of rehabilitation self-efficacy and rehabilitation compliance (
8.Effectiveness of cold-air anesthesia during fractional carbon-dioxide laser treatment
Lidan ZHANG ; Xiaolei QIN ; Yanmei WANG ; Mengjiao CHEN ; Kai LI
Chinese Journal of Medical Aesthetics and Cosmetology 2024;30(3):292-295
Objective:To evaluate the impact of cold-air anesthesia on patients′ comfort and side effects during ablative fractional carbon-dioxide (CO 2) laser treatment for acnescars. Methods:Eighteen patients with atrophic acne scars treated with CO 2 laser were used as split-face comparative study with a cold-air device combined with 5% lidocaine cream on the left side of the face, and the right side as a control group treated with 5% lidocaine cream only. Symptoms and signs of patients were observed during treatment, immediately after treatment, 15 minutes, 30 minutes and 1 month after treatment. The score of patient′s comfort and incidence of adverse events was evaluated. Results:The results were obvious difference between each group. The surface temperature in combined group (33.1±1.3) showed significantly better results compared with other groups (36.9±0.4) during the operative period while the same result after the treatment immediately shown in the combined group (35.1±1.3) compared with other groups (36.4±0.2). The score of erythema shown that combined group (48.7±8.4) was significantly lower than that of the control group (54.8±8.0) ( P<0.05) as the score of exudation in combined group (6.2±1.6) was lower than that in the control group (7.8±1.6). There was significant statistical difference regarding scores of erythema between combined group (46.9±6.6) and control group (51.8±6.9) a month after the treatment. The pigmentation score revealed the same result that the combined group (48.9±8.8) was lower than the other groups (51.4±7.0). No patients had severe adverse events. Conclusions:The cold-air cooling application is safe and effective to reduce the surface temperature, pain and side effects during fractional carbon-dioxide laser treatment.
9.The predictive value of heparin-binding protein combined with pediatric sequential organ failure assessment score in the prognosis of sepsis in children
Xiaoshun WANG ; Yimin ZHU ; Shuqiong LIU ; Pei WU ; Yinggang PENG ; Huimin ZHU ; Yanmei CHEN ; Saizhen ZENG
Chinese Pediatric Emergency Medicine 2024;31(8):614-618
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of heparin binding protein(HBP) combined with pediatric sequential organ failure assessment(pSOFA) in children with sepsis.Methods:Children with sepsis admitted to PICU of Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (the First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University) from January 2021 to June 2022 were selected as study group,while those who underwent elective surgery for inguinal hernia and assessment of precocious puberty and short stature during the same period were selected as control group.All children with sepsis were divided into sepsis group and septic shock group according to their severity as well as survival group and death group according to prognosis.The study group was monitored for HBP on the 1st,3rd,and 7th day of admission,while the control group was monitored for HBP on the 1st day of admission.Patients in the sepsis group received pSOFA scores immediately after admission.The laboratory results and HBP concentrations were compared between groups,and a joint model was established in combination with pSOFA to observe its predictive performance in sepsis prognosis.Results:A total of 50 children with sepsis were included in study group,including 45 children with sepsis and five children with septic shock.There were 27 males and 23 females,aged 1 month~13 years(median age two years).There were 7 deaths in this study,including two patients with sepsis and five patients with septic shock.The HBP concentration in the study group was significantly higher than that in the control group on the 1st day,and the HBP concentration in the group gradually decreased with the prolongation of hospital stay.The concentration of HBP on the first day of septic shock group was higher than that of sepsis group,and the difference was statistically significant( P<0.001).The concentration of HBP on the 1st day in the sepsis death group was significantly higher than that in the sepsis survival group( P=0.023).The receivor operator characteristic curve analysis showed that HBP and pSOFA had good predictive value for the death of children with sepsis,and the joint model of HBP and pSOFA(75.1×pSOFA-0.1×HBP)had the best predictive performance for the death of children with sepsis,but there was no significant difference with the pSOFA. Conclusion:The HBP level significantly increases in children with sepsis,and gradually decreases with the length of hospital stay,and HBP has great value in predicting the outcome of death in children with sepsis,and the combination of pSOFA could improve its predictive ability of death,but not better than pSOFA.
10.Prognostic value and imaging features of 18F-FDG PET-CT in follicular lymphoma with different histopathology grade
Tong ZHAO ; Min BAI ; Rui WANG ; Ming ZHAO ; Rongrong TIAN ; Jun XING ; Yanmei LIN ; Jie ZHOU ; Ling YUAN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2024;45(8):776-780
Follicular lymphoma (FL) is highly heterogeneous with different histopathologic grades. Its biological characteristics and clinical management are different. This study retrospectively analyzed 18F-FDG PET-CT metabolic parameters, clinical features, and their relationship with prognosis in 161 FL patients with different histopathological grades (grade 1-2, grade 3A, grade 3B) at the Shanxi Cancer Hospital. There were 93 cases in the grade 1-2 group, 40 cases in the grade 3A group, and 28 cases in the grade 3B group. The expression of LDH, CD10, EZH2, c-Myc, and CD37 proteins was correlated with histological grade (grade 1-2, grade 3A, and grade 3B) (all P values<0.05) . The SUVmax, TLG, TBR, and TLR for the three groups were different (all P values<0.05) . The optimal thresholds of SUVmax, MTV, TLG, TBR, and TLR for predicting FL disease progression were 8.32, 201.31, 2 342.55, 6.56, and 3.52, respectively, and the rate of disease progression increased in patients with higher thresholds (all P value<0.05) . β 2-MG (>2.3 μg/L) , Follicular lymphoma international prognostic index-1 (FLIPI-1) score (3-5 points) , negative CD37 expression, positive c-Myc expression, and TLG (>2 342.55 g) were all independent risk factors for PFS in the FL patients ( HR=3.609, 2.509, 0.255, 3.506, 13.531, all P value<0.05) . 18F-FDG PET-CT is a powerful complement to FL histopathological grading and the combination of the two may better predict the prognosis of FL patients.


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