1.Clinical characteristics and risk factors of refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia in children
Jiayu ZHAI ; Liejie LIN ; Langjun MAI ; Xuexing FU ; Xiandu SU
Journal of Clinical Pediatrics 2017;35(8):569-574
Objective To investigate the clinical characteristics of children with refractory Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (RMPP),and to analyze the related risk factors. Methods Clinical manifestations,laboratory indexes and image features of 628 children with Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) from January 2012 to October 2016 were retrospectively analyzed, and stepwise logistic regression analysis was performed for risk factors of RMPP. ROC curve was mapped to analyze the predictive value of independent risk factors in RMPP. Results Compared with 486 cases of general Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (GMPP), 142 cases of refractory MPP was older, and durations of fever and hospitalization, azithromycin treatment days were longer, pulmonary complications, lesions in the right lobe and right upper lobe, pleural effusion, lobar atelectasis, pulmonary consolidations, and pleural thickening ratio were higher, the percentage of neutrophil, CRP, LDH, CK-MB, IL-6, IL-10, IFN-γ and IgA levels were also higher (all P<0.05). Stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that CRP, LDH, IL-6, IL-10, IFN-γ were the independent risk factors of RMPP. ROC curve analysis showed that CRP, LDH, IL-6, IL-10 and IFN-γ has a good value for identification of children with RMPP and GMPP, the best threshold value of 15.3 mg/L, 402 IU/L, 13.82 pg/mL, 5.07 pg/mL, and 13.84 pg/mL, respectively. Conclusions The clinical symptoms and imaging findings of the lung are severer,and the levels of serum CRP, LDH, IL-6, IL-10, and IFN-γ are significantly increased, which is helpful for the early identification of RMPP.
2.Predictive value of diaphragm thickening fraction and intra-abdominal pressure monitoring-oriented risk prediction model for weaning failure in patients with severe acute pancreatitis
Xingwei DI ; Xiaodong LI ; Tian LI ; Haiyan FU ; Yonghao JIN ; Xi CHEN ; Xuexing TANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(2):177-181
Objective:To establish a risk prediction model dominated by diaphragm thickening fraction (DTF) and intra-abdominal pressure (IAP) monitoring, and to explore the predictive value of the model for weaning failure in patients with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).Methods:A prospective research was conducted. Sixty-three patients undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation treatment who diagnosed with SAP admitted to intensive care unit of the First Affiliated Hospital of Jinzhou Medical University from August 2020 to October 2021 were enrolled. The spontaneous breathing trial (SBT) was carried out when the clinical weaning criteria was met. The stable cardiovascular status, good pulmonary function, no chest and abdominal contradictory movement, and adequate oxygenation were defined as successful weaning. Otherwise, it was defined as failure weaning. The clinical indicators such as SBT 30-minure DTF, IAP, tidal volume (VT), respiratory rate (RR), body mass index (BMI), and blood lactic acid (Lac) were compared between the weaning success group and the weaning failure group. The indicators with statistically significant differences in the single-factor analysis were included in the secondary multivariable Logistic regression analysis to establish a risk prediction model. The correlation between the DTF and IAP at 30 minutes of SBT was analyzed. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of the risk prediction model for SAP patient withdrawal failure at 30 minutes of SBT.Results:Finally, 63 patients with SAP were enrolled. Among the 63 patients, 42 were successfully weaned and 21 failed. There were no significant differences in age, gender, and oxygenation index (PaO 2/FiO 2), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHEⅡ) score at admission between the two groups, indicating that the data in the two groups were comparable. Compared with the weaning success group, IAP, RR, BMI and Lac at 30 minutes of SBT in the weaning failure group were significantly increased [IAP (mmHg, 1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa): 14.05±3.79 vs. 12.12±3.36, RR (times/min): 25.43±8.10 vs. 22.02±5.05, BMI (kg/m 2): 23.71±2.80 vs. 21.74±3.79, Lac (mmol/L): 5.27±1.69 vs. 4.55±1.09, all P < 0.05], while DTF and VT were significantly decreased [DTF: (29.76±3.45)% vs. (31.86±3.67)%, VT (mL): 379.00±98.74 vs. 413.60±33.68, both P < 0.05]. Secondary multivariable Logistic regression analysis showed that DTF [odds ratio ( OR) = 0.758, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 0.584-0.983, P = 0.037], IAP ( OR = 1.276, 95% CI was 1.025-1.582, P = 0.029), and RR ( OR = 1.145, 95% CI was 1.014-1.294, P = 0.029) were independent risk factors for SBT withdrawal failure in 30 minutes in SAP patients. The above risk factors were used to establish the risk prediction model of aircraft withdrawal failure at 30 minutes of SBT: Logit P = -0.237-0.277×DTF+0.242×IAP+0.136×RR. Pearson correlation analysis showed that SBT 30-minute DTF was significantly correlated with IAP in SAP patients, and showed a significant positive correlation ( r = 0.313, P = 0.012). The ROC curve analysis results showed that area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the risk prediction model for SAP patient withdrawal failure at 30 minutes of SBT was 0.716, 95% CI was 0.559-0.873, P = 0.003, with the sensitivity of 85.7% and the specificity of 78.6%. Conclusions:DTF, IAP and RR were independent risk factors for SBT withdrawal failure in 30 minutes in SAP patients. The DTF and IAP monitoring-oriented risk prediction model based on the above three variables has a good predictive value for weaning failure in patients with SAP.