Objective To explore the significance of warning score of potential critical disease in predicting changes in patients with traumatic brain injury. Methods The clinic information of 75 patients with traumatic brain injury who were treated in the People's Hospital of Huangshan Affiliated to Wannan Medical College from Jan. to Dec. 2013 were analyzed retrospectively. The warning score of potential critical disease, modified early warning score( MEWS)and glasgow coma score( GCS)of all patients and the rates of changes in patients were calculated. Results Of 75 patients enrolled,60 were survived and 15 were died. Seventy-five patients were performed 448 times of warning score of potential critical disease,MEWS and GCS. The maximum, minimum of warning score of potential critical disease were 24 and 0,and the median score(P25,P75)was 4(2, 7). The maximum,minimum of MEWS were 24 and 0,and the median score( P25,P75 )was 4( 3,7 ). The maximum,minimum of GCS were 8 and 3,and the median score(P25,P75)was 5(4,7). The area under ROC of warning score of potential critical disease was 0. 76(95%CI =0. 66 -0. 86,P ﹤0. 01),Youden index was 0. 42 when score was taken 5. 5. The area under the ROC of MEWS was 0. 71( 95%CI =0. 61 -0. 81,P﹤0. 01),Youden index was 0. 4 when taken 3. 5 score. The area under the ROC of GCS was 0. 51(95%CI=0. 37-0. 63,P=0. 99),Youden index was 0. 27 when score was taken 4. 5. Conclusion The warning score of potential critical disease is effective to predict changes in conditions of patients with multiple injuries and better than MEWS and GCS.

Objective To explore the value of Oxford acute severity of illness score in evaluating the severity and prognosis of critical illness patients.Methods All adult patients admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine from August 2012 to July 2014 were retrospectively analyzed.The severity in survivors and non-survivors was evaluated by using Oxford acute severity of illness score and APACHE Ⅲ score,and then statistic analysis were performed.Results Of 470 patients,321 (68.297％) were male,the range of age and ((x) ±s) age were 18 to 97 years and (59 ± 18) years respectively,and 123 patients (26.170％) were in non-survivors group and 347 patients in survivors group.The area under the ROC of Oxford acute severity of illness score was 0.760 (95％ CI:0.712-0.808,P ＜ 0.001),and Youden index was biggest when Oxford acute severity of illness score was 30.5.The area under the ROC of APACHE Ⅲ score was 0.844 (95％ CI:0.806-0.882,P ＜ 0.01),and Youden index was biggest when APACHE Ⅲ score was 70.5.Mortality was high (above 70％) as Oxford acute severity of illness score increased (＞ 40),and Spearman r was 0.976 (P ＜ 0.01).Conclusions Oxford Acute Severity of Illness Score was useful to evaluating the severity and prognosis of critical illness patients and it was easy in clinical practice.