In this study a grey model GM(1,1) was developed on the basis of malaria cases reported for the period of 1986-1990 in China. In order to further enhance the predicting power of the model,residual correction is performed and the residual correcting GM(1,1)model was established. The result showed that the predicting performance of the latter model was much improved. The number of predicted cases for 1991(101 770) was conformed to the number of actual malaria cases reported (101 636).

Objective To investigate the effects of moderate hypothermia on the permeability of alveolar capillary membrane in acute lung injury (ALI) induced by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) .Methods Thirty-four adult male SD rats weighing 300-350g were randomly divided into 4 groups: control group (n = 8) ; LPS group (n = 10); hypothermia group (n = 8) and LPS + hypothermia group (n = 8) . The animals were anesthetized with intraperitoneal (i.p.) 1% pentobarbital 30 mg?kg-1, intubated and mechanically ventilated (RR 80 bpm, VT 20 ml?kg-1, I: E 1:2) . Right external jugular vein and left carotid artery were cannulated for BP and CVP monitoring and blood sampling. ALI was induced by LPS 1.0 mg?kg-1 i.p. and 16h later, intratracheal instillation of LPS 1.5 mg?kg-1. ALI was considered established when PaO2/FiO2 ≤300. Hypothermia was induced by surface cooling. Body T0 was reduced to 32.5-33.0℃. In control and hypothermia groups normal saline was given instead of LPS. Arterial blood samples were taken for blood gas analysis and MAP and CVP were recorded before (T0, baseline) and 1, 2, 3, 4 h after ALI (T1-4) . At the end of experiment (4h after ALI was established) the animals were killed by exsanguination. The lungs were removed. Lung lavage was performed and the concentration of albumin in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF), the left lung wet/dry weight ratio, myeloperoxidase (MPO) activity of lung tissue were measured. Lung tissue was also taken for histologic examination by transmission electron microscopy.Results There was no significant difference in hemodynamics among the 4 groups. PaO2/FiO2 and PaCO2 remained unchanged in the control group and hypothermia group. PaO2 /FiO2 was significantly decreased and PaCO2 was significantly increased as compared to the baseline values (T0) in LPS group (P

Objective To evaluate the effect of atorvastatin on patients with hepatolithiasis and obstructive jaundice after partial hepatectomy.Methods We retrospectively analyzed the data of 51 patients with hepatolithiasis and obstructive jaundice who were treated with partial hepatectomy from July 2006 to August 2015 at Xishan People's Hospital of Wuxi.Based on whether atorvastatin was used or not,the patients were divided into the treatment group (25 patients) and the control group (26 patients).Liver function tests were determined regularly after operation.The serum liver function on postoperative day 3 (P3d) and postoperative day 5 (P5d),complications (incisional infection,abdominal infection,pleural effusion,peritoneal effusion and bile leakage) and duration of hospital stay in the two groups of patients were compared.Results There was no perioperative death in the two groups.When compared with the control group,liver function data suggested an improvement in the treatment group,as ALT and AST in the treatment group were significantly lower than in the control group on P3d and P5d [ALT (252.6 ± 87.0) U/L vs (385.0 ± 152.9)U/L,(89.9 ±28.2) U/L vs (116.9 ±29.3) U/L;AST(130.7 ±66.9) U/L vs (212.7 ±80.0) U/L,(47.5 ± 16.1) vs (69.2 ± 12.2) U/L,all P ＜ 0.05].When compared with the control group,the serum cholesterol level was lower on P3d and P5d [TC:(6.7 ± 0.3) mmol/L vs (6.2 ± 0.3) mmol/L;(6.1 ± 0.4) mmol/L vs (7.0 ± 0.4) mmol/L,P ＜ 0.05],the serum CRP level was also lower in the treatment group [(56.8 ± 15.7) mg/L vs (98.9 ± 40.3) rg/L,P ＜ 0.05];the duration of hospital stay was (10 ± 1) days in the treatment group,which was significantly different from the control group (12 ± 1) days.Conclusion The use of atorvastatin in patients with hepatolithiasis and obstructive jaundice who were treated with partial hepatectomy improved postoperative liver function and shortened postoperative hospital stay.

Objective To investigate the outcome of microsurgical treatment and its influencing factors in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage.Methods The consecutive patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage treated with the early or ultra-early microsurgery were enrolled retrospectively.The Glasgow outcome scale (GOS) was used to assess the outcomes of patients at discharge.GOS 4-5 was defined as good outcome,and GOS 1-3 was defined as poor outcome.Results A total of 147 patients with aneurysmal subaraclnoid hemorrhage were enrolled.One hundred and twelve patients (76.2％) had good outcomes.There were significant differences in the proportions of preoperative Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores (12.8 ± 2.8 vs.7.5 ± 3.8;t =7.525,P ＜0.001),low Hunt-Hess grade (83.0％ vs.31.4％;x2 =34.318,P ＜ 0.001),size of aneurysm (x2 =9.531,P =0.009),preoperative rebleeding (6.3％ vs.25.7％;x2 =8.506,P =0.003),preoperative brain herniation (4.5％ vs.40.0％;x2 =26.846,P ＜ 0.001),initial CT scan showing intracerebral hemorrhage (19.6％ vs.48.6％;x2 =11.449,P =0.002),and intraventricular hemorrhage (8.9％ vs.40.0％;x2 =18.846,P ＜0.001) between the good outcome group and the poor outcome group.Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the larger aneurysm (odds ratio [OR] 3.194,95％ confidence interval [CI] 1.458-6.999;P =0.004),older age (OR 1.054,95％ CI 1.013-1.097;P=0.010),lower preoperative GCS score (OR 0.539,95％ CI 0.410-0.724;P ＜ 0.001),and preoperative brain herniation (OR 3.633,95％ CI 1.039-12.700;P =0.043) were the independent risk factors for poor outcomes.Conclusions After active surgical treatment,most of the patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage have good outcomes,however,patients with older age,larger aneurysms,lower preoperative GCS scores,and preoperative brain herniation usually have poor outcomes.

AIM: To study the effect of mild hypothermia on energy metabolism and hydroxyl radical production as well as delayed neuronal death (DND) in hippocampus during cerebral ischemia/reperfusion in gerbils. METHODS: Forebrain ischemia was induced by occluding bilateral common carotid arteries with aneurysm clamps for 10 min in gerbils. The DND in hippocampal CA1 sector was assessed by histological examination, and hydroxyl radical, ATP (adenosine triphosphate), ADP (adenosine diphosphate),AMP (adenosine monophosphate) levels were determined by high performance liquid chromatography with electrochemical or ultraviolet detection. RESULTS: The number of survival neuronal in hippocampal CA1 sector in mild hypothermia + I/R group was more than that in I/R group after ischemia/reperfusion 96 h. The content of 2,3-DHBA (2,3- dihydroxybenzoic acid) in hippocampus in I/R group was much higher than those in sham operation and mild hypothermia + I/R group after reperfusion 6 h (P

Objective To assess the efficacy of NaClO irrigation of root canal at different temperatures.(Methods Thirty) human teeth with single root-canal mandible premolar were instrumented using standard technique,then were divided into 3 groups,carrying on root-canal irrigation.group A: 5.25% NaClO+System B,group B:5.25% NaClO+15% EDTA,group C:5.25% NaClO+System B+15% EDTA.After the teeth root were split,the scanning electron microscope was used to observe the coronal third,middle third and apical third parts.(Results The) amount of remaining debris on root canal wall in group C decreased significantly,compared with group A and B.The differences of coronal third and middle third between group A and B,group B and C,group A and C were significant(P0.05),but there were significant differences between group A,B and C(P

Objective To study the effect of laparoscopic cholecystectomy(LC) in the treatment of patients with schistosomiasis hepatic cirrhosis(SHC) complicated with symptomatic gallstone. Methods The clinical data of 256 cases of SHC with symptomatic gallstone underwent cholecystectomy in recent 4 years in our hospital were reviewed retrospectively. Of them, 74 underwent LC , which was compared with the cases who underwent open cholecystectomy(OC) in operation time, operative heamorrage,operative complications, and hospital stay.Results The operation time in LC group and OC group was 63 min and 54 min respectively; the operative bleeding of LC group was 15.6ml, OC group 85 ml;and hospital stay was 1.2days in LC group,8.9 days in OC group。Six cases of LC group was converted to OC.None had postoperative complications in LC group; but 1 case in OC group had bile leakage. Conclusions With strict the operative indications and proper operative method,LC in the treatment of SHC patients with gallstone is safe and feasible.

BACKGROUND: Fish oil is one of mainly natural resources of n-3 fatty acids, which can inhibit cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) and prolong the survival of cardiac allograft. But, the mechanism is unclear. Recent in vitro data suggested that n-3 fatty acids could inhibit the release of inflammatory transmitter by the activation of peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor-y (PPARy). OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that n-3 fatty acids from fish oil ameliorates CAV development via activating PPARy. METHODS: A total of 6 Lewis rats and 18 Fisher344 rats were randomly selected as heart donors. An additional 24 Lewis rats were randomly and equally divided into 4 groups. In isograft group, heart transplantation was performed among Lewis rats, without any drug. In low-dose fish oil-treated group, F344→Lewis transplantation was performed. At 1 day following surgery, 0.03 mL/kg fish oil was treated by gavage for 8 weeks. In high-dose fish oil-treated group, F344→Lewis transplantation was conducted. At 1 day following surgery, 0.06 mL/kg fish oil was treated by gavage for 8 weeks. In control group, F344→Lawis transplantation was conducted. Cyclosporine A was administrated by gavage for 8 weeks. In the low-dose and high-dose fish oil-treated groups, cyclosporine A (1.5 mg/kg) was given daily by intramuscular injection for 2 weeks following surgery. CAV was evaluated by histological examination. Activity of nuclear factor (NF) k-B and PPARy was assessed in homogenate. Contents of monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 and interferon-inducible protein 10 were measured by enzyme-labeled immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Chemokine receptor CCR2 and CXCR3 expression was determined by real-time quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: All 24 receptor Lewis rats were survived following surgery. The donor heart could regularly beat at 8 weeks following transplantation. Compared with the isograft group, severe CAV was detected in the control group al 8 weeks. Compared with the control group, CAV was significantly relieved, the activity of PPARy was significantly elevated, the activity of NF k-B was significantly decreased, levels of intragraft monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 and interferon-inducible protein-10 were significantly reduced in the low-dose and high-dose fish oil-treated groups (P < 0.001, P < 0.05), especially in the high-dose fish oil-treated group (P < 0.05). There was no significant difference in expression of chemokine receptors CXCR3 in the low-dose and high-dose fish oil-treated groups and control group. Our results demonstrated that n-3 fatty acids from fish oil can attenuate CAV development, possibly through activating PPARy and subsequently inhibiting the NF-kB activation, the chemokines secretion and its receptor expression in a dose-dependent fashion in rat models.

Objective To observe the correlation between 1-hour postload plasma glucose and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in elderly male patients with hypertension.Methods One hundred and twenty six elderly male patients with hypertension were enrolled and divided into four groups: normal glucose tolerance with normal 1 h plasma glucose (1 hPG) group (low-NGT, n=42); normal glucose tolerance with high lh plasma glucose group (high-NGT, n=23);impaired glucose tolerance group (IGT, n=27) and diabetic group (n=84). The differences of blood pressure, blood glucose, blood lipid and intimia-media thickness among groups were analyzed.Results OGTT 1 hPG in high-NGT group was similar with IGT group[(12.0±1.1)mmol/L vs. (11.1±1.8)mrnol/L, P>0. 053 ,but significantly higher than that in Iow-NGT group ((12.0±1.1)mmol/L vs. (9. 1±1.4) mmol/L, P<0.01]. The value of IMT was gradually increased in four groups (P<0.05) and it was (1.02±0. 12) mm in high-NGT group. OGTT 1 hPG was the independent risk factor for IMT(P< 0.01).Conclusions OC-TT 1h plasma glucose is associated with atherosclerosis in elderly male hypertensive people.

ObjectiveTo evaluate a computer-assisted operation planning system in curative hepatectomy for complex hilar cholangiocarcinoma.MethodsThe clinical data of 15 patients with complex hilar cholangiocarcinoma who were admitted to the Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2008 to December 2009 were retrospectively analyzed.Based on triple-phase contrast-enhanced computed tomography inages,a computer-assisted operative planning system was used to evaluate the anatomic relationship between the tumor and its adjacent vessels,liver volume,operative feasibility,and the potential surgical approaches.The accuracy of three-dimensional reconstruction was tested by comparison to actual intraoperative findings.The correlation between actual liver resection volumes and predicted liver resection volumes was analyzed by calculating a Pearson correlation coefficient.Differences in liver volumes calculated by two-dimensional techniques versus three-dimensional reconstruction were analyzed using the paired t test,and the error rate was compared using the chi-squarc test. Results Fifteen patients received curative hepatectomy,including extended hemihepatectomy in 8 patients and trisectionectony in 7 patients.Preoperative evaluation of the hepatic anatomy based on three-dimensional reconstruction imaging was confirmed with operative findings.The sensitivity,specificity and accuracy rates were 100.0％,72.7％ and 72.7％ for patients with portal invasion and 100.0％,78.6％ and 78.6％ for patients with hepatic arterial invasion,respectively.The actual liver resection volume was positively correlated with the predicted liver resection volume ( r =0.974,P ＜ 0.05 ).The mean liver volumes calculated by the three-dimensional reconstruction and the two-dimen-sional techniques were (458 ±86)ml and (491 ± 103 )ml,respectively,with no significant difference (t =-1.911,P ＞0.05 ).The error rates of the three-dimensional reconstruction and the two-dimensional techniques were 4.7％ and 7.2％,respectively,with no significant differnece ( x2 =2.381,P ＞ 0.05 ).Five patients had postoperative complications,and each was cured with conservative or interventional management. Conclusion The application of a computer-assisted operation planning system may improve the safety and accuracy of curative resection for complex hilar cholangiocarcinoma.