1.A Tobit regression model study on the demand for care services and care expenses of older adults
Zhaohui QIN ; Zefang GAO ; Shuo LU ; Xueling GUAN ; Liang SHEN ; Wenhao HUANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2023;42(10):1233-1238
Objective:In order to develop an appropriate care service system and care security system for the elderly in urban communities, it is necessary to gain a comprehensive understanding of their needs and utilization of care services, as well as the cost of care and the factors that influence it.This will provide a theoretical basis for developing effective countermeasures.Methods:A stratified random cluster sampling method was utilized to conduct a questionnaire survey on individuals aged 60 and above in the Xuzhou urban community.The survey aimed to gain insight into the needs, utilization, and expenditure of care services for the elderly.To analyze the factors influencing care expenditure, a single factor χ2 test and Tobit regression model were employed. Results:In our survey of 1 623 elderly individuals, it was found that 32.4%(526 people)had been bedridden for more than one day in the past year and were unable to care for themselves.Of the elderly who are bedridden, 393 individuals(74.7%)have received care services from professional institutions, with a focus on medical care(312 people, 79.4%)and rehabilitation care(95 people, 24.2%).In terms of financial expenditures, 91.7% of respondents(1 489 people)reported spending zero yuan in the past year, while 6.0%(96 people)spent between 1 and 4 999 yuan.Only 1.0%(17 people)reported spending between 5 000 and 9 999 yuan, and 1.3%(21 people)spent 10 000 yuan or more.The findings from the univariate analysis revealed that various factors, including marriage, age, medical expenses, and life satisfaction had a significant impact on the care expenses of the elderly(all P<0.05).Furthermore, the Tobit regression model demonstrated that certain variables were particularly influential in determining care expenses.Specifically, elderly individuals with higher monthly income(Me=3.114), advanced age(Me=3.458), knowledge of care insurance(Me=7.647), disability(Me=10.998), no spouse(Me=14.387), and dementia(Me=20.473)had significantly higher care expenses. Conclusions:The survey conducted in Xuzhou suggests that the demand for care services is high, yet the utilization rate remains low, leading to a significant burden of care costs.To address these challenges, we must prioritize the care needs of disabled, mentally retarded, and advanced-age elderly individuals.We should also focus on enhancing medical and rehabilitation care services, improving the overall quality of elderly care, and promoting the development of a comprehensive elderly care service system and care security system that caters to the specific needs and financial constraints of the elderly population.
2.Application value of metagenomic next-generation sequencing in pathogenic diagnosis of sus-pected infected severe acute pancreatitis
Xiaoyue HONG ; Jiayan LIN ; Jiarong LI ; Caihong NING ; Zefang SUN ; Baiqi LIU ; Lu CHEN ; Shuai ZHU ; Gengwen HUANG ; Dingcheng SHEN
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2024;23(5):720-725
Objective:To investigate the application value of metagenomic next-genera-tion sequencing (mNGS) in pathogenic diagnosis of suspected infected severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).Methods:The prospective study was conducted. The clinical data of 25 patients with suspected infected SAP who were admitted to the Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from May to September 2023 were collected. Upper limb venous blood samples of all the patients were collected for both of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture. Observation indicators: (1) grouping situations of the enrolled patients; (2) comparison of the diagnostic efficiency of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture; (3) results of peripheral blood pathogen microbial testing and peri-pancreatic effusion microbial culture; (4) testing time and cost. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the independent sample t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M( Q1, Q3). Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test. Results:(1) Grouping situations of the enrolled patients. A total of 25 patients were selected for eligibility. There were 18 males and 7 females, aged 48(40,59)years. The duration of hospital stay of 25 patients was 30(20,50)days. The etiologies of 25 patients included 14 cases of hyperlipidemic pancreatitis, 8 cases of biliary pancreatitis, 1 case of alcohol-induced acute pancreatitis, and 2 cases of pancreatitis caused by other causes. Of the 25 patients, there were 17 cases with infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) including 7 cases of death, and 8 cases with sterile pancreatic necrosis including no death. (2) Comparison of the diagnostic efficiency of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture. The positive rates of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture in diagnosis of suspected infected SAP were 72.0%(18/25) and 32.0%(8/25), respectively, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=8.01, P<0.05). The sensitivity and negative predic-tive value of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture in diagnosis of IPN were 94.1%(16/17), 35.3%(6/17) and 85.7%(6/7), 35.3%(6/17), showing significant differences between them ( χ2=12.88, 5.04, P<0.05). The specificity and positive predictive value of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture in diagnosis of IPN were 75.0%(6/8), 75.0%(6/8) and 88.9%(16/18), 75.0%(6/8), showing no significant difference between them ( χ2=0, 0.82, P>0.05). (3) Results of peripheral blood pathogen microbial testing and peripancreatic effusion microbial culture. Of the 17 patients with IPN, 36 strains of pathogenic bacteria were detected by mNGS, and 6 strains were detected by routine pathogen microbial culture. There were 16 of 17 patients with IPN showing positive mNGS pathogenic testing, of which 13 cases were consistent with the pathogenic testing results of peri-pancreatic effusion microbial culture, showing a consistency rate of 76.5%(13/17). There were 6 pati-ents with IPN showing positive routine pathogen microbial culture, with a consistency rate of 35.3%(6/17) to peripancreatic effusion microbial culture. (4) Testing time and cost. Testing time of mNGS and routine pathogen microbial culture were (43±17)hours and (111±36)hours, showing a signifi-cant difference between them ( t=9.31, P<0.05). Testing cost of mNGS was (2 267±0)yuan/case, accoun-ting for 1.7% of the hospitalization expenses of (133 759±120 744)yuan/case. Testing cost of routine pathogen microbial culture was (240±0)yuan/case, accounting of 0.2% of the hospitalization expenses. Conclusion:mNGS has important value for early pathogenic diagnosis of suspected infected SAP, and has a high timeliness.
3.Bibliometric Analysis of Off-label Drug Use in Dynamic Themes Evolution
CHU Liyuan ; SHEN Zefang ; ZHOU Yan ; LU Ruimin ; WEI Xuan ; YANG Tiantong
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2023;40(18):2576-2583
OBJECTIVE To study of the dynamic evolution process of the themes of off-label drug use from a macroscopic perspective, perspective is needed to reveal the overall development vein of the field, and discover research hot spots and development trends of the field. METHODS A total of 3 876 literatures published in Web of Science from 2012 to 2022 on the topic of off-label drug use were used to obtain three visual maps of overlapping map, systematic evolution map and strategic map by using SciMAT analysis, and these maps of each period were analyzed. RESULTS Over the past ten years, there had been an increasing in the number of publications, themes, and keywords on the off-label drug use, with research themes from the former period having a large impact on the latter period, with complex evolutionary pathways and increasing evolutionary themes. Roughly, 14 evolutionary paths were formed in 4 research directions:adolescents and children, treatment, off label use, and drug RCT. CONCLUSION The content and scope of research in the field of off-label drug use will be diversified and developed, with greater focus on pediatric drug use, psychiatric drug use, COVID-19, and guidelines will be paid more attention.
4.The clinical application value of next-generation sequencing technology based on metagenomics capture for identifying pathogens in infected pancreatic necrosis
Baiqi LIU ; Jiarong LI ; Xiaoyue HONG ; Jiayan LIN ; Caihong NING ; Zefang SUN ; Shuai ZHU ; Lu CHEN ; Dingcheng SHEN ; Yan YU ; Gengwen HUANG
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2024;33(9):1481-1487
Background and Aims:Accurate early pathogen diagnosis is a breakthrough for improving the prognosis of infectious pancreatic necrosis(IPN)patients.However,there is currently a lack of efficient methods for early identification of IPN in clinical settings.This study was performed to assess the application value of next-generation sequencing technology based on metagenomic capture(MetaCAP)in the pathogen diagnosis of IPN. Methods:A prospective study was conducted on 29 patients suspected of having acute necrotizing pancreatitis at Xiangya Hospital of Central South University between January and July 2024.Blood samples were tested using MetaCAP and conventional pathogen culture.The results of peritoneal fluid pathogen culture were used as the gold standard to compare the diagnostic efficacy of the two methods. Results:Due to three cases lacking peritoneal fluid culture results,a total of 26 cases were included in the final analysis.The overall mortality rate was 23.1%(6/26).During hospitalization,9 cases(34.6%)were diagnosed with IPN.The sensitivity and negative predictive value of MetaCAP for diagnosing IPN were significantly higher than those of conventional pathogen culture(77.8%vs.11.1%,P=0.031;86.7%vs.65.2%,P=0.032),while the differences in specificity(76.5%vs.88.2%,P=0.689)and positive predictive value(63.6%vs.33.3%,P=0.347)between the two methods were not statistically significant.The average detection time for MetaCAP was 33(20-49)h,while microbial culture took 125(45-142)h,with a significant difference(P<0.001).The average cost for blood MetaCAP testing was 2 500 yuan per case,but it accounted for only 1.19%of the average hospitalization cost. Conclusion:MetaCAP has significant value in the early pathogen diagnosis of IPN,with a shorter detection time,good testing efficacy,and health-economic value,demonstrating a promising clinical application prospect.