1.Retrospective study of risk factors of mortality in human avian influenza A(H7N9)cases in Hangzhou
Li XIE ; Qingkin CHENG ; Hua DING ; Zhou SUN ; Xuhui YANG ; Qingjun KAO ; Renjie HUANG ; Jing WANG
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2014;(11):683-687
Objective To investigate the risk factors related to mortality in human avian influenza A (H7N9)cases in Hangzhou.Methods The clinical and epidemiological data of 61 H7N9 patients whose diagnoses were confirmed by laboratory tests between 1st March,2013 and 2nd March,2014 in Hangzhou were collected.Descriptive analysis and univariate analysis were used to analyze the demographic,clinical and epidemiological characteristics and treatment outcomes.Patients were classified into improvement group and death group according to treatment outcomes,and risk factors for death were explored.Chi square test and t test were used for statistical analysis.Results A total of 61 patients were included in this study,among which 20(32.8%)patients died.The ratio of men to women for death attributed to H7N9 infection was three to one.The mean age of patients in death group was (63.6 ±3.8)years,which was older than that in improvement group ([55 .4±2.2]years,t =1 .97,P =0.05 ).The univariate analysis showed that the risk factors of mortality included over 60 years (χ2 =5 .16,P =0.02;OR =3.65 ,95 %CI :1 .19-11 .13 ),low education level (χ2 = 5 .42,P =0.02;OR =4.20,95 %CI :1 .24 - 14.00 ), chronic diseases (χ2 =4.67,P =0.03;OR=3.81 ,95 %CI :1 .12-12.69),bad hand hygiene (χ2 =4.05 , P =0.04;OR=4.67,95 %CI :1 .04 -11 .56 ),C-reactive protein (CRP)≥120 mg/L (χ2 =4.04,P =0.04;OR=6.00,95 %CI :1 .04-35 .33),increased initial neutrophil count (χ2 =3.90,P =0.05 ;OR=4.58,95 %CI :1 .01 -34.22)and decreased initial lymphocyte count (χ2 =7.12,P =0.01 ;OR =7.53, 95 %CI :1 .63 - 24.51 ).Conclusion Over 60 years,low education level,chronic diseases,bad hand hygiene,CRP≥ 120 mg/L,increased initial neutrophil count and decreased initial lymphocyte count are identified as risk factors for death in H7N9 cases in Hangzhou.
2.Application of nomogram model in predicting mortality of patients infected with avian influenza A (H7 N9)
Qinglin CHENG ; Hua DING ; Zhou SUN ; Qingjun KAO ; Xuhui YANG ; Renjie HUANG ; Yuanyuan WEN ; Jing WANG ; Li XIE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2015;(5):429-435
Objective To develop and validate a mortality risk prediction model for patients infected with avian influenza A H 7N9 virus.Methods A stratified and random sampling method was adopted for selection of subjects .A total of 102 patients infected with avian influenza A H7N9 virus, who were admitted to the designated hospitals in Zhejiang Province during March 2013 and March 2015, were enrolled.Standard questionnaires were used to collect data about demographic , epidemiologic and clinical characteristics , and the data were retrospectively reviewed . Univariate analysis and stepwise logistic regression analysis were used to identify the mortality risk factors of patients infected with avian influenza A H7N9 virus, and nomogram was applied to develop the risk prediction model .The accuracy of the prediction model was assessed using Concordance index (C-index) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results Stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥60 years (χ2 =3.98, OR=2.99, 95%CI:1.05-9.21, P<0.05), increased initial neutrophil count (χ2 =6.66,OR=5.06, 95%CI:1.56-18.83, P<0.05), C-reactive protein≥120mg/L (χ2 =8.63, OR=5.15, 95%CI:1.79-16.31, P<0. 01), poor hand hygiene (χ2 =6.83, OR =10.29, 95%CI:2.18-81.49, P <0.01) and 5 days of incubation period or shorter (χ2 =7.23, OR=4.75, 95%CI:1.59-15.80, P<0.01) were independent risk factors for mortality of patients .Based on the above study , a risk prediction model of nomogram was developed.Poor hand hygiene (grade A, 100.0 points) ranked on the top of all risk factors, followed by C-reactive protein≥120 mg/L (grade B, 76.5 points), increased initial neutrophil count (grade C, 70.5 points), 5 days of incubation period or shorter (grade D, 62.0 points) and age ≥60 years (grade E, 51.0 points).The C-index and the area under the curve were 0.833 and 0.817 for the nomogram model , respectively;and the nomogram model fitted well .Conclusion Nomogram model can effectively predict and estimate the risk of death for patients infected with avian influenza A H 7N9 virus.
3.Analysis of epidemiologic and etiology of hepatitis E in Hangzhou, 2004-2011
Qingjun KAO ; Zhou SUN ; Li XIE ; Xiaoying PU ; Xuhui YANG ; Renjie HUANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2014;(9):766-770
Objective To comprehend the epidemiologic of hepatitis E and genetic characteristics of hepatitis E virus ( HEV) in Hangzhou from 2004 to 2011.Methods Using China information system for disease control and prevention , the incidence of hepatitis E from 2004 to 2011 in Hangzhou city , and the basic information of patients were collected.In 2011, 65 hepatitis E laboratory confirmed cases were selected by random number table sampling method from the hospitals designated infectious diseases in Hangzhou city , and acquisition of the 60 blood specimens and stool specimens of 18 copies.One city and two surrounding counties were selected by cluster random sampling method in the context of Hangzhou city , and the pig slaughters and farmers were selected as the sampling point , and acquisition of pig gallbladder specimens of 52 copies,and 30 stool samples of scatter-feed pigs, 15 stool specimens of scatter-feed rabbits.HEV was tested in samples , gene extraction and analysis of gene sequence were conducted which were compared with gene bank HEV gene sequence , and a phylogenetic tree was formed.The epidemic characteristics of hepatitis E of Hangzhou city from 2004 to 2011 were described.The difference of incidence of hepatitis E was analyzed between years and sexes in Hangzhou city.Results There were reported a total of 3 490 cases of hepatitis E in Hangzhou from 2004 to 2011, and 3 cases of death;The average annual incidence rate was 5.79/100 000(3 490/60 276 338).There was the overall upward trend in incidence between different years (χ2 =52.38,P<0.01), which the highest was 8.10/100 000(705/8 700 373) in 2011, and the lowest incidence rate was 4.19/100 000 in 2005.The incidence of males ( 8.12/100 000 ( 2 474/30 450 990 ) ) was significantly higher than that of the females (3.46/100 000(1 016/29 384 491)) (χ2 =558.45,P<0.05).78 specimens of blood and stool were collected , including 16 positive samples, with positive rate 21%.There were a total of 97 specimens of pig gallbladder , pig manure and rabbit stool , including 2 positive rabbit stool samples , with positive rate of 2%.HEV genes isolated from Hangzhou were mainly typeⅣ, with homology of 91.8%to 100%; compared with human type Ⅳ strains, the homology of nucleotide was 84.6%-96.7%; compared with type Ⅳ strain of pig genome sequence alignment , homology was 82.6%-95.2%.Conclusion Hepatitis E′s incidence showed an increasing trend year by year in Hangzhou.HEV of type Ⅳ was dominant , and HEV strains in the human and swine were highly homologous.
4.Analysis of epidemiologic and etiology of hepatitis E in Hangzhou, 2004-2011
Qingjun KAO ; Zhou SUN ; Li XIE ; Xiaoying PU ; Xuhui YANG ; Renjie HUANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2014;(9):766-770
Objective To comprehend the epidemiologic of hepatitis E and genetic characteristics of hepatitis E virus ( HEV) in Hangzhou from 2004 to 2011.Methods Using China information system for disease control and prevention , the incidence of hepatitis E from 2004 to 2011 in Hangzhou city , and the basic information of patients were collected.In 2011, 65 hepatitis E laboratory confirmed cases were selected by random number table sampling method from the hospitals designated infectious diseases in Hangzhou city , and acquisition of the 60 blood specimens and stool specimens of 18 copies.One city and two surrounding counties were selected by cluster random sampling method in the context of Hangzhou city , and the pig slaughters and farmers were selected as the sampling point , and acquisition of pig gallbladder specimens of 52 copies,and 30 stool samples of scatter-feed pigs, 15 stool specimens of scatter-feed rabbits.HEV was tested in samples , gene extraction and analysis of gene sequence were conducted which were compared with gene bank HEV gene sequence , and a phylogenetic tree was formed.The epidemic characteristics of hepatitis E of Hangzhou city from 2004 to 2011 were described.The difference of incidence of hepatitis E was analyzed between years and sexes in Hangzhou city.Results There were reported a total of 3 490 cases of hepatitis E in Hangzhou from 2004 to 2011, and 3 cases of death;The average annual incidence rate was 5.79/100 000(3 490/60 276 338).There was the overall upward trend in incidence between different years (χ2 =52.38,P<0.01), which the highest was 8.10/100 000(705/8 700 373) in 2011, and the lowest incidence rate was 4.19/100 000 in 2005.The incidence of males ( 8.12/100 000 ( 2 474/30 450 990 ) ) was significantly higher than that of the females (3.46/100 000(1 016/29 384 491)) (χ2 =558.45,P<0.05).78 specimens of blood and stool were collected , including 16 positive samples, with positive rate 21%.There were a total of 97 specimens of pig gallbladder , pig manure and rabbit stool , including 2 positive rabbit stool samples , with positive rate of 2%.HEV genes isolated from Hangzhou were mainly typeⅣ, with homology of 91.8%to 100%; compared with human type Ⅳ strains, the homology of nucleotide was 84.6%-96.7%; compared with type Ⅳ strain of pig genome sequence alignment , homology was 82.6%-95.2%.Conclusion Hepatitis E′s incidence showed an increasing trend year by year in Hangzhou.HEV of type Ⅳ was dominant , and HEV strains in the human and swine were highly homologous.
5.Genomic analysis of a 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) strain in the first COVID-19 patient found in Hangzhou
Hua YU ; Xuchu WANG ; Jun LI ; Xin QIAN ; Xinfen YU ; Zhou SUN ; Junfang CHEN ; Qingjun KAO ; Haoqiu WANG ; Jingcao PAN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2020;54(5):486-490
Objective:To understand the viral genomic characteristics of a 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) strain in the first COVID-19 patient found in Hangzhou, China.Methods:Viral RNA was extracted in throat swab and sputum sample of the patient and was performed real-time reverse transcription PCR detection and obtained viral genome by high-throughput sequencing method. Phylogenetic analysis was conducted using 29 2019-nCoV genomes and 30 β-coronavirus genomes deposited in NCBI GenBank. Fifteen genomes from Wuhan were grouped by mutation sites and others were identified by Wuhan's or specific mutation sites.Results:A 29 833 bp length genome of the first 2019-nCoV strain in Hangzhou was obtained, covering full length of the coding regions of coronavirus. Phylogenetic analysis showed that the genome was closest to the genome of a bat SARS-like coronavirus strain RaTG13 with an identity of 96.11% (28 666/29 826). Among the genes between two genomes, E genes were highly conserved (99.56%), while S genes had lowest identity (92.87%). The genome sequence similarities among 29 strains from China (Hangzhou, Wuhan, and Shenzhen), Japan, USA, and Finland, were all more than 99.9%; however, some single nucleotide polymorphisms were identified in some strains.Conclusion:The genome of Hangzhou 2019-nCoV strain was very close to the genomes of strains from other cities in China and overseas collected at early epidemic phase. The 2019-nCoV genome sequencing method used in this paper provides an useful tool for monitoring variation of viral genes.
6.Genomic analysis of a 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) strain in the first COVID-19 patient found in Hangzhou
Hua YU ; Xuchu WANG ; Jun LI ; Xin QIAN ; Xinfen YU ; Zhou SUN ; Junfang CHEN ; Qingjun KAO ; Haoqiu WANG ; Jingcao PAN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2020;54(5):486-490
Objective:To understand the viral genomic characteristics of a 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) strain in the first COVID-19 patient found in Hangzhou, China.Methods:Viral RNA was extracted in throat swab and sputum sample of the patient and was performed real-time reverse transcription PCR detection and obtained viral genome by high-throughput sequencing method. Phylogenetic analysis was conducted using 29 2019-nCoV genomes and 30 β-coronavirus genomes deposited in NCBI GenBank. Fifteen genomes from Wuhan were grouped by mutation sites and others were identified by Wuhan's or specific mutation sites.Results:A 29 833 bp length genome of the first 2019-nCoV strain in Hangzhou was obtained, covering full length of the coding regions of coronavirus. Phylogenetic analysis showed that the genome was closest to the genome of a bat SARS-like coronavirus strain RaTG13 with an identity of 96.11% (28 666/29 826). Among the genes between two genomes, E genes were highly conserved (99.56%), while S genes had lowest identity (92.87%). The genome sequence similarities among 29 strains from China (Hangzhou, Wuhan, and Shenzhen), Japan, USA, and Finland, were all more than 99.9%; however, some single nucleotide polymorphisms were identified in some strains.Conclusion:The genome of Hangzhou 2019-nCoV strain was very close to the genomes of strains from other cities in China and overseas collected at early epidemic phase. The 2019-nCoV genome sequencing method used in this paper provides an useful tool for monitoring variation of viral genes.
7.Epidemiological characteristics of a local cluster epidemic caused by the BA.2 evolutionary branch of Omicron variant
Zhaokai HE ; Zhe WANG ; Qingjun KAO ; Shi CHENG ; Shuang FENG ; Tingting ZHAO ; Yanyang TAO ; Xinfen YU ; Zhou SUN
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;58(1):65-70
Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the epidemiological characteristics of the local cluster of COVID-19 in the logistic park of Yuhang District in Hangzhou in March 2022. The cluster epidemic was detected by a case who actively visited the fever clinic. The epidemic lasted for 8 days, and a total of 58 cases (53 workers, 2 students, 1 farmer, 1 teacher and 1 unemployed) were found, including 40 males and 18 females. The age was (33.29±12.22) years. There cases were mainly in Yuhang District (48 cases, 82.77%) and Shangcheng District (7 cases, 12.07%) of Hangzhou. The real-time regeneration number peaked at 2.31 on March 10 th and decreased to 0.37 on March 15 th. The sequencing result of the indicated case was 100% homologous with the sequence uploaded from South Korea on March 4 th, 2022.
8.Epidemiological characteristics and spatio-temporal aggregation of scrub typhus in Hangzhou City from 2010 to 2022
Zhou SUN ; Yi WANG ; Qingjun KAO ; Renjie HUANG ; Xiaobin REN
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2024;43(7):554-558
Objective:To study the epidemic characteristics and spatio-temporal distribution of scrub typhus in Hangzhou City.Methods:The case information of scrub typhus in Hangzhou City from 2010 to 2022 was collected through the Infectious Disease Surveillance and Reporting Information System of China Disease Prevention and Control Information System, and the incidence, time, population, and regional distribution characteristics of scrub typhus were analyzed. With street (township) as the unit, ArcGIS 10.2 software was used for global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis, SaTScan 10.1.2 software was used for spatio-temporal aggregation scanning.Results:From 2010 to 2022, a total of 362 cases were reported in Hangzhou City, with a median annual incidence of 0.260/100 000. The incidence showed a fluctuating upward trend year by year ( Z = 3.84, P < 0.001). The highest incidence was 0.528/100 000 in 2021 and the lowest incidence was 0.013/100 000 in 2010. The median time interval between onset and diagnosis was 7 days, ranging from 1 to 28 days. The peak incidence period was from September to November (52.49%, 190/362). There were 149 males (41.16%, 149/362) and 213 females (58.84%, 213/362). The age group of 60 - 69 years old had the highest number of cases, accounting for 32.32% (117/362). The majority of occupations were farmers (77.35%, 280/362). The top 3 regions with reported cases were Chun'an County (257 cases, 70.99%), Lin'an District (33 cases, 9.12%), and Jiande City (19 cases, 5.25%). Global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was spatial aggregation in the incidence of scrub typhus in other years except 2015 - 2018 ( P < 0.05). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that, except for 2015 and 2016, the incidence of scrub typhus in other years occurred in hot spots (high-high), which were all located in Chun'an County. The spatio-temporal aggregation analysis showed that the class Ⅰ cluster was centered around Jinfeng Township in Chun'an County, with a clustering period from December 2018 to November 2021, involving 22 townships. The class Ⅱ cluster was centered around Wanshi Township in Fuyang District, with a clustering period from December 2021 to November 2022, involving 14 streets (townships). Both of the two clusters were mountainous agricultural areas, with reported cases accounting for 38.67% (140/362). Conclusions:In Hangzhou City, the majority of scrub typhus cases are elderly female farmers, with a high incidence season in autumn, mainly occurring in agricultural areas in mountainous areas. It is recommended to carry out comprehensive prevention and control measures such as health education and personal protection for key populations, seasons and regions.
9.Analysis of epidemic characteristics of forty-two COVID-19 cluster outbreaks in Hangzhou
Zhou SUN ; Junfang CHEN ; Muwen LIU ; Qingjun KAO ; Qingxin KONG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(3):265-267
Objective To determine the epidemic characteristics of forty-two coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cluster outbreaks in Hangzhou city and provide scientific evidence for further prevention and control measures. Methods Data of the COVID-19 cluster outbreaks in Hangzhou were obtained from the National Public Health Emergency Management Information System. Epidemic characteristics were summarized by reviewing the epidemiological investigation reports. Results A total of forty-two COVID-19 cluster outbreaks were documented in Hangzhou in 2020, including 130 confirmed cases and 7 cases with asymptomatic infection. The majority occurred from January to February, 2020. Moreover, 92.86% (39/42) of the cluster outbreaks were familial transmission. The proportion of the cluster outbreaks involving 2 cases accounted for 54.7% (23/42). In the secondary cases, family members accounted for 84.15% (69/82). Conclusion The COVID-19 cluster outbreaks in Hangzhou mainly occur in families, and the majority of the secondary cases is family members.
10.Analysis of epidemiologic and etiology of hepatitis E in Hangzhou, 2004-2011.
Qingjun KAO ; Zhou SUN ; Li XIE ; Xiaoying PU ; Xuhui YANG ; Renjie HUANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2014;48(9):766-770
OBJECTIVETo comprehend the epidemiologic of hepatitis E and genetic characteristics of hepatitis E virus (HEV) in Hangzhou from 2004 to 2011.
METHODSUsing China information system for disease control and prevention, the incidence of hepatitis E from 2004 to 2011 in Hangzhou city, and the basic information of patients were collected. In 2011, 65 hepatitis E laboratory confirmed cases were selected by random number table sampling method from the hospitals designated infectious diseases in Hangzhou city, and acquisition of the 60 blood specimens and stool specimens of 18 copies. One city and two surrounding counties were selected by cluster random sampling method in the context of Hangzhou city, and the pig slaughters and farmers were selected as the sampling point, and acquisition of pig gallbladder specimens of 52 copies, and 30 stool samples of scatter-feed pigs, 15 stool specimens of scatter-feed rabbits. HEV was tested in samples, gene extraction and analysis of gene sequence were conducted which were compared with gene bank HEV gene sequence, and a phylogenetic tree was formed. The epidemic characteristics of hepatitis E of Hangzhou city from 2004 to 2011 were described. The difference of incidence of hepatitis E was analyzed between years and sexes in Hangzhou city.
RESULTSThere were reported a total of 3 490 cases of hepatitis E in Hangzhou from 2004 to 2011, and 3 cases of death; The average annual incidence rate was 5.79/100 000 (3 490/60 276 338). There was the overall upward trend in incidence between different years (χ² = 52.38, P < 0.01) , which the highest was 8.10/100 000 (705/8 700 373) in 2011, and the lowest incidence rate was 4.19/100 000 in 2005. The incidence of males (8.12/100 000 (2 474/30 450 990) ) was significantly higher than that of the females (3.46/100 000 (1 016/29 384 491) ) (χ² = 558.45, P < 0.05). 78 specimens of blood and stool were collected, including 16 positive samples, with positive rate 21%. There were a total of 97 specimens of pig gallbladder, pig manure and rabbit stool, including 2 positive rabbit stool samples, with positive rate of 2%. HEV genes isolated from Hangzhou were mainly type IV, with homology of 91.8% to 100%; compared with human type IV strains, the homology of nucleotide was 84.6%-96.7%; compared with type IV strain of pig genome sequence alignment, homology was 82.6%-95.2%.
CONCLUSIONHepatitis E's incidence showed an increasing trend year by year in Hangzhou. HEV of type IV was dominant, and HEV strains in the human and swine were highly homologous.
Adolescent ; Animals ; China ; epidemiology ; Disease Vectors ; Feces ; Female ; Hepatitis E ; epidemiology ; etiology ; Hepatitis E virus ; Humans ; Incidence ; Male ; Rabbits ; blood ; microbiology ; Rural Population ; statistics & numerical data ; Sequence Alignment ; Sequence Homology, Nucleic Acid ; Sex Factors ; Swine ; blood ; microbiology ; Urban Population ; statistics & numerical data