1.Application of discriminant analysis in the screening of cytomegalovirus pneumonia
Zhaocheng ZENG ; Changchun YU ; Zhiwei SUN ; Mingmei SONG ; Xiaoqiao CHEN ; Liping CHENG
International Journal of Pediatrics 2013;(1):104-106
Objective To look for a reliable and convenient judgement criteria for the screening of cytomegalovirus pneumonia in order to reduce misdiagnosis and resulted mistherapy.Methods Process collected data on fifty-six cytomegalovirus pneumonia and forty-two common viruses induced asthmatic bronchitis cases by use of discriminant analysis to construct prediction model of diagnosis result.Results Only three indexes including age,lymph count and platelet count were selected into the model via sift.The performance of the established screening model showed as follows:sensitivity was 80.36%,specificity was 80.95%,misdiagnosis rate was 19.05%,false negative rate was 19.64%,diagnostic accordance rate was 80.61%.Conclusion Being concise and of strong maneuverability and high accuracy in prediction,cytomegalovirus pneumonia diagnosis model constructed through discriminant analysis can provide powerful screening means for medical staff.
2.The value of stroke volume variation in prediction of responsiveness to fluid resuscitation in patients with septic shock
Song PENG ; Lin ZHANG ; Mingmei ZHONG ; Jing ZHANG ; Mingwei HAO ; Cheming ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2013;22(11):1260-1264
Objective To determine whether stroke volume variation (SVV) in relation to volume loading in mechanically ventilated patients with septic shock.Methods Data of thirty-two mechanically ventilated patients with septic shock admitted from Dec 2009 to May 2012 were prospectively analyzed.Cardiac index (CI),stroke volume (SV),systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI) and stroke volume variation (SVV) were measured by FloTrac/Vigileo before and after fluid resuscitation (250 mL saline in 10 min).Patients with an increase in SV (△SV) ≥ 10% and < 10% after fluid volume loading were classified as responders and non-responders,respectively.The comparisons between these two sorts of patients were assessed by using two sample Student' s t-test,and comparisons between changes before and after fluid challenge were assessed by using a paired Student' s t-test.A Pearson' s correlation analysis was employed for evaluate the correlation between △SV and other haemodynamic variables.The roles of SVV,central venous pressure (CVP),mean artery pressure (MAP) and the changes of CVP (△CVP),MAP (△MAP) after fluid administration in predicting volume responsiveness were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results Thirty-two patients with septic shock were included in this study.There were 54 instances of fluid challenge performed,among which 35 instances were defined as response group.Significantly increased SV induced by fluid challenge was assigned into response group (83.6 ± 15.6) mL vs.(68.5 ± 14.2) mL,P <0.01,while in non-response group,there were no significant change in SV (P >0.05).SVV was significantly correlated with SV before fluid loading (r =0.522,P < 0.01).The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for stroke volume variation (SVV) was 0.898 (95% CI:0.796-1.000).Using SVV ≥ 11.5% as the threshold to predict fluid responsiveness,the sensitivity was 94% and specificity was 84%.Conclusions SVV can be used to predict fluid responsiveness in patients with septic shock.
3.Analysis of risk factors and pathogens for stroke associated pneumonia in intensive care unit
Mingmei ZHONG ; Fan WANG ; Lin ZHANG ; Song PENG ; Jin ZHANG ; Mingwei HAO
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2015;24(9):1004-1010
Objective To analyze the incidence,risk factors and pathogens of stroke associated pneumonia (SAP) in patients with acute stroke in the intensive care unit (ICU).Methods One hundred and forty-two patients with acute stroke admitted in ICU from January 2012 to December 2013 were retrospectively studied.The data of medical history of patients,treatment,prognosis,and pathogens of SAP were collected.Data were analyzed by t test,Mann-Whitney U test,Pearson x2 test and muhivariable logistic regression.Results Of 142 patients,94 (66.2%) were contracted SAP of which 54.3% were early-onset pneumonia (EOP≤72 h) and 45.7% were late-onset pneumonia (LOP >72 h).The most common pathogens isolated from EOP were Staphylococcus aureus and Klebsiella pneumonia,while the most common pathogens isolated from LOP were Acinetobacter baumanii,Staphylococcus aureus and Pseudomonas aeruginosa.Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that hemorrhagic apoplexy,history of stroke,higher APACHE score,dysphagia,prolonged use of mechanical ventilation,prolonged stay in ICU,and hyperglycemia were the independent risk factors of SAP,and the odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were 10.917 (1.834-60.959),15.223 (1.947-96.969),1.607 (1.253-2.062),5.321 (1.225-26.519),1.809 (1.208-2.709),1.391 (1.085-1.783),1.534 (1.l01-2.138),respectively.While plasma albumin level was negatively associated with SAP (OR =0.809,95% CI:0.674-0.971).The common risk factors of EOP and LOP were higher APACHE score and prolonged use of of mechanical ventilation.The independent risk factors of EOP were dysphagia (OR =4.331,95% CI:1.330-14.098),history of stroke (OR =13.690,95% CI:2.198-85.277) and chronic bronchitis (OR =12.907,95% CI:1.203-138.542),While those of LOP were prolonged stay in ICU (OR =1.687,95 % CI:1.131-2.517),hemorrhagic apoplexy (OR =21.657,95% CI:1.559-106.752) and low plasma albumin level (OR =0.782,95% CI:0.637-0.961).There was no significant difference in mortality between EOP (49%) and LOP (44.2%) (P > 0.05),but the mortality of SAP was significantly higher than that of non-SAP group.Conclusions The incidence rate and mortality of SAP are quite high in ICU.The pathogens and risk factors are different between EOP and LOP.This observation results suggest it is important to identify high-risk stroke patients,and to develop a novel treatment strategy and prophylactic measures facilitating limiting the complications of stroke.
4.The levels of angiopoietin-2 in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome and its value on prognosis
Mingmei ZHONG ; Lin ZHANG ; Fan WANG ; Song PENG ; Jin ZHANG ; Guoping XUAN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2014;(11):804-809
Objective To approach the correlation between angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) levels and degree of lung injury and prognosis and its clinical significance in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Methods A prospective observation was conducted. Fifty-three ARDS patients admitted to Department of Critical Care Medicine of Third Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2012 to March 2014 were enrolled. According to the criteria of the Berlin Definition of ARDS,the patients were divided into mild group (n=15),moderate group(n=22)and severe group(n=16). Meanwhile,ARDS patients were further divided into survival group(n=29)and non-survival group(n=24)according to 28-day outcomes. Twenty cases of non-ARDS patients were served as control. The acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ)score,sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)score,oxygenation index(PaO2/FiO2),lung injury score(LIS)were recorded within 24 hours after admission. And the plasma levels of Ang-2,interleukin-6(IL-6)and C-reaction protein (CRP)were measured. The independent risk factors of ARDS were analyzed by univariate and multivariable logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)was plotted to evaluate the value of Ang-2 in predicting ARDS. Results Compared with non-ARDS group,APACHEⅡ score,SOFA score,LIS score,mortality were significantly increased,PaO2/FiO2 was significantly decreased,and plasma Ang-2,IL-6,CRP were significantly elevated〔APACHEⅡscore:20.7±5.0 vs. 14.1±5.3,SOFA score:7.7±3.5 vs. 3.5±2.1,LIS score:1.69±0.71 vs. 0.28±0.27,PaO2/FiO2(mmHg,1 mmHg=0.133 kPa):159.5±61.3 vs. 394.0±63.2,mortality:45.3%(24/53) vs. 20.0%(4/20),Ang-2(μg/L):4.73(2.59,6.99)vs. 1.22(0.61,1.52),IL-6(ng/L):56.50(27.15,139.90)vs. 13.05(4.38,15.55),CRP(mg/L):95.75(41.74,189.72)vs. 10.56(3.92,21.36),P<0.05 or P<0.01〕. Each index increased or decreased more significantly with the aggravation of the disease. It was shown by correlation analysis that the plasma levels of Ang-2 was significantly positive correlated with IL-6(r=0.468,P=0.000),CRP(r=0.492,P=0.000),APACHEⅡscore(r=0.560,P=0.000),SOFA score(r=0.508,P=0.000)and LIS score (r=0.588,P=0.000),significantly negatively correlated with PaO2/FiO2(r=-0.685,P=0.000). Factors, APACHEⅡ score,LIS score,PaO2/FiO2,Ang-2 and IL-6 founded statistical significance in univariate analysis were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression. High APACHEⅡscore at admission〔odds ratio(OR)=1.316, 95% confidence interval(95%CI)=1.040-1.633,P=0.022〕and increased plasma Ang-2 levels(OR=1.287, 95%CI=1.041-1.760,P=0.038)were the independent prognostic factors for the 28-day mortality in ARDS. The area under the ROC curve of Ang-2 was 0.964,the optimal critical value of Ang-2 was 1.79μg/L,the specificity was 90.0%,and sensitivity was 92.5%. Plasma levels of Ang-2 was better in predicting ARDS than APACHEⅡscore, SOFA score and IL-6. Conclusions The plasma level of Ang-2 was significantly increased in patients with ARDS. The plasma level of Ang-2 was correlated with the severity of acute lung injury and had important prognosis evaluation.