1.Early Dengue infection and outcome study (EDEN) - study design and preliminary findings.
Jenny G H LOW ; Eng-Eong OOI ; Thomas TOLFVENSTAM ; Yee-Sin LEO ; Martin L HIBBERD ; Lee-Ching NG ; Yee-Ling LAI ; Grace S L YAP ; Chenny S C LI ; Subhash G VASUDEVAN ; Adrian ONG
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2006;35(11):783-789
INTRODUCTIONDengue is a major public health problem in Singapore. Age-specific dengue morbidity rates are highest in the young adult population, unlike in many other Southeast Asian countries where dengue is mainly a paediatric disease. Hence, the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines on dengue diagnosis and management which were developed using the paediatric experiences, may not be suitable for the management of adult dengue infections.
MATERIALS AND METHODSThe Early DENgue (EDEN) infection and outcome study is a collaborative longitudinal study to investigate epidemiological, clinical, viral and host-specific features of early dengue-infected adults, in an effort to identify new early markers for prognostication. Patients presenting with early undifferentiated fever were included in the study. We carried out an interim analysis to look for early indicators of severe disease.
RESULTSDuring the period of this interim study analysis, 455 febrile patients were recruited. Of these, 133 were confirmed as acute dengue cases based on dengue-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) results. There were significant clinical and epidemiological differences between dengue and febrile non-dengue cases. Nine per cent of the dengue cases experienced persistent tiredness, drowsiness and loss of appetite beyond 3 weeks of illness. Quantitation of viral loads using the crossover (Ct) value of real-time RT-PCR correlated with the duration of symptoms. More than half of both primary and secondary dengue cases were hospitalised. There was no dengue-related mortality in this study.
CONCLUSIONThe duration of illness and prolonged symptom duration in 9% of the subjects indicate that the burden of dengue illness is substantially different from other non-dengue febrile illness in our study cohort. Our study also highlights the paucity of early prognostic markers for dengue fever in adults.
Adult ; Antibodies, Viral ; analysis ; Dengue ; diagnosis ; epidemiology ; virology ; Dengue Virus ; genetics ; immunology ; isolation & purification ; Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Humans ; Male ; Morbidity ; trends ; Prognosis ; RNA, Viral ; analysis ; Retrospective Studies ; Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction ; Singapore ; epidemiology
2.Experience conducting COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness studies in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan and the Philippines: lessons for future epidemics and potential pandemics
Takeshi Arashiro ; Regina Pascua Berba ; Joy Potenciano Calayo ; Rontgene Solante ; Shuichi Suzuki ; Jinho Shin ; Motoi Suzuki ; Martin Hibberd ; Koya Ariyoshi ; Chris Smith
Western Pacific Surveillance and Response 2025;16(2):03-10
roblem: Once COVID-19 vaccines were rolled out, there was a need to monitor real-world vaccine effectiveness to accumulate evidence to inform policy and risk communication. This was especially true in Japan and the Philippines, given historical issues that affected vaccine confidence.
Context: Neither country had public health surveillance that could be enhanced to evaluate vaccine effectiveness or readily available national vaccination databases.
Action: Study groups were established in multiple health-care facilities in each country to assess vaccine effectiveness against both symptomatic infection and severe disease.
Outcome: In Japan, multiple study reports were published in Japanese on the website of the National Institute of Infectious Diseases and presented at the national government’s advisory board. Nationwide media coverage facilitated transparency and increased the confidence of the government and the public in the vaccination programme. In the Philippines, the launch of the study was delayed so as to align the research plan with the interests of various stakeholders and to obtain institutional review board approval. Ultimately, the studies were successfully initiated and completed.
Discussion: There were four main challenges in conducting our studies: finding health-care facilities for data collection; obtaining exposure (vaccination) data; identifying epidemiological biases and confounders; and informing policy and risk communication in a timely manner. Preparedness during inter-emergency/epidemic/pandemic periods to rapidly evaluate relevant interventions such as vaccination is critical and should include the following considerations: (1) the establishment and maintenance of prospective data collection platforms, ideally under public health surveillance (if not, clinical research networks or linked databases); (2) uniform and practical protocols considering biases and confounders; and (3) communication with stakeholders including institutional review boards.
3.Sociobehavioural factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against medically attended, symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Philippines: a prospective case-control study (FASCINATE-P study)
Takeshi Arashiro ; Regina Pascua Berba ; Joy Potenciano Calayo ; Marie Kris ; Reby Marie Garcia ; Shuichi Suzuki ; Cecile Dungog ; Jonathan Rivera ; Greco Mark Malijan ; Kristal An Agrupis ; Mary Jane Salazar ; Mary Ann Salazar ; Jinho Shin ; Martin Hibberd ; Koya Ariyoshi ; Chris Smith
Western Pacific Surveillance and Response 2025;16(1):49-60
Objective: We examined sociobehavioural factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection and estimated COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Philippines. Such studies are limited in low- and middle-income countries, especially in Asia and the Pacific.
Methods: A case-control study was conducted in two hospitals in Manila, Philippines, from March 2022 to June 2023. Sociobehavioural factors and vaccination history were collected. PCR-positive individuals were cases, while PCR-negative individuals were controls. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) were calculated to examine associations between sociobehavioural factors/vaccination and medically attended SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Results: The analysis included 2489 individuals (574 positive cases, 23.1%; 1915 controls, 76.9%; median age [interquartile range]: 35 [27–51] years). Although education and household income were not associated with infection, being a health-care worker was (aOR: 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03–2.06). The odds of infection were higher among individuals who attended gatherings of five or more people compared to those who attended smaller gatherings (aOR: 2.58; 95% CI: 1.14–5.83). Absolute vaccine effectiveness for vaccination status was not estimated due to a high risk of bias, for example, unascertained prior infection. Moderate relative vaccine effectiveness for the first booster (32%; 95% CI: -120–79) and the second booster (48%; 95% CI: -23–78) were observed (both with wide CI), albeit with a waning trend after half a year.
Discussion: The higher odds of infection among health-care workers emphasize the importance of infection prevention and control measures. Moderate relative vaccine effectiveness with a waning trend reiterates the need for more efficacious vaccines against symptomatic infection caused by circulating variants and with longer duration of protection.