1.Epidemiological secular trend of main respiratory infectious diseases among 6-19 year-old population in Shenzhen from 2013 to 2022
LUO Rijing ; WEN Ying ; CHENG Yanpeng ; CHEN Nixuan ; HUANG Fang ; CHEN Zhigao ; ZHANG Zhen ; LYU Qiuying
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(2):184-
Objective To analyze epidemiological characteristics and changing trends of common respiratory infectious diseases among 6-19 year-old population in Shenzhen from 2013 to 2021, and to provide a reference for prevention and control. Methods Data of influenza, mumps and varicella reported cases among the population aged 6-19 years in Shenzhen from 2013 to 2021 were collected, and descriptive methods and Joinpoint regression model were used to analyze epidemiological characteristics and trends of incidences. Results Between 2013 and 2022 in Shenzhen, the average annual incidence rates of influenza, mumps, and varicella among the population aged 6-19 years were 961.44/100 000, 157.70/100 000, and 664.34/100 000 respectively. The incidence of influenza showed an upward trend in 10 years, with an annual percent change (APC) of 52.88% (P<0.05). The incidence of mumps and varicella both showed an 'up-down' trend, with an inflection point in 2019. The incidence APC of mumps were 11.51% and -43.49%, respectively (P>0.05), while the incidence APC of varicella were 28.88% and -50.03%, respectively (P<0.05), respectively. From the point of seasonal distribution, the incidence of three infectious diseases all showed bimodal distribution, with peaks in winter (December to January of the following year) and at the turn from spring to summer (April to June). The proportion of reported cases of three infectious diseases among people aged 6-<10 years old exceeded 60%. The proportion of varicella cases among people aged 10-<15 and 15-19 was on the rise. The incidence rate of influenza and varicella in people aged 15-19 years increased fastest, with APCs of 77.89% and 33.00%, respectively (both P<0.05). Conclusions The trend analysis based on Joinpoint regression model displayed that the reported incidence of influenza among people aged 6-19 years in Shenzhen during 2013-2022 showed an upward trend, and the incidence of varicella had an 'up-down' trend. Children aged 6-<10 years old are the main incidence group, and the prevention and control of infectious diseases in primary schools should be further promoted. Meanwhile, the rapid rise in the incidence of respiratory infectious diseases among people aged 15-19 years old and the increase in the proportion of varicella cases among people aged 10-19 years old suggest that intervention should be carried out to address the influential factors such as immunization gaps and concentrated accommodation in the older age group of minors.
2.Analysis of mortality burden among permanent residents in Shenzhen, 2014-2021
Dan CAI ; Jia ZHANG ; Jiarong LIU ; Xinrong DU ; Yingbin FU ; Zhen ZHANG ; Qiuying LYU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(8):1093-1102
Objective:To investigate the mortality burden among permanent residents in Shenzhen from 2014 to 2021 and to provide scientific evidence for establishing precision disease prevention and control strategy.Methods:Based on the cause-of-death surveillance data, we described the distribution of mortality rate, cause-specific rankings, and years of life lost (YLL) for the total population and subgroups in Shenzhen from 2014 to 2021. The seventh national population census data was used as the standard population to calculate the standardized mortality rate. Joinpoint log-linear regression model was used to analyze the chronic trend of mortality burden.Results:From 2014 to 2021, 49 734 deaths among the permanent population were recorded in Shenzhen, with a 140.90/100 000 average crude mortality rate, standardized as 366.77/100 000. Both the crude mortality rate and standardized mortality rate showed fluctuating increases from 2014 to 2016 [annual percent change (APC)=20.72%, P=0.048, APC=28.59%, P=0.016] and fluctuating decreases from 2016 to 2021 (APC=-1.55%, P=0.317, APC=-1.89%, P=0.190). The mortality rates of the <20 and 20- age groups decreased over time, with a statistically significant decrease observed in the <20 age group [average annual percent change (AAPC)=-11.91%, P<0.001]. The mortality rates of the 40-, 60-, and ≥80 age groups increased over time, with an increase observed in the ≥80 age group from 2014 to 2016 (APC=45.25%, P=0.016) and a decrease from 2016 to 2021 (APC=-2.18%, P=0.280). There was no statistical significance in the mortality rate trend for the remaining age groups (all P>0.05). The top three causes of death among permanent residents in Shenzhen from 2014 to 2021 were consistently malignant tumors, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and respiratory system diseases, with crude mortality rates of 49.59/100 000, 47.95/100 000, and 7.90/100 000 respectively in 2021. From 2014 to 2021, 1 003 287.43 YLL were observed, with YLL for the total population, males and females all showing an upward trend (all P<0.001). Conclusions:The mortality burden among the elderly permanent residents in Shenzhen displayed a continuously increasing trend from 2014 to 2021. Strengthening the need for substantial efforts and actions to improve the prevention and control of chronic non-communicable diseases.