1.Study on the association between temperature and the risk of injuries by animals in Guangdong Province
Weiquan ZENG ; Yanjun XU ; Aga ZHENG ; Jianxiong HU ; Yuan FANG ; Mengen GUO ; Keqing LIANG ; Shanghui YE ; Qijiong ZHU ; Guanhao HE ; Tao LIU ; Ruilin MENG ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):587-595
Objective:To assess the association between temperature and risk of animal injury, and identifying vulnerable populations.Methods:Based on a time-stratified case-crossover design, the number of animal injuries monitored in hospitals of Guangdong Provincial Injury Surveillance System in 2011 and 2015-2016 was included, and the daily meteorological data were derived from the fifth generation of European ReAnalysis-Land, which was produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Conditional logistic regression combined with a distributed lagged nonlinear model was applied to analyze the association of temperature and animal-specific injuries. We also conducted stratified analysis by region, sex, age, occupation, and location of injury occurrence.Results:There was an almost linear relationship between temperature and the occurrence of animal injury. The excess risk ( ER) of animal injury was 2.65% (95% CI: 2.27%-3.04%) for a 1 ℃ rise in temperature with much higher risk of occurrence ( ER=9.34%, 95% CI: 7.57%-11.13%) for non-mammalian injury than that for mammalian injuries ( ER=2.30%, 95% CI: 1.90%-2.70%). Stratified analysis revealed that the occurrence of animal injury was more susceptible to temperature influences in urban ( ER=2.78%, 95% CI: 2.35%-3.21%), female ( ER=2.71%, 95% CI: 2.16%-3.27%), the elderly aged 60 years and above ( ER=3.05%, 95% CI: 1.65%- 4.47%), farmer ( ER=4.66%, 95% CI: 3.03%-6.32%) and agricultural area ( ER=10.63%, 95% CI: 7.57%-13.79%) than their correspondents. In terms of mammalian injury, dog bites showed the highest risk ( ER=2.71%, 95% CI: 2.12%-3.30%). In terms of non-mammalian,snake injuries were highly influenced by temperature ( ER=16.74%, 95% CI: 11.33%-22.40%). Conclusions:The ambient temperature rises could increase the risk of animal injury with much higher risk for non-mammalian than that for mammalian injuries. Our findings suggest that global warming may increase the risk and disease burden from animal injuries.
2.Study on the association between temperature and the risk of injuries by animals in Guangdong Province
Weiquan ZENG ; Yanjun XU ; Aga ZHENG ; Jianxiong HU ; Yuan FANG ; Mengen GUO ; Keqing LIANG ; Shanghui YE ; Qijiong ZHU ; Guanhao HE ; Tao LIU ; Ruilin MENG ; Wenjun MA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(4):587-595
Objective:To assess the association between temperature and risk of animal injury, and identifying vulnerable populations.Methods:Based on a time-stratified case-crossover design, the number of animal injuries monitored in hospitals of Guangdong Provincial Injury Surveillance System in 2011 and 2015-2016 was included, and the daily meteorological data were derived from the fifth generation of European ReAnalysis-Land, which was produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Conditional logistic regression combined with a distributed lagged nonlinear model was applied to analyze the association of temperature and animal-specific injuries. We also conducted stratified analysis by region, sex, age, occupation, and location of injury occurrence.Results:There was an almost linear relationship between temperature and the occurrence of animal injury. The excess risk ( ER) of animal injury was 2.65% (95% CI: 2.27%-3.04%) for a 1 ℃ rise in temperature with much higher risk of occurrence ( ER=9.34%, 95% CI: 7.57%-11.13%) for non-mammalian injury than that for mammalian injuries ( ER=2.30%, 95% CI: 1.90%-2.70%). Stratified analysis revealed that the occurrence of animal injury was more susceptible to temperature influences in urban ( ER=2.78%, 95% CI: 2.35%-3.21%), female ( ER=2.71%, 95% CI: 2.16%-3.27%), the elderly aged 60 years and above ( ER=3.05%, 95% CI: 1.65%- 4.47%), farmer ( ER=4.66%, 95% CI: 3.03%-6.32%) and agricultural area ( ER=10.63%, 95% CI: 7.57%-13.79%) than their correspondents. In terms of mammalian injury, dog bites showed the highest risk ( ER=2.71%, 95% CI: 2.12%-3.30%). In terms of non-mammalian,snake injuries were highly influenced by temperature ( ER=16.74%, 95% CI: 11.33%-22.40%). Conclusions:The ambient temperature rises could increase the risk of animal injury with much higher risk for non-mammalian than that for mammalian injuries. Our findings suggest that global warming may increase the risk and disease burden from animal injuries.
3.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
4.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
5.An analysis of the effect of artificial lengthening femoral head replacement in elderly patients with stage Ⅰ of unstable femoral intertrochanteric fracture
Zhanxing CHEN ; Haiyong CUI ; Yongjun HU ; Hai HU ; Jianhao DAI ; Liangliang FAN ; Qigang CHEN ; Weili JIANG ; Longfei ZHAO ; Xiaodi HE ; Jun TAO ; Keqing XU ; Zhaobo ZENG ; Yue LENG ; Xiaoli XING ; Jinsu YU ; Bin DONG
Chinese Journal of Primary Medicine and Pharmacy 2017;24(20):3062-3066
Objective To analyze of the effect of artificial lengthening femoral head replacement in elderly patients with stage Ⅰ of unstable femoral intertrochanteric fracture.Methods 203 patients with stage Ⅰ of unstable femoral intertrochanteric fracture were selected as the research object,and they were taken artificial lengthening femoral head replacement,among which 65caese were male,female in 138 cases.The Harris scoring,SF-36,VAS pain scores on admission,2 weeks after operation,postoperative follow-up limb were counted,and the pain of the affected limb and the hip scores were compared amond 3 time periods.Results All 203 cases of senile patients with follow-up,average operation time was 83.64 minutes,the intraoperative blood loss was 355.41mL.The curative effect was evaluated according to the Harris score,SF-36 and VAS pain scoring criteria,and the Harris scores of the affected limbs at admission,at 2 weeks after the operation and after the follow-up were (28.26 ± 5.50) points,(68.26 ±5.50) points,(93.13 ± 5.31) points,respectively,the differences were statistically significant (t =-71.27,-1 397.55,-46.07,all P < 0.01);The VAS pain scores were (8.19 ± 0.48) points,(3.53 ± 0.71) points,(0.23 ± 0.42) points,respectively,the differences were statistically significant (t =88.06,324.17,60.84,all P < 0.01).The sf-36 scores:physiological [(8.35 ± 1.24) points,(15.23 ± 2.17) points,(19.21 ± 2.12) points],social/family [(7.01 ±1.13) points,(14.12 ± 2.12) points,(19.85 ± 2.24) points],emotional [(4.83 ± 1.01) points,(10.12 ±1.22)points,(14.87 ± 1.32) points],function [(6.35 ± 1.21) points,(13.67 ± 1.87) points,(16.81 ±2.12) points],additional focus [(8.85 ± 1.45) points,(16.38 ± 2.12) points,(20.21 ± 2.42) points],total quality of life [(47.35 ± 4.76) points,(74.69 ± 5.87) points,(89.21 ± 6.12) points],the differences were statistically significant(-39.77,-62.92,-20.21,-44.87,-71.89,-26.79,-45.04,-89.01,-38.25,-45.79,-63.41,-15.29,-45.20,-60.39,-17.54,-52.12,-76.49,-22.58,all P<0.O1).Conclusion Artificial lengthening femoral head replacement in elderly patients with stage Ⅰ of unstable femoral intertrochanteric fracture has good clinical effect,intraoperative high safety,less postoperative complications,postoperative limb functional recovery is good,and it is worthy of clinical promotion and application.
6.Effect of triptolide on expression of receptor activator of nuclear factor-kappaB ligand in rat adjuvant induced arthritis.
Yonghong, HU ; Bo, LUO ; Mingmin, ZHANG ; Shenghao, TU ; Keqing, ZENG
Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology (Medical Sciences) 2006;26(3):344-6
The effect of triptolide (TP) on the expression of receptor activator of nuclear factor-kappaB ligand (RANKL) and osteoprotegerin (OPG) was explored in rat adjuvant induced arthritis (AA). AA was induced in Wistar rats. Arthritis rats were treated with TP and methotrexate (MTX) at the onset (day 9) of arthritis. On the peak of arthritis (day 24), the expression of RANKL and OPG protein in the joints and RANKL mRNA in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) was detected. TNF-alpha and IL-1beta levels in peripheral blood were determined. Bone erosion scores were also evaluated. The results showed that bone erosion scores in TP and MTX groups were lower than in AA group (P < 0.01); The expression levels of RANKL in the synovium (P < 0.01) and bone (P < 0.05), and OPG level in synovium (P < 0.05) were lower in TP group than in AA group (P < 0.05). In TP group, the expression levels of RANKL mRNA and TNF-alpha, IL-1beta in PBMC were lower than in AA group (all P < 0.01). It was concluded that TP could inhibit rat adjuvant arthritis bone erosion by suppressing the expression of RANKL.
7.Effect of Triptolide on Expression of Receptor Activator of Nuclear Factor-κB Ligand in Rat Adjuvant Induced Arthritis
Yonghong HU ; Bo LUO ; Mingmin ZHANG ; Shenghao TU ; Keqing ZENG
Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology (Medical Sciences) 2006;26(3):344-346
The effect of triptolide (TP) on the expression of receptor activator of nuclear factor-κB ligand (RANKL) and osteoprotegerin (OPG) was explored in rat adjuvant induced arthritis (AA).AA was induced in Wistar rats. Arthritis rats were treated with TP and methotrexate (MTX) at the onset (day 9) of arthritis. On the peak of arthritis (day 24), the expression of RANKL and OPG protein in the joints and RANKL mRNA in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) was detected. TNF-α and IL-1β levels in peripheral blood were determined, Bone erosion scores were also evaluated. The results showed that bone erosion scores in TP and MTX groups were lower than in AA group (P<0.01); The expression levels of RANKL in the synovium (P<0.01) and bone (P<0.05), and OPG level in synovium (P<0. 05) were lower in TP group than in AA group (P <0.05). In TP group, the expression levels of RANKL mRNA and TNF-α, IL-1β in PBMC were lower than in AA group (all P<0.01). It was concluded that TP could inhibit rat adjuvant arthritis bone erosion by suppressing the expression of RANKL.
8.Synergetic protective effects of combined blockade by two kinds of autolesion mediator receptor on neurological function after cervical cord injury
Jianru XIAO ; Dinglin ZHAO ; Tiesheng HOU ; Keqing WU ; Huawu ZENG
Chinese Medical Journal 1998;111(5):443-446
Objective To investigate the effects of combined blockade by platelet activating factor (PAF) receptor antagonist BN52021 in combination with opiate receptor antagonist naloxone on neurological function and neurological tissue damage after cervical cord injury.Methods Spinal cord contusion at C6 segment was made with Allen method in cats, which were randomly divided into four groups: saline control group; BN52021 group; naloxone group; and combined treatment group with BN52021 and naloxone. Alteration of cervical cord blood flow, blood barrier permeability of the spinal cord, cervical cord tissue pathology and neurological functional scores were studied after experimental cervical cord injury.Results The animals treated with BN52021 or naloxone had significantly better functional scores than saline controls 6 weeks after injury (P<0.05). Moreover, the combined treatment showed significantly better neurologic recovery than either naloxone or BN52021 treated animals (P<0.05). The other indexes in combined treatment animals were also superior to those in naloxone or BN52021 treated animals.Conclusions Combined blockade by two kinds of autolesion mediator receptor can more effectively inhibit secondary damage production and development after cervical cord injury and improve neurologic function.

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