1.Comparison of the effects of three time series models in predicting the trend of erythrocyte blood demand
Yajuan QIU ; Jianping ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Peilin LI ; Mengzhuo LUO ; Qiongying LI ; Ge LIU ; Qing LEI ; Kai LIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):257-262
[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.
2.Efficacy of alpha-lipoic acid in patients with ischemic heart failure: a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study
Hanchuan CHEN ; Qin YU ; Yamei XU ; Chen LIU ; Jing SUN ; Jingjing ZHAO ; Wenjia LI ; Kai HU ; Junbo GE ; Aijun SUN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(4):717-719
Objective To explore the safety and effects of alpha-lipoic acid (ALA) in patients with ischemic heart failure (IHF). Methods A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial was designed (ClinicalTrial.gov registration number NCT03491969). From January 2019 to January 2023, 300 patients with IHF were enrolled in four medical centers in China, and were randomly assigned at a 1∶1 ratio to receive ALA (600 mg daily) or placebo on top of standard care for 24 months. The primary outcome was the composite outcome of hospitalization for heart failure (HF) or all-cause mortality events. The second outcome included non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal stroke, changes of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and 6-minute walking distance (6MWD) from baseline to 24 months after randomization. Results Finally, 138 patients of the ALA group and 139 patients of the placebo group attained the primary outcome. Hospitalization for HF or all-cause mortality events occurred in 32 patients (23.2%) of the ALA group and in 40 patients (28.8%) of the placebo group (HR=0.753, 95%CI 0.473-1.198, P=0.231; Figure 1A-1C). The absolute risk reduction (ARR) was 5.6%, the relative risk reduction (RRR) associated with ALA therapy was approximately 19.4% compared to placebo, corresponding to a number needed to treat (NNT) of 18 patients to prevent one event. In the secondary outcome analysis, the composite outcome of the major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) including the hospitalization for HF, all-cause mortality events, non-fatal MI or non-fatal stroke occurred in 35 patients (25.4%) in the ALA group and 47 patients (33.8%) in the placebo group (HR=0.685, 95%CI 0.442-1.062, P=0.091; Figure 1D). Moreover, greater improvement in LVEF (β=3.20, 95%CI 1.14-5.23, P=0.002) and 6MWD (β=31.7, 95%CI 8.3-54.7, P=0.008) from baseline to 24 months after randomization were observed in the ALA group as compared to the placebo group. There were no differences in adverse events between the study groups. Conclusions These results show potential long-term beneficial effects of adding ALA to IHF patients. ALA could significantly improve LVEF and 6MWD compared to the placebo group in IHF patients.
3.Effects of alcoholic extract of Gnaphalium affine on oxidative stress and intestinal flora in rats with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Da-Huai LIN ; Xiang-Li YE ; Guo-Hong YAN ; Kai-Ge WANG ; Yu-Qin ZHANG ; Huang LI
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(15):4110-4119
The efficacy mechanism of the alcoholic extract of Gnaphalium affine was investigated by observing its influence on oxidative stress and intestinal flora in rats modeled for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD). UPLC-MS was used to evaluate the quality of the alcoholic extract of G. affine, and 72 rats were randomly divided into six groups, with COPD models established in five groups by cigarette smoke combined with airway drip lipopolysaccharide, and the rats were given the positive drug of Danlong Oral Solution, as well as low-, medium-, and high-doses alcoholic extract of G. affine, respectively. After two weeks of continuous gastric gavage, the body weights and general morphology observations were performed; HE staining and Masson staining were used to verify the effects of the alcoholic extract of G. affine on alveolar inflammation and collagen deposition area in COPD rats; the oxidative stress indexes CAT and GSH in serum and SOD and MDA in lung tissue of the rats were measured, and the mRNA expression of HO-1, Nrf2, and NQO1 were determined by qRT-PCR. The protein expressions of HO-1, Nrf2, and NQO1 were determined by the Western blot method, and the mechanism by which the alcoholic extract of G. affine affected oxidative stress in COPD rats was explored. Finally, the influence of G. affine on the changes in intestinal flora caused by COPD was studied by 16S rRNA sequencing. The results showed that a total of 121 chemical components were identified by UPLC-MS, including 70 positive and 51 negative ion modes. In animal experiments, it was found that the alcoholic extracts of G. affine were able to reduce the percentage of collagen deposition, affect the oxidative stress indexes such as CAT, GSH, SOD, MDA, as well as the mRNA and protein expression of Nrf2, HO-1, and NQO1. The 16S rRNA sequencing results showed an increase in the level of Lactobacillales and a decrease in the level of Desulfovibrio and Desulfovibrionales, suggesting that the alcoholic extracts of G. affine could reverse the changes in intestinal flora caused by COPD. In conclusion, the alcoholic extracts of G. affine may exert anti-COPD effects by affecting the oxidative stress pathway and modulating the changes in intestinal flora.
Animals
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Oxidative Stress/drug effects*
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Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/genetics*
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Rats
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Male
;
Gastrointestinal Microbiome/drug effects*
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
NF-E2-Related Factor 2/metabolism*
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Humans
;
Lung/metabolism*
4.Clinical analysis of clavicle anatomical plate in the treatment of AllmanⅡC type of clavicle fracture.
Jian-Zhong GE ; Jin-Rui GU ; Peng XU ; Zhi-Ling ZHANG ; Kai WANG
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(7):711-715
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of clavicular anatomical plate in the treatment of clavicular Allmanic fracture.
METHODS:
Between January 2016 and December 2022, 27 patients with Allman ⅡC distal clavicle fractures were treated with clavicular anatomical plate. There were 19 males and 8 females, aged from 16 to 69 years old, with an average of (39.74±12.71) years old. There were 15 patients on the left side and 12 patients on the right side. There were 15 patients with single clavicle fracture and 12 patients complicated with other parts of the body or organ injury. The broken ends of the fractures were fixed with clavicular anatomical plate, including common compression clavicular anatomical plate in 19 patients and locking clavicular anatomical plate in 8 patients. The operation time and hospitalization days were recorded. Visual analogue scales (VAS) were utilized to assess subjective pain levels both preoperatively and 3 days postoperatively. Postoperatively, patients were monitored at intervals of 1 to 3 months until X-ray films confirmed fracture healing. In accordance with the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) shoulder rating system, evaluations were conducted on postoperative pain alleviation, functional recovery, range of motion in forward flexion, strength in forward flexion, and patient satisfaction.
RESULTS:
All patients were followed up for a period ranging from 12 to 18 months with an average of (14.70±1.61) months, and all clavicular fractures achieved successful union. The wounds of 24 patients healed in one stage, and 3 patients developed bleeding and exudation, they were cured after dressing change. There were no complications such as infection, plate and screw fracture, vascular and nerve injury. The operation time was(67.56±11.01) min. Significant differences were observed in pain relief, functional improvement, range of motion for forward flexion, strength of forward flexion, patient satisfaction, and overall scores at preoperative, 3 months postoperatively, 6 months postoperatively, and at the final follow-up(P<0.001).
CONCLUSION
The utilization of clavicular anatomical plates for the management of Allman typeⅡC fractures can provide early and stable fixation without compromising the acromioclavicular joint, thereby enabling patients to commence early mobilization and ensuring optimal fracture healing.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Clavicle/surgery*
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Adult
;
Bone Plates
;
Middle Aged
;
Fractures, Bone/physiopathology*
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Adolescent
;
Aged
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Fracture Fixation, Internal/instrumentation*
;
Young Adult
5.Establishment and application of key technologies for periodontal tissue regeneration based on microenvironment and stem cell regulation.
Baojin MA ; Jianhua LI ; Yuanhua SANG ; Yang YU ; Jichuan QIU ; Jinlong SHAO ; Kai LI ; Shiyue LIU ; Mi DU ; Lingling SHANG ; Shaohua GE
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2025;57(5):841-846
The prevalence of periodontitis in China is as high as 74.2%, making it the leading cause of tooth loss in adults and severely impacting both oral and overall health. The treatment of periodontitis and periodontal tissue regeneration are global challenges of significant concern. GE Shaohua' s group at School and Hospital of Stomatology, Shandong University has focused on the key scientific issue of "remodeling the periodontal inflammatory microenvironment and optimizing tissue repair and regeneration". They have elucidated the mechanisms underlying the persistence of periodontitis, developed bioactive materials to enhance stem cell regenerative properties, and constructed a series of guided tissue regeneration barrier membranes to promote periodontal tissue repair, leading to the establishment of a comprehensive technology system for the treatment of periodontitis. Specific achievements and progress include: (1) Elucidating the mechanism by which key periodontal pathogens evade antimicrobial autophagy, leading to inflammatory damage; developing intelligent antimicrobial hydrogels and nanosystems, and creating metal-polyphenol network microsphere capsules to reshape the periodontal inflammatory microenvironment; (2) Explaining the mechanisms by which nanomaterial structures and electroactive interfaces regulate stem cell behavior, developing optimized nanostructures and electroactive biomaterials, thereby effectively enhancing the regenerative repair capabilities of stem cells; (3) Creating a series of biphasic heterogeneous barrier membranes, refining guided tissue regeneration and in situ tissue engineering techniques, stimulating the body' s intrinsic repair potential, and synergistically promoting the structural regeneration and functional reconstruction of periodontal tissues. The research outcomes of the group have innovated the fundamental theories of periodontal tissue regeneration, broken through foreign technological barriers and patent blockades, established a cascade repair strategy for periodontal regeneration, and enhanced China' s core competitiveness in the field of periodontal tissue regeneration.
Humans
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Stem Cells/physiology*
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Periodontitis/therapy*
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Guided Tissue Regeneration, Periodontal/methods*
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Regeneration
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Biocompatible Materials
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Tissue Engineering/methods*
6.Natural killer cell-derived granzyme B as a therapeutic target for alleviating graft injury during liver transplantation.
Kai WANG ; Zhoucheng WANG ; Xin SHAO ; Lijun MENG ; Chuanjun LIU ; Nasha QIU ; Wenwen GE ; Yutong CHEN ; Xiao TANG ; Xiaodong WANG ; Zhengxing LIAN ; Ruhong ZHOU ; Shusen ZHENG ; Xiaohui FAN ; Xiao XU
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(10):5277-5293
Liver transplantation (LT) has become a standard treatment for end-stage liver diseases, and graft injury is intricately associated with poor prognosis. Granzyme B (GZMB) plays a vital role in natural killer (NK) cell biology, but whether NK-derived GZMB affects graft injury remains elusive. Through the analysis of single-cell RNA-sequencing data obtained from human LT grafts and the isolation of lymphocytes from mouse livers following ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI), we demonstrated that 2NK cells with high expression of GZMB are enriched in patients and mice. Both systemically and liver-targeted depletion of NK cells led to a notable reduction in GZMB+ cell infiltration, subsequently resulting in diminished graft injury. Notably, the reconstitution of Il2rg -/- Rag2 -/- mice with purified Gzmb-KO NK cells demonstrated superior outcomes compared to those with wild-type NK cells. Crucially, global knockout of GZMB and pharmacological inhibition exhibited remarkable improvements in liver function in both mouse IRI and rat LT models. Moreover, a phosphorylated derivative of FDA-approved vidarabine was identified as an effective inhibitor of mouse GZMB activity by molecular dynamics, which could provide a potential avenue for therapeutic intervention. Therefore, targeting NK cell-derived GZMB during the LT process suggests potential therapeutic strategies to improve post-transplant outcomes.
8.Cross-Sectional Analysis of the Relationship Between Bedtime Procrastination and Fear of Missing Out and the Effect of Exercise Intervention.
Jun-Ge PENG ; Meng-Ying ZHANG ; Jiang XIAO ; Kai-Xin LI ; Yue ZHAO ; Yan LI
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(2):175-181
Objective To explore the relationship between bedtime procrastination and fear of missing out and the intervention effect of aerobic exercise on bedtime procrastination,so as to provide a theoretical basis and practical reference for remedying bedtime procrastination.Methods Totally 988 students were selected through random sampling and then surveyed with the bedtime procrastination scale and the fear of missing out scale.Correlation and regression analyses were performed to explore the relationship between bedtime procrastination and fear of missing out.A total of 36 students were recruited from the 988 students to participate in the exercise intervention and they were assigned into an exercise group and a control group by the random number table method,with 18 students in each group.The exercise group performed aerobic exercise for 12 weeks,while the control group maintained daily activities.The participants' scores on the bedtime procrastination scale and the fear of missing out scale were recorded before and after the intervention and compared.Results The fear of missing out was positively correlated with bedtime procrastination among college students(r=0.214,P<0.001),and it was an important predictive factor for bedtime procrastination(β=0.241,P<0.001).After the intervention,the scores of bedtime procrastination scale decreased in the exercise group(t=2.277,P=0.036),while there was no significant difference in the scores of the control group before and after intervention(t=-0.787,P=0.442).Conclusions A high level of fear of missing out indicates severe bedtime procrastination.And 12-week exercise intervention could remedy bedtime procrastination.
Humans
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Fear
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Exercise
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Male
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Female
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Procrastination
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Young Adult
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Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Students/psychology*
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Adult
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Surveys and Questionnaires
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Adolescent
9.Design of anterolateral thigh perforator flap aided by three-dimensional printing technique for repairing irregular extremity wounds
Chengwei GE ; Guodong JIANG ; Kai WANG ; Zhigang CHE ; Junnan CHENG ; Zhicheng TENG ; Song YUAN ; Jihui JU
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2024;40(9):946-953
Objective:To investigate the clinical effect of three-dimensional(3D) flap model accurately designed before the operation in repairing irregular wounds of limbs with anterolateral thigh(ALT) perforator flap.Methods:The data of patients with ALT flaps designed with 3D printing technology to repair irregular soft tissue defects of limbs in Suzhou Ruihua Orthopedic Hospital from January to October 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. After the wound was scanned by 3D scanner before surgery, the wound model was printed. The ALT flap was precisely designed and harvested for covering the wound according to the body surface projection of the perforator vessel in the anterolateral femoral region located by color Doppler ultrasound before surgery. The survival of the flap, the healing of the donor and recipient sites and the occurrence of complications were observed and followed up after the operation. The effect of wound repair was evaluated by the comprehensive efficacy evaluation scale of the skin flap. The total score was 100 points, which was divided into excellent (90-100 points), good (75-89 points), fair (60-74 points) and poor (< 60 points).Results:A total of 34 patients were enrolled, including 26 males and 8 females, aged 18-75 years, with an average age of 45.5 years. Injury sites: wrist in 17 cases, foot in 10 cases, ankle in 7 cases. The operation time was 2.0-4.5 h (mean 3.3 h), and all donor sites were sutured directly. Vascular crisis occurred in 2 cases after skin flap transplantation. After surgical exploration, the transplanted skin flap survived, and the other skin flaps survived successfully. All 34 patients were followed up for 6 to 10 months, with an average of 8 months. All the donor sites of the skin flap healed primarily, and the wound healing time of the recipient site was 10-44 days, with an average of 20 days. At the last follow-up, the skin flap was good in color and texture, and the sensation returned to S1 and S2 grades. There were scars left in the donor site, no cicatricial contracture, pain and other discomfort, and no other serious complications. The results of flap evaluation were 80-91 points, with an average of 86 points. Among them, 25 cases were excellent, 6 cases were good, 3 cases were fair, and the excellent and good rate was 91%(31/34).Conclusion:The application of 3D printing technology assisted the design of ALT perforator flap to repair irregular wounds of limbs can significantly reduce the intraoperative design time of the flap, which is in line with the concept of precise design and incision of the flap, and has good clinical effect, and can effectively reduce the trauma and complications of the donor site.
10.Effect of Huoxue Yiqi Decoction Combined with Pinggan Qianyang Muzu Powder on Blood Lipid Metabolism and Cardiac Function in Female Patients with Essential Hypertension
Xi-Xun LIAO ; Kai-Ge ZHOU ; Yue-Hua LI ; Jie CHEN
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(5):1123-1129
Objective To investigate the effects of Huoxue Yiqi Decoction(composed of Carthami Flos,Crataegi Fructus,Salviae Miltiorrhizae Radix et Rhizoma,and Astragali Radix)combined with Pinggan Qianyang Muzu Powder(composed of Uncariae Ramulus cum Uncis,Prunellae Spica,Chrysanthemi Flos,Lonicerae Japonicae Flos and Cassiae Semen)on blood lipid metabolism and cardiac function in female patients with essential hypertension.Methods A total of 220 female patients with essential hypertension of qi deficiency and blood stasis type were randomly divided into observation group and control group,with 110 cases in each group.The control group was treated with conventional western medicine,and the observation group was treated with Huoxue Yiqi Decoction orally combined with Pinggan Qianyang Muzu Powder for foot bath on the basis of treatment for the control group.The course of treatment for the two groups covered one month.Before and after treatment,the two groups were observed in the changes of blood pressure,blood lipid,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)syndrome scores and cardiac function indicators of left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)and stroke volume(SV).After treatment,the clinical efficacy of the two groups was evaluated.Results(1)After one month of treatment,the total effective rate of the observation group was 95.45%(105/110),and that of the control group was 84.55%(93/110).The intergroup comparison(tested by chi-square test)showed that the efficacy of the observation group was superior to that of the control group(P<0.01).(2)After treatment,the TCM syndrome scores of primary symptoms and secondary symptoms in the two groups were decreased when compared with those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease in the observation group was superior to that in the control group(P<0.01).(3)After treatment,the levels of systolic blood pressure(SBP)and diastolic blood pressure(DBP)in the two groups were lower than those before treatment(P<0.05),and the decrease of SBP and DBP levels in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.01).(4)After treatment,the levels of blood lipid indicators of total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG)and low density lipoprotein cholesterol(LDL-C)in the two groups were lower than those before treatment(P<0.05),and the levels of high density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)were higher than those before treatment(P<0.05).The decrease of TC,TG and LDL-C levels and the increase of HDL-C level in the observation group were significantly superior to those in the control group(P<0.01).(5)After treatment,the levels of cardiac function indicators of LVEF and SV in the two groups were higher than those before treatment(P<0.05),and the increase of LVEF and SV levels in the observation group was significantly superior to that in the control group(P<0.01).Conclusion The combination of Huoxue Yiqi Decoction and Pinggan Qianyang Muzu Powder exerts certain effect in the treatment of female patients with essential hypertension of qi deficiency and blood stasis type.The combined therapy is effective on controlling blood pressure,improving blood lipid metabolism and cardiac function indicators.

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