Objective To explore the application of seasonal time series ARIMA model in prediction of malaria incidence in an unstable malaria area. Methods SPSS13.0 software was used to construct the ARIMA model based on the monthly malaria incidence of Huaiyuan and Tongbai counties in Huaihe River Valley, from Jan. 1998 to Dec. 2005, with consideration of residual un-correlation and concision. Akaike′s information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used to confirm the fitness of model. The constructed model was then applied to predict the monthly malaria incidence in 2006 and the incidence from ARIMA model was compared with the actual incidence, so as to evaluate the model′s validity. Malaria incidence of 2007 was predicted by ARIMA model based on malaria incidence from 1998 to 2006. Results Statistics assisted estimation of the significance of the fitted autoregressive and seasonal moving average coefficients (AR1=0.512, SMA1=0.609, P

This study is to screen the Chinese herbal compounds which could inhibit the production of Abeta and investigate the underlying mechanism. Ten types of compounds which have potential value in the treatment of AD were selected as initial screening trial. The cell models which used could overexpress Abeta and beta-secretases or Abeta and gamma-secretases. Extracellular Abeta was determined by ELISA after the cell models treated with different concentrations of compounds (0.5-100 micromol x L(-1)), separately. Then the compounds were selected which could inhibit extracellular Abeta and their best concentration ranges were decided, too. Furthermore, the cell viability and apoptosis rate, the level of intracellular Abeta, beta and gamma-secretases were determined after the cell models treated with different concentrations of selected compounds. The results showed that 4 of the 10 compounds could reduce the level of extracellular Abeta; they were cryptotanshinone, astragalosides, gastrodin and paeoniflorin, and their best concentration ranges were 0.5-5.0, 0.5-5.0, 5.0-50, 1.0-25 micromol x L(-1), respectively. Further study indicated that the 4 selected compounds were nontoxic to the cellular models and lowering intracellular Abeta were more effective compared with extracellular; of which astragalosides and gastrodin showed dose-dependent inhibition to the activities of beta and gamma-secretases, with the maximum inhibiting rates of 78.2% and 80.3%, respectively. In conclusion, cryptotanshinone, astragalosides, gastrodin and paeoniflorin could inhibit the expression and secretion of Abeta, and the underlying inhibiting mechanism of astragalosides and gastrodin were related with the reduction of the beta and gamma-secretase activities, respectively.

Objective To evaluate the gene mutation of RANTES and CCR5 in SLE and its significance. Methods One hundred and forty-six definitive SLE patients and 159 controls were collected. SNPs of RANTES promoter and polymorphism of CCR5 were performed by PCR or PCR/RFLP assay, and further confirmed by direct DNA sequencing. Results The frequence of RANTES-403G/G compounded with 28C/C and CCR5/CCR5 was significantly different between SLE and control groups (72.6% vs 58.5%, P 0.05). Conclusions These results indicate that the two SNPs are linkage disequilibrium. Interaction of two SNPs in RANTES and CCR5 is related with SLE. RANTES-403G/G compounded with 28C/C and CCR5/CCR5 may be one of risk factors of SLE. RANTES-403A is probably related with renal damage of SLE.

ObjectiveTo investigate the MRI features of placenta accreta.MethodsFrom Apr 2009 to Jun 2011,15 patients with placenta accrete received MRI examination.In them,placenta accrcta was diagnosed based on clinical manifestations or postoperative histopathologv.The MR features of placenta accreta in thcm( study group) were retrospectively analyzed and compared with those in 15 pregnant women without placenta accreta (control group)with Fisher exact test.ResultsIn the 15 patients with placenta accreta,uterine bulging and(or) a focal outward contour bulge was detected in 14 patients; heterogeneous signal intensity in the placenta was detected in 15 patients; dark intraplacental bands on T2-weighted images was detected in 15 patients; and increased subplacental vascularity was detected in 11 patients on T1- weighted images.In the study group,14 patients showed at least three of the above four features,and in all of them uterine bulging and(or) a focal outward contour bulge,heterogeneous signal intensity in the placenta and dark intraplacental bands on T2-weighted images were detected; one patient showed heterogeneous signal intensity in the placenta,dark intraplacental bands on T2-weighted images and increased subplacental vascularity.In the control group,none patient had three of the above features.Uterine bulging and(or) a focal outward contour bulge,heterogeneous signal intensity in the placenta,dark intraplacental bands on T2-weighted images and increased subplacental vascularity were detected in 3,6,3 and 4 patients (P=0.000,0.001,0.000 and 0.027 ),respectively.ConclusionsThe main MRI features of placenta accreta are uterine bulging and(or) a focal outward contour bulge,heterogeneous signal intensity in the placenta and dark intraplacental bands on T2-weighted images Besides,increased subplacental vascularity also could provide useful information for the diagnosis of placenta accreta.

Objective To explore the MRI findings of placental protusion sign in predicting postpartum hemorrhage in patients with placenta previa.Methods Totally 354 placenta previa patients with whole clinical data underwent MR scaning 2 weeks before operation.Association of postpartum hemorrhage and placental protusion sign was analyzed.Results Among 354 patients with placental previa,the age of the pregnant women (x2 =4.34,P=0.04),gestational age at delivery (x2 =5.19,P=0.02) and the number of cesarean sections (x2 =44.85,P＜0.01) had associated with postpartum hemorrhage.Eight cases had placental protusion sign in MRI,while 6 cases occurred postpartum hemorrhage.The incidence of postpartum hemorrhage was 75.00％ (6/8) and 12.72％ (44/346) in patients with placenta accreta and with placental abruption,respectively (x2 =20.14,P＜0.01).The sensitivity,specificity,odds ratio (95％ confidence interval) and positive likelihood ratio of predicting postpartum hemorrhage was 12.00％ (6/50),99.34％ (302/304),20.59 (4.03,105.23) and 15.68,respectively.Conclusion MRI placental protrusion sign has important clinical reference value in predicting postpartum hemorrhage.

Objective To investigate the safety and efficacy of intravenous thrombolytic therapy with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator(rtPA)in patients with isolated penetrating artery territory infarct (IPAI).Methods Data of retrospectively collected clinical,laboratory,and radiological from 75 consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with intravenous rtPA therapy from June 2009 to April 2011.Etiological classification was carried out according to the Chinese Ischemic Stroke Classification of Subgroups(CISS).The rates of hemorrhagic transformation(HT)and clinical outcomes of patients were compared between IPAI group and non-IPAI group.Results All 75 patients with mean age of 67.4years and 25(33.3％)fenale,were treated with intravenous rtPA.Before treatment,their average score of the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)was 12.3 ± 6.4,and mean length of time from onset to treatment was 239.6 ±97.5 minutes.After thrombolytic therapy,the radiological HT was found in 24 patients(32％).Symptomatic intracraneal hemorrhage(ICH)occurred in 4 patients(5.3％).Of 22 (29.3％)patients with IPAI,only one experienced HT.Logistic regression analysis suggested that IPAI wasan individualized predictor used alone for determining the low risk of HT.In the patients with IPAI,82％ of them had an individual clinical outcome(mRS ＜ 2)one month after onset,and the neurological outcomes were better in patients with IPAI than those in patients with non-IPAI(P ＜ 0.01).Conclusions The risk of hemorrhagic complication was low and the clinical outcome was good in patients with isolated penetrating artery territory infarct after intravenous thrombolytic therapy with rtPA.Imaging diagnosis of IPAI might facilitate the treatment with rtPA in this cohort of patients.

Objective To evaluate the performance of Zika virus (ZIKV) disease prevention and control.Methods Descriptive epidemiological analysis was conducted on the clinical manifestations,laboratory detection results and disease progression of the third imported ZIKV disease case in the mainland of China.Results On 19 February 2016,a ZIKV disease case was confirmed in Yiwu,Zhejiang province,which was the third imported case of ZIKV disease confirmed by China CDC laboratory and expert consulting.The patient just had a travel to Fiji and Samoa and had mosquito bite history in Samoa.The patient was hospitalized on 16 February after the onset on 14 February and the eruption on 15 February.The body temperature of the patient became normal on 17 February,the rash disappeared on 19 February and the conjunctivitis resolved on 20 February.The positive detection of the viral nucleic acid in blood was only for 3 consecutive days,and the viral nucleic acid could be detected in urine even after negative detection in blood for 4 days.Conclusion The symptoms of the patient were typical.ZIKV can be detected by using blood sample in early phase,but after body temperature become normal,the virus can be detected in urine.

Objective:To investigate the medication rules of Xin'an medicine for the treatment of melancholia and further analyze the medication ideas of Xin'an physicians in the treatment of melancholia.Methods:The documents of Xin'an physicians treating melancholia in the fifth edition of the Chinese Medical Code and the online database of ancient Chinese medicine were retrieved. Excel was used to extract the prescription information to establish the database. R language was used to analyze the data regarding the medication frequency, nature and taste, association rules, and clustering of the traditional Chinese medicine used in the prescription. Results:A total of 127 effective prescriptions were sorted out, and 177 kinds of Chinese medicines were used with a total medication frequency of 1 031 times. The top three Chinese medicines with the highest frequency of use were Poria cocos (57 times), Licorice (46 times), and Paeonia Lactiflora (40 times). The main nature of herbs was plain and warm nature. The warm herbs were the most frequently used (298 times). The first five flavors of the herbs which were the most used were pungent taste (475 times, 28.70%), bitter taste (459 times, 27.73%), and sweet taste (453 times, 27.37%). The commonly used herbs with confidence coefficient > 0.800 were Licorice + Angelica sinensis, Licorice + Angelica sinensis and Paeonia Lactiflora, Licorice + Bupleurum, Licorice + Atractylodes macrocephala, Cyperus root + Ligusticum Chuanxiong, Angelica sinensis + Atractylodes macrocephala and Licorice, Paeonia Lactiflora + Angelica sinensis and Poria cocos, Licorice + Angelica sinensis and Poria cocos, Licorice + Atractylodes macrocephala and Angelica sinensis, Licorice + Bupleurum and Paeonia Lactiflora, Licorice + Atractylodes macrocephala and Ginseng, Licorice + Ginseng and Angelica sinensis, Cyperus root + Medicated leaven, Ginseng + Astragalus mongholicus, Licorice + Astragalus mongholicus.Conclusion:Xin'an medicine for the treatment of melancholia mainly uses pungent, bitter, sweet, and warm herbs. It can adjust the chill and fever, Yin and Yang of the human body, diminishes the urgency, and regulates the flow of Qi.

Objective:To analyze the correlation between gastric disharmony and daily eating behaviors in college students, and to provide intervention measures for improving gastric disharmony among college students.Methods:From April 10 to 30, 2021, 3 825 college students from five Chinese medicine colleges and universities in China were selected for this study using the multi-level sampling method. The information regarding college student's general situation, daily eating behavior, and stomach disharmony was collected by questionnaire.Results:A total of 3 700 valid questionnaires were collected, with an effective response rate of 96.73%. The average age was (20.0 ± 3.0) years, and 66.41% of college students included in this study were female. Students with different characteristics had different gastric disharmonies and eating behaviors, and gastric disharmony was correlated with eating behavior. Multivariate analysis results showed that snacking ( OR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.21), partial eclipse ( OR = 1.12, 95% CI: 1.00-1.26), picky eaters ( OR = 1.23, 95% CI: 1.08-1.41), and supper ( OR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.04-1.36) were positively correlated with gastric disharmony. Eating regular meals ( OR = 0.86, 95% CI: 0.79-0.94) and 80% fullness ( OR = 0.89, 95% CI: 0.81-0.98) were negatively correlated with gastric disharmony. Conclusion:Poor eating behaviors may be an important factor leading to gastric disharmony.

Objective:To investigate the correlation between unhealthy dietary behaviors and traditional Chinese medicine constitution among students from colleges and universities of traditional Chinese medicine.Methods:College students from Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Anhui University of Chinese Medicine, Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Shaanxi University of Chinese Medicine and Gansu University of Chinese Medicine were collected during April 10-30, 2021 and grouped taking classes as units. Research subjects were obtained by multistage sampling. Their dietary behaviors, traditional Chinese medicine constitution and demographic characteristics were surveyed using questionnaires. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS23.0 software.Results:A total of 3825 college students were investigated and 3 700 valid questionnaires (96.7%) were collected. Peaceful constitution was detected in 7.9% of included college students. There was significant difference in peaceful constitution among studies of different sexes and different body types ( P < 0.05). There were significant differences in attention to diet, physical exercise and body weight control, out-of-control diet, excessive eating and drinking, denying body shape, and dissatisfaction with body shape between patients with peaceful and unbalanced constitutions. Multivariate analysis showed that attention to diet ( OR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.14-1.68), physical exercise and body weight control ( OR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.03-1.39), dissatisfaction with body shape ( OR = 1.26, 95% CI: 1.10-1.45) were conducive to the development of peaceful constitution. Conclusion:Students from colleges and universities of traditional Chinese medicine have a low proportion of developing peaceful constitution. Dietary behaviors may be an important factor that affects the development of peaceful constitution.