1.Research on the prediction of internet outpatient visits in public hospitals based on ARIMA and GM(1,1)model
Yanjie XU ; Liang XIN ; Junqing LIU ; Yan LI ; Shiyun LI ; Ruozhen WANG ; Honglei DONG
Modern Hospital 2024;24(1):14-19
Objective To understand the changing trend of Internet outpatient visits in public hospitals,and provide support for the development planning of Internet hospitals.Methods Using the data of Internet outpatient visits in a public hos-pital from January 2021 to June 2023,the ARIMA model and GM(1,1)model were constructed respectively.The mean absolute error(MAE)and root mean square error(RMSE)were used to evaluate the fitting effect,and the Internet outpatient visits from July to December 2023 were predicted based on the dominance model.Results ARIMA(1,2,1)model and GM(1,1)model were used to predict the number of return visits of Internet outpatient service.The average absolute errors were 369.86 and 978.84,and the root-mean-square errors were 479.49 and 1444.83,respectively.The ARIMA(0,1,0)model and GM(1,1)model were used to predict the number of Internet outpatient consultations.The average absolute errors were 297.23 and 369.62,and the root-mean-square errors were 413.61 and 496.30,respectively,indicating that the ARIMA model has a good prediction effect.The forecast results show that the predicted value of Internet outpatient visits in December 2023 is 14,831 cases,and the predicted value of consultation visits is 7461 cases.Conclusion The number of Internet outpatient visits in a public hospital will continue to rise from 2021 to 2023.Therefore,hospitals should fully realize the importance of Internet medical services,take ac-tive measures to continuously optimize the medical service model,and provide patients with high-quality,efficient and convenient Internet medical services.
2.Development of the Self-management Behavior Questionnaire for Middle-aged and Young Patients with Myocardial Infarction and its reliability and validity
Shan LIANG ; Yanping LIU ; Yuanmei QIN ; Linlin WANG ; Yanli DING ; Honglei YANG ; Jiajia WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(2):191-197
Objective:To develop the Self-management Behavior Questionnaire for Middle-aged and Young Patients with Myocardial Infarction and test its reliability and validity.Methods:Using social cognitive theory, self-efficacy theory, and self-management theory as theoretical frameworks, a preliminary questionnaire was formed through literature review, semi-structured interviews, and Delphi expert consultation. Convenience sampling was used to select middle-aged and young patients with myocardial infarction from the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine, Henan Provincial Chest Hospital, and the Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from June to July 2022 for investigation, and item analysis and exploratory factor analysis of the questionnaire were conducted. From August to November 2022, middle-aged and young patients with myocardial infarction from the Heart Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Henan University of Chinese Medicine were selected for investigation, and confirmatory factor analysis and reliability testing of the questionnaire were conducted.Results:A total of 300 and 480 questionnaires were distributed, respectively, and 280 and 468 valid questionnaires were collected, with effective response rates of 93.33% (280/300) and 97.50% (468/480), respectively. The Self-management Behavior Questionnaire for Middle-aged and Young Patients with Myocardial Infarction included 31 items. The total Cronbach 's α coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.918, the half reliability coefficient was 0.853, and the retest reliability coefficient was 0.975. The content validity index of the questionnaire level was 0.965, and the content validity index of the item level was 0.830 to 1.000. Exploratory factor analysis extracted 6 common factors with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 69.795%. Confirmatory factor analysis showed that the model fitted well and the questionnaire factor structure was stable. Conclusions:The Self-management Behavior Questionnaire for Middle-aged and Young Patients with Myocardial Infarction developed in this study has good reliability and validity, which can provide references for medical and nursing staff to evaluate the self-management behavior of middle-aged and young patients with myocardial infarction.
3.Epidemiological investigation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in maintenance hemodialysis patients in Jiangsu province during the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2
Guang YANG ; Yifei GE ; Yaoyu HUANG ; Jizhuang LOU ; Chunming JIANG ; Guoyuan LU ; Fengling CHEN ; Jiansong SHEN ; Xiaolan CHEN ; Houyong DAI ; Changhua LIU ; Min YANG ; Xiurong LI ; Zhuxing SUN ; Liang WANG ; Bin LIU ; Donghui ZHENG ; Yong XU ; Maojie CHEN ; Ling WANG ; Yilai ZHANG ; Xu ZHANG ; Jianqiang HE ; Liyuan ZHANG ; Huiting WAN ; Honglei GUO ; Jiahui YANG ; Wei XU ; Changying XING ; Huijuan MAO
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2023;39(12):895-902
Objective:To investigate the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in patients with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) in Jiangsu province during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in China from December 7, 2022 to January 27, 2023, and to analyze the influencing factors of all-cause death.Methods:It was a multi-center cross-sectional investigation. Structured questionnaire was used to collect patient information by medical staff of each hemodialysis center (room) as investigators. Part of the demography data and laboratory examination data came from the Jiangsu Province Hemodialysis Data Information System. MHD patients from hemodialysis centers (rooms) at all levels of medical institutions and independent hemodialysis institutions in Jiangsu province during the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 infection were included, and the clinical characteristics and all-cause mortality of confirmed and suspected cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection were analyzed.Results:Questionnaire surveys and data analysis on 57 278 patients in 407 hemodialysis centers (rooms) were completed, accounting for 90.41% of the total number of MHD patients (63 357 cases) in Jiangsu province during the same period. There were 24 038 cases (41.97%) of SARS-CoV-2 infection and 14 805 cases (25.85%) of suspected infection, which were widely distributed in all dialysis centers in Jiangsu province. After clinical classification of 38 843 confirmed and suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection cases, 3 662 cases were severe and critical cases, accounting for 9.43% of the infected and suspected cases. Among the patients who had completed the questionnaires, there were 1 812 all-cause deaths, with an all-cause mortality rate of 3.16%. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that elderly (taking ≤50 years as a reference, 51-59 years: OR=1.583, 95% CI 1.279-1.933, P=0.001; 60-69 years: OR=3.972, 95% CI 3.271-4.858, P<0.001; 70-79 years: OR=7.236, 95% CI 5.917-8.698, P<0.001; ≥80 years: OR=11.738, 95% CI 9.459-14.663, P<0.001), male ( OR=1.371, 95% CI 1.229-1.529, P<0.001), and co-infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) (positive serum HBV surface antigen, OR=0.629, 95% CI 0.484-0.817, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for all cause mortality. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the area under the curve for male, age and current HBV infection prediction of all-cause death was 0.529 ( P<0.001), 0.724 ( P<0.001) and 0.514 ( P=0.042), respectively, and the cut-off value for age prediction of all-cause death was 65.5 years old. Compared with patients without HBV infection, MHD patients with HBV infection significantly reduced the proportion of severe and critically ill patients, all-cause hospitalizations and all cause deaths when infected with SARS-CoV-2 (4.99% vs. 6.41%, χ2=6.136, P=0.013; 8.90% vs. 11.44%, χ2=11.662, P<0.001; 2.01% vs. 3.37%, χ2=10.713, P=0.001, respectively). Conclusion:The MHD patients in Jiangsu province are susceptible to SARS-CoV-2. Elderly age and male gender are independent risk factors for death in MHD patients during the epidemic, while the HBV infection may be a protective factor for death of MHD patients infected with SARS-CoV-2.
4.Association between perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances and maternal thyroid-related hormones in pregnant women
Xin WANG ; Lan YANG ; Zhikai WANG ; Xing FENG ; Honglei JI ; Hong LIANG ; Xiuxia SONG ; Maohua MIAO
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2023;40(6):661-666
Background Exposure to perfluoroalkyl and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) during pregnancy might affect thyroid-related hormone levels in pregnant women. However, most previous studies focused on the effects of PFAS containing 8-10 carbon atoms, and few studies have estimated the associations between PFAS with longer carbon chain and thyroid-related hormone levels. Objective To examine the associations between PFAS exposure and thyroid-related hormones in pregnant women. Methods The present study was based on the Jiashan Birth Cohort from September 2016 to April 2018. We analyzed 13 PFAS in maternal blood samples (n=781) by high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry, as well as total triiodothyronine (T3), total thyroxine (T4), free T3 (FT3), free T4 (FT4), thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), thyroglobulin antibody (TG-Ab), and thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) by electrochemiluminescence immunoassay. PFAS were divided into three groups:low concentration, medium concentration and high concentration according to the tertile of their concentrations. We estimated the associations between PFAS concentrations and thyroid-related hormones in pregnant women by multiple linear regression. Results In the multiple linear regression models, a change in perfluorododecanoic acid (PFDoA) concentrations from the low concentration group to the high concentration group was associated with a −0.10 (95%CI: −0.20, 0) nmol·L−1 change in T3, −0.15 (95%CI: −0.28, −0.02) pmol·L−1 change in FT3, and −3.02 (95%CI: −5.66, −0.39) pmol·L−1 change in FT4, respectively. A change in perfluorotridecanoic acid (PFTrDA) concentrations from the low concentration group to the high concentration group was associated with a −0.10 (95%CI: −0.20, 0) nmol·L−1 change in T3. Compared with the low concentration group, the concentration of T4 in the medium concentration group of perfluorohexane sulfonate (PFHxS) increased by 6.10 (95%CI: 0.44, 11.75) nmol·L−1. No statistically significant associations were found between PFAS and TSH concentration. The negative associations of PFAS with thyroid-related hormones were more pronounced in pregnant women with positive TG-Ab and/or TPOAb. Conclusion Exposure to PFAS during pregnancy may affect thyroid-related hormone homeostasis in pregnant women, and the effect is stronger in TG-Ab and/or TPOAb-positive pregnant women.
5.Continuation, reduction, or withdrawal of tofacitinib in patients with rheumatoid arthritis achieving sustained disease control: a multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial.
Mengyan WANG ; Yu XUE ; Fang DU ; Lili MA ; Liang-Jing LU ; Lindi JIANG ; Yi-Li TAO ; Chengde YANG ; Hui SHI ; Honglei LIU ; Xiaobing CHENG ; Junna YE ; Yutong SU ; Dongbao ZHAO ; Sheng-Ming DAI ; Jialin TENG ; Qiongyi HU
Chinese Medical Journal 2023;136(3):331-340
BACKGROUND:
Rheumatoid arthritis (RA), a chronic systemic autoimmune disease, is characterized by synovitis and progressive damage to the bone and cartilage of the joints, leading to disability and reduced quality of life. This study was a randomized clinical trial comparing the outcomes between withdrawal and dose reduction of tofacitinib in patients with RA who achieved sustained disease control.
METHODS:
The study was designed as a multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial. Eligible patients who were taking tofacitinib (5 mg twice daily) and had achieved sustained RA remission or low disease activity (disease activity score in 28 joints [DAS28] ≤3.2) for at least 3 months were enrolled at six centers in Shanghai, China. Patients were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to one of three treatment groups: continuation of tofacitinib (5 mg twice daily); reduction in tofacitinib dose (5 mg daily); and withdrawal of tofacitinib. Efficacy and safety were assessed up to 6 months.
RESULTS:
Overall, 122 eligible patients were enrolled, with 41 in the continuation group, 42 in the dose-reduction group, and 39 in the withdrawal group. After 6 months, the percentage of patients with a DAS28-erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) of <3.2 was significantly lower in the withdrawal group than that in the reduction and continuation groups (20.5%, 64.3%, and 95.1%, respectively; P < 0.0001 for both comparisons). The average flare-free time was 5.8 months for the continuation group, 4.7 months for the dose reduction group, and 2.4 months for the withdrawal group.
CONCLUSION:
Withdrawal of tofacitinib in patients with RA with stable disease control resulted in a rapid and significant loss of efficacy, while standard or reduced doses of tofacitinib maintained a favorable state.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
Chictr.org, ChiCTR2000039799.
Humans
;
Quality of Life
;
China
;
Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy*
;
Piperidines/therapeutic use*
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Antirheumatic Agents/therapeutic use*
;
Pyrroles/therapeutic use*
6.Prediction of postoperative visual acuity in cataract patients with idiopathic macular epiretinal membrane by hand-held retinal optometer and optical coherence tomography.
Hongyang LI ; Yanying LI ; Liping XUE ; Honglei ZOU ; Renlong LIANG ; Binghua YANG ; Yi WU
Journal of Southern Medical University 2021;41(1):123-127
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the value of hand-held retinal optometer and optical coherence tomography (OCT) in predicting postoperative visual acuity in patients with age-related cataract and idiopathic macular epiretinal membrane.
METHODS:
We retrospectively analyzed the data of patients undergoing phacoemulsification combined with intraocular lens implantation for age-related cataract in our hospital from January, 2019 to April, 2020.Preoperative examination detected idiopathic macular epiretinal membrane in 45 of the patients (52 eyes) with lens opacity grade C2N2P1 according to LOCSⅡ lens opacity classification criteria.Based on the thickness of the macular fovea, the eyes were divided into group A (9 eyes) with macular thickness < 300 μm by OCT examination, group B (25 eyes) with macular thickness of 300 to 400 μm, and group C (18 eyes) with macular thickness >400 μm.The best corrected visual acuity and retinal visual acuity before operation and the best corrected visual acuity on the first day and at 3 months after the surgery were compared among the 3 groups.The consistency between the preoperative retinal vision and the best corrected vision at 3 months after the surgery was analyzed.
RESULTS:
The best corrected visual acuity at one day and 3 months after the surgery differed significantly from that before the surgery in all the 3 groups (
CONCLUSIONS
For patients with cataract and idiopathic macular epiretinal membrane, phacoemulsification combined with intraocular lens implantation can improve postoperative vision.Hand-held retinal optometer can accurately assess postoperative vision in patients with stage C2N2P1 cataract.Patients with a macular thickness >400 μm caused by idiopathic macular epiretinal membrane are likely to have poor postoperative visual outcomes.
Cataract/diagnostic imaging*
;
Epiretinal Membrane/surgery*
;
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Tomography, Optical Coherence
;
Visual Acuity
;
Vitrectomy
7.Separating the intersegmental plane by different energy devices in segmentectomy: results from ex vivo animal
Honglei XU ; Wang ZHANG ; Liang CHEN ; Wei WEN ; Jun WANG ; Xinfeng XU ; Quan ZHU
Chinese Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2021;37(1):33-37
Objective:Comparing the different effects between using electrotome and ultrasonic scalpel in segmentectomy for separating intersegmental plane.Methods:The ex vivo porcine lungs were chosen for experiments, the a segment of the cranial lobe of the right lung(RS1a) was removed by using electrotome(coagulation mode) or ultrasonic scalpel, the values of minimum air leak pressure among them were compared, and also the hematoxylin and eosin staining for evaluating the injury degree of incision edge.Results:The mean values of minimum air leak pressures for the intersegmental plane after segmentectomy were(17.3±1.0)cmH 2O by electrotome, (16.4±2.9) cmH 2O by ultrasonic scalpel, the differences did not reach significance between electrotome and ultrasonic scalpel( P=0.17). When focused on heat injury degree of incision edge, electrotome caused a heavier damage than ultrasonic scalpel[(819.70±158.00)μm vs.(354.35±98.81)μm, respectively, P<0.01]. Conclusion:Electrotome and ultrasonic scalpel presented different merits and defects, and we should opt energy devices rationally for separating inter-segmental plane.
8.A Retrospective Study of Microporous Polysaccharide Hemostatic Powder Combined with Other Repair Materials for Reducing Postoperative Pulmonary Air Leakage during Pulmonary Segmentectomy.
Wang ZHANG ; Honglei XU ; Wei WEN ; Jun WANG ; Liang CHEN ; Quan ZHU
Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2020;23(10):852-857
BACKGROUND:
Anatomical segmentectomy is more and more widely used in lung nodules and early stage lung cancer. Postoperative lung air leakage is one of the common complications after surgery. This study aimed to explore the effect of the application of repair materials in precise segmentectomy under thoracoscopy in reducing postoperative lung air leakage.
METHODS:
This study included patients admitted to the Department of Thoracic Surgery of Jiangsu Provincial People's Hospital who were scheduled to undergo thoracoscopic segmentectomy from August 1, 2018 to July 31, 2019. According to the difference of the materials used in the treatment of the inter-segment interface during the operation: patients who used microporous polysaccharide hemostatic powder+fibrin adhesive glue+absorbable polyglycolic acid patch were divided into group A, and the patients with fibrin adhesive+absorbable polyglycolic acid patch were divided into group B. The preoperative basic information of all patients and the daily postoperative chest drainage volume, the indwelling time of the chest drainage tube, the chest radiograph before the chest drainage tube is removed, the chest radiograph after the chest drainage tube is removed, blood routine and postoperative hospital stay were collected and recorded, and the effect of the application of intraoperative repair materials on postoperative lung air leakage was analyzed.
RESULTS:
There were statistically significant differences in the indwelling time of thoracic drainage tube (P=0.019) and postoperative hospital stay (P=0.017) between the two groups.
CONCLUSIONS
Compared with the use of the fibrin glue+absorbability polyglycolic acid patch, the use of microporous polysaccharide hemostatic powder+fibrin glue+absorbability polyglycolic acid patch in the treatment of the inter-segment interface during segmentectomy can better reduce the incidence of postoperative air leakage and shorten the postoperative hospital stay.
9. Application of functional parotidectomy via retroauricular hairline incision in the excising superficial parotid tumor
Ping′an WU ; Zhaoqun LU ; Yafeng GUAN ; Honglei ZHU ; Xiuni LIANG ; Weiying LIANG ; Raymond K. TSANG
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2017;52(12):905-908
Objective:
To evaluate the usefulness of retroauricular hairline incision (RAHI) in partial superficial parotidectomy (PSP) by comparison with modified Blair incision (MBI).
Methods:
A retrospective analysis of 64 medical records for patients with benign parotid tumors who underwent partial superficial parotidectomy was undertaken (28 were in MBI group, 36 in RAHI group). Size and location of tumors, operative time, occurrence of facial nerve paralysis and Frey′s syndrome, and cosmetic outcomes were compared between RAHI and MBI groups.
Results:
Compared with MBI group, RAHI group showed better cosmetic results for benign parotid tumors in mean satisfaction score(
10.A multicentre retrospective cohort study of patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors in Shandong Province.
Liang NING ; Wei YAN ; Menglai ZHANG ; Honglei GONG ; Yong DAI ; Lixin JIANG ; Huizhong LIN ; Dongfeng ZHANG ; Yanbing ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2014;17(4):326-330
OBJECTIVETo investigate the clinicopathological features and prognosis of patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumor(GIST) after surgery in Shandong Province.
METHODSClinicopathological data of GIST patients undergoing surgery from January 2001 to June 2013 in four university teaching hospitals in Shandong Province were reviewed. Pathology results were rechecked. Patients were followed up. The prognostic factors were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses with Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model.
RESULTSA total of 1039 GIST cases were enrolled, including 509 males and 530 females, with age from 18 to 87 years(median, 58). Ninety-three patients died of GIST during follow-up. The 1-, 3-, 5-year survival rates were 94.6%, 91.7% and 87.8%, respectively. Patients undergoing R0 resection had a higher 5-year overall survival rate than those undergoing R1 resection(88.8% vs 69.0%, P<0.05). For patients with intermediate risk of recurrence after surgery, the 5-year overall survival rate was 94.4% and 89.2% respectively in imatinib and non-imatinib intervention groups(P>0.05). For patients with high risk of recurrence after surgery, the 5-year overall survival rate was 76.8% and 67.7% respectively(P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor size(P<0.01, RR=1.988, 95%CI:1.497-2.641), mitotic count(P<0.01, RR=2.326, 95%CI:1.686-3.208) and tumor rupture(P<0.01, RR=3.032, 95%CI:1.732-5.308) were independent prognostic factors.
CONCLUSIONSTumor size, mitotic count and tumor rupture affect the prognosis of patients after resection of primary GIST independently. The standard treatment of localized GIST is R0 resection. Adjuvant imatinib therapy can improve overall survival of patients with high risk of recurrence after surgery. The efficacy of imatinib for patients with intermediate risk of recurrence remains to be verified.
Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Benzamides ; Cohort Studies ; Combined Modality Therapy ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Gastrointestinal Neoplasms ; diagnosis ; therapy ; Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors ; diagnosis ; therapy ; Humans ; Imatinib Mesylate ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Multivariate Analysis ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local ; Piperazines ; Prognosis ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Pyrimidines ; Retrospective Studies ; Survival Rate ; Young Adult

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