1.Progress and strength of response against non-communicable diseases in the US-affiliated Pacific Island jurisdictions, 2010-2021
Andre Mark Durand ; Haley L Cash ; Zoe Durand
Western Pacific Surveillance and Response 2022;13(1):13-22
Objective:
To determine the effectiveness of the response to the 2010 declared regional noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) emergency in nine US-affiliated Pacific Island jurisdictions.
Methods:
Vital statistics and risk prevalence surveys were retrospectively reviewed using 14 standardized NCD risk, prevalence and death rate indicators to measure changes in health status over time. NCD risk and prevalence change scores were derived from subsets of these indicators, and NCD composite death rates were examined. An NCD strength-of-intervention score derived from a standardized regional monitoring tool provided measures for assessing responses aimed at curbing risk factors, prevalence and death rates. Associations between the strength-of-intervention score and changes in health status were examined.
Results:
Pairs of values were available for 97 of 126 individual comparisons for 14 core indicators in nine jurisdictions. The composite mean prevalence of all risk factors across the jurisdictions between baseline and follow-up (26.7% versus 24.3%, P=0.34) and the composite mean diabetes and hypertension prevalence (28.3% versus 28.2%, P=0.98) were unchanged, while NCD death rates increased (483.0 versus 521.9 per 100 000 per year, P<0.01). The composite strength-of-intervention score for the region was 37.2%. Higher strength-of-intervention scores were associated with improvements in health indicators.
Discussion
Despite some improvements in selected NCD indicators at the jurisdiction level, there was no significant overall change in the prevalence of risk factors, diabetes and hypertension, and death rates have continued to increase since the NCD emergency declaration. However, the adoption of public sector NCD interventions was associated with improvements in health indicators.
2.How the Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands stalled COVID-19 for 22 months and managed its first significant community transmission
Dwayne Davis ; Stephanie Kern-Allely ; Lily Muldoon ; John M Tudela ; Jesse Tudela ; Renea Raho ; Heather S Pangelinan ; Halina Palacios ; John Tabaguel ; Alan Hinson ; Guillermo Lifoifoi ; Warren Villagomez ; Joseph R Fauver ; Haley L Cash ; Esther Muñ ; a ; Sean T Casey ; Ali S Khan
Western Pacific Surveillance and Response 2023;14(1):76-85
Objective: The Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands (CNMI) is a remote Pacific island territory with a population of 47 329 that successfully prevented the significant introduction of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) until late 2021. This study documents how the response to the introduction of COVID-19 in CNMI in 2021 was conducted with limited resources without overwhelming local clinical capacity or compromising health service delivery for the population.
Methods: Data from COVID-19 case investigations, contact tracing, the Commonwealth’s immunization registry and whole genome sequencing were collated and analysed as part of this study.
Results: Between 26 March 2020 and 31 December 2021, 3281 cases and 14 deaths due to COVID-19 were reported in CNMI (case fatality rate, 0.4%). While notification rates were highest among younger age groups, hospitalization and mortality rates were disproportionately greater among those aged >50 years and among the unvaccinated. The first widespread community transmission in CNMI was detected in October 2021, with genomic epidemiology and contact tracing data indicating a single introduction event involving the AY.25 lineage and subsequent rapid community spread. Vaccination coverage was high before widespread transmission occurred in October 2021 and increased further over the study period.
Discussion: Robust preparedness and strong leadership generated resilience within the public health sector such that COVID-19 did not overwhelm CNMI’s health system as it did in other jurisdictions and countries around the world. At no point was hospital capacity exceeded, and all patients received adequate care without the need for health-care rationing.