1.Investigation of fall risk in patients with Parkinson's disease and establishment and validation of a nomogram prediction model based on LASSO regression
Haiqiong HU ; Lixia LI ; Yu SHAO ; Yuanyuan HUANG ; Fajun XIAO ; Ke XIA
Journal of Chongqing Medical University 2025;50(10):1338-1344
Objective:To investigate the risk of falls in patients with Parkinson's disease and establish and validate a prediction model.Methods:We selected 372 patients with Parkinson's disease at Sichuan Nanchong Mental Health Centre from January 2022 to Septem-ber 2023.The patients were divided in a 7:3 ratio into model group(260 cases)and validation group(112 cases).According to previ-ous literature and suspected factors found in clinical practice,we collected general information(sex,age,etc.)and disease-related factors(the duration of Parkinson's disease,the type of medications taken,etc.)that may be associated with falls in patients with Parkinson's disease.In the model group,between patients with and those without falls within 1 year as reported by the patients or their family members,potential predictors for falls were determined through comparison of general information and disease-related factors,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and multivariable logistic regression.Based on the significant factors,a nomogram model was established and validated.Results:In the model group,81(31.15%)of the 260 patients experienced falls.According to the LASSO regression and multivariable logistic regression results,alcohol consumption,the type of medications,the score of the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale part Ⅲ(UPDRS-Ⅲ),the Berg Balance Scale score,the presence of arthritis,and the presence of osteoporosis were independent factors influenc-ing falls in patients with Parkinson's disease.The area under curve(AUC)of the receiver operator characteristic curve(ROC)for pre-dicting the risk of falls in patients with Parkinson's disease was 0.896(95%CI=0.856-0.935)in the model group and 0.883(95%CI=0.840-0.926)in the validation group.The calibration curve analysis results showed that the prediction curves of the model and valida-tion groups closely fitted the standard curves.The decision curve analysis results indicated that when the probability threshold for pre-dicting the fall risk in Parkinson's disease using the nomogram was 0.10-0.90,the net benefit rate of the patients was greater than 0.Conclusion:The risk of falls in patients with Parkinson's disease are mainly influenced by factors such as alcohol consumption and the type of medications.The nomogram model established in this study can be used to predict the fall risk in patients with Parkinson's disease.
2.Clinical study of intermediate frequency pulse electrical stimulation combined with traditional Chinese medicine directional drug penetration therapy in the treatment of lumbar spinal stenosis
Fajun ZHU ; Mingchi KE ; Dong HU ; Hui CHEN ; Xinmiao WU ; Hongchun ZANG ; Weixing WANG
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2023;45(11):1371-1375
Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of intermediate frequency pulse electrical stimulation combined with TCM directional drug penetration therapy in the treatment of patients with lumbar spinal stenosis.Methods:Randomized controlled trial. Totally 90 patients with lumbar spinal stenosis who were treated between July 2018 and December 2021 in the hospital were selected according to randomized controlled trial design, and they were divided into the two groups through the random number table method, with 45 cases in each group. The control group was given non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs+conventional intermittent traction + intermediate frequency pulse electrical stimulation, and the combined group was treated with TCM directional drug penetration therapy on the basis of the control group. Both groups were continuously treated for 1 month. The TCM syndromes were scored before and after treatment, and Visual Analogue Scale (VAS) was used to evaluate the pain degree. Japanese Orthopedic Association (JOA) and Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) were applied to assess the dysfunction degree and quality of life, and the clinical efficacy was assessed.Results:The total effective rate was 95.56% (43/45) in combined group and was 82.22% (37/45) in control group, with statistical significance ( χ2=4.05, P=0.044). The scores of lumbago pain, articular soreness, knee soreness and weakness and impaired activity and total score in combined group after treatment were lower than those in the control group ( t=18.40, 15.81, 15.40, 26.50, 59.575, P<0.01), and the JOA score was higher than that of the control group ( t=5.62, P<0.01), while the ODI score was lower than that of the control group ( t=9.43, P<0.01). The time-point effect and between-group effect of VAS score in combined group were lower than those in the control group with the extension of time ( F=240.00, 17.19, P<0.01), and there was an interaction effect between decrease and treatment method ( F=6.66, P<0.01). Conclusion:Intermediate frequency pulse electrical stimulation combined with TCM directional drug penetration therapy is helpful to relieve the pain, improve the lumbar dysfunction degree and enhance the quality of life and clinical efficacy in patients with lumbar spinal stenosis.
3.Nanometer silver dressing plus recombinant bovine basic fibroblast growth factor gel for residual burn wounds
Zhiyong WENG ; Ruohong DING ; Bin HAN ; Zhenghua CHEN ; Zhenghua XIE ; Jun TANG ; Fajun KE
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2009;13(47):9357-9360
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the curative effects of nanometer silver dressing and recombinant bovine basic fibroblast growth factor gel on burn residual wounds.METHODS: Forty burn patients with residual wounds because of deep second degree burn and full-thickness burn, were randomly divided into control group and management group. There were 20 patients in both groups. The patients of management group were treated by nanometer silver dressing and recombinant bovine basic fibroblast growth factor gel. The patients of control group were treated by saline and paraffin absorbent gauze. Healing time, wound healing rates at different time points,cases of infected wound and results of bacterial culture before and 7 days following treatment, and drug adverse reaction were recorded.RESULTS: The healing time of management group was significantly shorter than the control group (P < 0.01). The wound healing rates of management group was significantly higher than the control group at different time points (P< 0.01). The cases of infected wound was significantly fewer than the control group after treating (P < 0.01). The pathogenic bacteria detection rate was significantly lower than the control group after 7 days (P < 0.01).CONCLUSION: There was better antibacterial activity, decurtating the healing time when the management of nanometer silver dressing and recombinant bovine basic fibroblast growth factor gel on burn residual wounds were put into practice.

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