1.Association between solid fuel exposure and cancer risk among middle-aged and elderly adults with different physical activity levels
Zihan ZHANG ; Jiayi ZHAO ; Guangwen CAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(10):842-847
ObjectiveTo determine the association between solid fuel exposure and cancer risk among middle-aged and elderly adults in China, to investigate the underlying biological pathways through selected serological markers, and to examine whether adequate physical activity can mitigate this risk by modulating these pathways. MethodsBased on baseline characteristics, health status indicators and hematological data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS, 2011‒2018), multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to assess the association between solid fuel use and cancer risk, with stratified analyses conducted by physical activity levels. In addition, mediation analyses were performed to evaluate the role of serological markers including hemoglobin concentration and hematocrit in the association between solid fuel use and cancer incidence. ResultsSolid fuel use was significantly associated with an increased cancer risk (OR=1.344, 95%CI: 1.113‒1.615). This association remained significant among individuals with low levels of physical activity ( OR=1.344, 95%CI: 1.067‒1.673 ), but not statistically significant among those with adequate physical activity. Hemoglobin concentration and hematocrit showed a negative mediating effect between solid fuel use and cancer incidence, and this effect was stronger among those with low levels of physical activity. ConclusionIndoor solid fuel use represents an important environmental risk factor for cancer incidence in China’s middle-aged and elderly population, while regular physical activity may reduce carcinogenic risk through modulation of inflammatory levels and hematological indicators such as hemoglobin and hematocrit. Public health strategies should integrate clean energy promotion with exercise interventions to mitigate the cancer burden associated with solid fuel pollution.
2.Association of Leukemia Incidence and Mortality Rate in 2022 and Human Development Index in Global Countries
Yida HE ; Xiaoqiong ZHU ; Zheng LI ; Donghong LIU ; Guangwen CAO
Cancer Research on Prevention and Treatment 2024;51(10):870-876
Objective To compare the association of the incidence and mortality of leukemia and the human development index(HDI)in different countries or regions in 2022,and the trend of leukemia incidence and mortality with age in countries with different HDI levels.Methods GLOBOCAN 2022 data related to leukemia incidence and mortality in different countries or regions worldwide and HDI were evaluated by Pearson correlation analysis and Kruskal-Wallis test.The incidence and mortality rates of each age and the age change trend were analyzed using the Joinpoint Regression model.Results Age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR),age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR),and mortality to incidence ratio(M/I)were statistically significantly different among the four groups of HDI countries(P<0.001).HDI was positively correlated with ASIR and ASMR and negatively correlated with M/I.Among all ages,ASIR and ASMR of leukemia of the four groups had similar trends with age,and the risk of leukemia was high at ages less than 15 and more than 40.The incidence of leukemia in all age groups in China differed from those in other countries with high HDI,while the mortality rate was lower than those in other countries with high HDI.Conclusion Countries or regions with higher HDI have higher ASIR and ASMR and lower M/I because of their better medical condition.
3.Global liver cancer incidence and mortality and future trends from 2000 to 2020: GLOBOCAN data analysis
Ruihua WANG ; Ming HU ; Zhiyu YANG ; Zheyun NIU ; Hongsen CHEN ; Xiong ZHOU ; Guangwen CAO
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(3):271-280
Objective:To compare the geographical differences and time trends of liver cancer incidence and mortality in different regions around the world so as to predict the future burden of liver cancer.Methods:The incidence and mortality data of liver cancer in different Human Development Index (HDI) countries from 2000 to 2020 were collected from the GLOBOCAN 2020 database. The joinpoint model and annual percent change (APC) were used to analyze the liver cancer global incidence and mortality as well as future epidemic trends from 2000 to 2020.Results:ASMR for male liver cancer was increased from 8.0/100, 000 in 2000 to 7.1/100,000 in 2015 (APC = -0.7, 95% CI: -1.2 ~ -0.3, P = 0.002), while ASMR for female liver cancer was increased from 3.0/100, 000 in 2000 to 2.8/100, 000 in 2015 (APC = -0.5, 95% CI: -0.8 ~ -0.2, P < 0.001). The ratio of male to female ASMR was 2.67:1 in 2000 and 2.51:1 in 2015, indicating a slight narrowing of the difference in mortality between men and women. In 2020, the global ASIR and ASMR for liver cancer were 9.5/100 000 and 8.7/100 000, respectively. Male ASIR and ASMR (14.1/100, 000 and 12.9/100, 000, respectively) were 2 ~ 3 times higher than females (5.2/100, 000 and 4.8/100, 000, respectively). There were significant differences between ASIR and ASMR in different HDI countries and regions ( PASIR = 0.008, PASMR < 0.001), and the distributions of ASMR and ASIR were very similar. New cases and deaths were expected to increase by 58.6% (143,6744) and 60.9% (133, 5 375) in 2040, with the number of cases and deaths increasing by 39,7003 and 37,4208 in Asia, respectively. Conclusion:ASMR due to liver cancer worldwide has had a downward trend between 2000 and 2015. However, the latest epidemiological status and predictions of liver cancer in 2020 indicate that prevention and control will still be a major challenge globally in the next 20 years.
4.Application of prediction models in clinical research
Zheyun NIU ; Jiaying SHEN ; Zihan ZHANG ; Dongming JIANG ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Guangwen CAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(1):56-65
Chronic diseases have become an important public health problem for people under 70 years of age worldwide, while also causing a great economic burden. The establishment of clinical prediction models can help to predict the risk of a disease or the prognostic effect of a study subject in advance by means of index testing at the early stage of chronic diseases, and plays an increasingly important role in clinical practice. This study introduces clinical diagnostic prediction models and clinical prognostic prediction models, and reviews clinical data processing, clinical prediction model building, visualization methods and model evaluation from the perspective of the application of clinical prediction models, which contribute to the correct and reasonable use of prediction models in clinical research.
5.Malignant tumor incidence and mortality in Daishan county,Zhoushan,Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2019
Jiaying SHEN ; Dongming JIANG ; Ling YE ; Xiaoqiong ZHU ; Jiluo LIU ; Yifan CHEN ; Kunyan WANG ; Guangwen CAO
Tumor 2023;43(2):97-105
Objective:To provide scientific basis for prevention and control measures of island regions through analyzing the characteristics of malignant tumor incidence and mortality in eastern island areas of China and comparing the data with the national cancer mortality data in the same period. Methods:Using the incidence and mortality data of malignant tumor in Daishan county,Zhoushan collected by the Daishan Center for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)from 2014 to 2019,which was stratified by gender,the crude incidence rates(CIR)and crude mortality rates(CMR)were calculated,and the top 10 malignant tumors with the highest incidence or mortality rates were then ranked.The Segi's world standard population was used to calculate the age-standardized incidence(ASIR)and age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR).The local data were compared with the national cancer mortality data from 2014 to 2019,and Chi-square test was used to analyze the differences between these two sets of data using the SPSS software.The difference was considered statistically significant when P<0.05. Results:There was a total of 7 305 incidence cases of malignant tumors in Daishan county,Zhoushan from 2014 to 2019.The CIR was 662.39/105 and the ASIR was 306.81/105.Notably,the CIR was the highest in the age group of 75-79 years old.The top 5 malignant tumors with the highest incidence rates were lung cancer(27.15%),gastric cancer(12.76%),liver cancer(10.95%),colorectal cancer(6.92%)and breast cancer(5.42%),whose ASIR were 75.09/105,32.06/105,31.01/105,17.81/105 and 18.36/105,respectively.There was a total of 3 412 mortality cases of malignant tumors in Daishan county,Zhoushan from 2014 to 2019.The CMR was 309.39/105 and the ASMR was 122.73/105.Notably,the CMR was the highest in the age group of 80-85 years old.The top 5 malignant tumors with the highest mortality rates were lung cancer(24.94%),liver cancer(18.64%),gastric cancer(17.00%),colorectal cancer(7.56%)and esophageal cancer(5.72%),whose ASMR were 29.65/105,24.97/105,19.01/105,8.75/105 and 6.60/105,respectively.The total ASMR of malignant tumors in Daishan county,Zhoushan was higher than national total ASMR from 2014 to 2019(100.34/105)(P<0.001).Specifically,the ASMR of gastric cancer,lung cancer and colorectal cancer in Daishan county were significantly higher than national levels(gastric cancer:12.46/105;liver cancer:16.45/105;colorectal cancer:6.63/105)(P<0.01),whereas no significant difference in the ASMR of lung cancer and esophageal cancer between Daishan county and the whole nation(lung cancer:28.06/105;esophageal cancer:7.61/105)was observed. Conclusion:Lung cancer,gastric cancer,liver cancer and colorectal cancer were malignant tumors with higher incidence and mortality rates in Daishan county,Zhoushan from 2014 to 2019.Particularly,the ASMR of gastric cancer,liver cancer and colorectal cancer were significantly higher than the national levels,and these malignant tumors should be considered as the major focus of cancer prevention and control.
6.Effects and underlying mechanisms of telomerase reverse transcriptase in carcinogenesis and cancer progression
Zhimin WEI ; Zishuai LI ; Wenbin LIU ; Guangwen CAO
Tumor 2023;43(5):448-456
As a limiting factor in telomerase activity,telomerase reverse transcriptase(TERT)controls cellular senescence and apoptosis by maintaining telomere length.TERT is not expressed or little expressed in most normal cells.However,the abnormal overexpression of TERT promotes the ability of tumor cells to replicate indefinitely.This review summarizes the regulatory mechanisms of TERT expression,including the main transcription factor families,single nucleotide polymorphism sites,and epigenetic modification changes such as DNA methylation,histone modification,and non-coding RNA.The role of these molecular mechanisms as well as significant TERT single-base variants and virus integration variants in the occurrence and development of cancer are reviewed.On this basis,its application in tumor diagnosis and prognosis is discussed.
7.Establishment and evaluation of the polygenic disease risk prediction model
Xiaoqiong ZHU ; Xiong ZHOU ; Peng CAI ; Yida HE ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Xiaojie TAN ; Guangwen CAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(10):1044-1048
To establish a disease risk prediction model based on genetic susceptibility genes and environmental risk factors, which can target high-risk population as early as possible, and intervene in the environmental risk factors in this population. Moreover, accurate screening of genetically susceptible populations can enhance the efficiency of health system. In recent years, with the maturation and cost reduction of high-throughput gene testing, gene testing has been widely used in individual clinical decision-making and will play a more important role in medical and health decision-making. The correlation between genetic testing and disease risk prediction is increasing, making it a prominent research topic in this field. This review summarizes the approaches for establishing and evaluating risk prediction models and discusses potential future challenges and opportunities.
8.Exploring the application of decision analysis in public health emergencies
Zheng LI ; Ming HU ; Xiong ZHOU ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Guangwen CAO ; Xiaojie TAN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(11):1146-1152
When facing two or more choices, sound decision-making is critical. In the field of clinical medical practice and public health, more and more researchers use decision-making analysis as an important tool to assist in making the optimal choices. Public health emergencies have the characteristics of group cases, sudden and uncertain. In addition to causing serious damage to public health, they may also have varying degrees of impact on socio-economic, psychological and even social stability. At present, we have not seen the application of mature and sound decision analysis in public health emergency response. This paper reviewed the development of decision analysis in the medical field and the application of common decision-making models in clinical practice. Combined with the current situation of global infectious disease outbreaks and prevention and control, this paper puts forward the concepts and prospects of establishing an auxiliary decision-making system for public health emergencies, aiming to provide a scientific method for medical and health workers to respond to public health emergencies.
9.Contribution of tobacco smoking to the risk of novel coronavirus infection and related mechanisms
Ruixi GUO ; Jintao LING ; Bodong WANG ; Wenbin LIU ; Guangwen CAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(11):1153-1156
The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and its variants are still globally spreading. Vaccines can reduce the mortality, but cannot eliminate the risk of infection. The identification and protection of the high-risk susceptible population remains of great importance for the prevention and control of SARS-CoV2 and other coronavirus infections. Smoking is an important risk factor for many respiratory diseases, and therefore may also influence the risk of SARS-CoV2 infection and the disease progression after infection. This study reviewed the epidemiological and mechanistic evidence supporting the relationship between tobacco exposure and SARS-CoV2 infection, summarized the contributing effects of tobacco exposure to the infection risk, disease severity, and mortality of COVID-19, and analyzed the molecular mechanisms by which cigarette smoking affects COVID-19 through regulating inflammatory microenvironment and gene expression.
10.Role of androgen receptors in the development of hepatocellular carcinoma
Yitao YANG ; Yu GU ; Ziyan CHEN ; Wenbin LIU ; Guangwen CAO
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(11):1157-1161
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has emerged as a significant public health concern, posing a serious threat to the lives and health of residents in China. Furthermore, the incidence and mortality rates of HCC are notably higher in males than in females. Androgen receptors (AR) can contribute to the occurrence of male-specific cancers such as prostate cancer, suggesting a potential link to the increased susceptibility of males to HCC. Elucidating the cancer-promoting mechanism of AR and developing specific targeted interventions are effective ways to advance tertiary prevention of HCC and improve patient prognosis. This paper reviews the relevant evidence of AR’s role in promoting the occurrence and development of HCC, summarizes relevant mechanisms discovered to date, including promoting the stemness of HCC cells, altering the immune microenvironment, regulating key signaling pathways, inducing glycolysis in hepatocellular carcinoma, and synergizing with hepatitis B virus to promote HCC. Additionally, research directions for targeted interventions in HCC through AR-related signaling pathways are discussed.

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