1.National bloodstream infection bacterial resistance surveillance report 2023: Gram-positive bacteria
Chaoqun YING ; Jinru JI ; Zhiying LIU ; Qing YANG ; Haishen KONG ; Jiangqin SONG ; Hui DING ; Yanyan LI ; Yuanyuan DAI ; Haifeng MAO ; Pengpeng TIAN ; Lu WANG ; Yongyun LIU ; Yizheng ZHOU ; Jiliang WANG ; Yan JIN ; Donghong HUANG ; Hongyun XU ; Peng ZHANG ; Xinhua QIANG ; Hong HE ; Lin ZHENG ; Junmin CAO ; Zhou LIU ; Ying HUANG ; Yan GENG ; Haiquan KANG ; Dan LIU ; Guolin LIAO ; Lixia ZHANG ; Fenghong CHEN ; Yanhong LI ; Baohua ZHANG ; Haixin DONG ; Xiaoyan LI ; Donghua LIU ; Qiuying ZHANG ; Xuefei HU ; Liang GUO ; Sijin MAN ; Dijing SONG ; Rong XU ; Youdong YIN ; Kunpeng LIANG ; Aiyun LI ; Zhuo LI ; Hongxia HU ; Guoping LU ; Jinhua LIANG ; Qiang LIU ; Yinqiao DONG ; Jilu SHEN ; Shuyan HU ; Liang LUAN ; Jian LI ; Ling MENG ; Dengyan QIAO ; Xiusan XIA ; Bo QUAN ; Dahong WANG ; Chunhua HAN ; Xiaoping YAN ; Fei LI ; Shifu WANG ; Ping SHEN ; Yunbo CHEN ; Yonghong XIAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2025;18(2):118-132
Objective:To report the nationwide surveillance results of pathogenic profiles and antimicrobial resistance patterns of Gram-positive bloodstream infections in China in 2023.Methods:The clinical isolates of Gram-posttive bacteria from blood cultures were collected in member hospitals of National Bloodstream Infection Bacterial Resistant Investigation Collaborative System(BRICS)during January to December 2023. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing was performed using the dilution method recommended by the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI). Statistical analyses were conducted using WHONET 5.6 and SPSS 25.0 software.Results:A total of 4 385 Gram-positive bacterial isolates were obtained from 60 participating center. The top five pathogens were Staphylococcus aureus( n=1 544,35.2%),coagulase-negative Staphylococci( n=1 441,32.9%), Enterococcus faecium( n=574,13.1%), Enterococcus faecalis( n=385,8.8%),and α-hemolytic Streptococci( n=187,4.3%). The prevalence of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus(MRSA)and methicillin-resistant coagulase-negative Staphylococci(MRCNS)was 26.2%(405/1 544)and 69.8%(1 006/1 441),respectively. Notably,all Staphylococci remained susceptible to glycopeptide or daptomycin. Staphylococcus aureus demonstrated excellent susceptibility(>97.0%)to cephalobiol,rifampicin,trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole,linezolid,minocycline,tigecycline,and eravacycline. No Enterococcus exhibiting resistance to linezolid were detected. Glycopeptide resistance was uncommon but more frequent in Enterococcus faecium(resistance to vancomycin and teicoplanin:both 1.7%)compared to Enterococcus faecalis(both 0.3%). The detection rates of MRSA and MRCNS exhibited significant regional variations across the country( χ2=17.674 and 148.650,respectively,both P<0.001). No vancomycin-resistant Enterococci were detected in central China. Institutional comparison demonstrated higher prevalence of MRSA( χ2=14.111, P<0.001)and MRCNS( χ2=4.828, P=0.028)in provincial hospitals than that in municipal hospitals. Socioeconomic analysis identified elevated detection rates of both MRSA( χ2=18.986, P<0.001)and MRCNS( χ2=4.477, P=0.034)in less developed regions(per capita GDP
2.National bloodstream infection bacterial resistance surveillance report (2023) : Gram-negative bacteria
Jinru JI ; Zhiying LIU ; Chaoqun YING ; Qing YANG ; Haishen KONG ; Jiangqin SONG ; Hui DING ; Yanyan LI ; Yuanyuan DAI ; Haifeng MAO ; Pengpeng TIAN ; Lu WANG ; Yongyun LIU ; Yizheng ZHOU ; Jiliang WANG ; Yan JIN ; Donghong HUANG ; Hongyun XU ; Peng ZHANG ; Xinhua QIANG ; Hong HE ; Lin ZHENG ; Junmin CAO ; Zhou LIU ; Ying HUANG ; Yan GENG ; Haiquan KANG ; Dan LIU ; Guolin LIAO ; Lixia ZHANG ; Fenghong CHEN ; Yanhong LI ; Baohua ZHANG ; Haixin DONG ; Xiaoyan LI ; Donghua LIU ; Qiuying ZHANG ; Xuefei HU ; Liang GUO ; Sijin MAN ; Dijing SONG ; Rong XU ; Youdong YIN ; Kunpeng LIANG ; Aiyun LI ; Zhuo LI ; Hongxia HU ; Guoping LU ; Jinhua LIANG ; Qiang LIU ; Yinqiao DONG ; Jilu SHEN ; Shuyan HU ; Liang LUAN ; Jian LI ; Ling MENG ; Dengyan QIAO ; Xiusan XIA ; Bo QUAN ; Dahong WANG ; Chunhua HAN ; Xiaoping YAN ; Fei LI ; Shifu WANG ; Ping SHEN ; Yunbo CHEN ; Yonghong XIAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2025;18(1):47-62
Objective:To report the results of bacterial resistant investigation collaborative system(BRICS)on the distribution and antimicrobial resistance profile of clinical Gram-negative bacteria isolates from bloodstream infections in China in 2023,and provide reference for clinical tretment of bloodstream infections and prevention and control of bacterial resistance.Methods:The clinical isolates of Gram-negative bacteria from blood cultures in member hospitals of BRICS were collected during January 2023 to December 2023. Antibiotic susceptibility tests were conducted by agar dilution or broth dilution methods recommended by Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI). WHONET 5.6 and SPSS 25.0 were used to analyze the data.Results:During the study period,11 492 strains of Gram-negative bacteria were collected from 60 hospitals,of which 10 098(87.9%)were Enterobacterales and 1 394(12.1%)were non-fermentative bacteria. The top 5 bacterial species were Escherichia coli(50.0%), Klebsiella pneumoniae(26.1%), Pseudomonas aeruginosa(5.1%), Acinetobacter baumannii complex(5.0%)and Enterobacter cloacae complex(4.1%). The ESBL-producing rates in Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae and Proteus mirablilis were 46.8%(2 685/5 741),18.3%(549/2 999)and 44.0%(77/175),respectively. The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli(CREC)and carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae(CRKP)were 1.3%(76/5 741)and 15.0%(450/2 999);32.9%(25/76)and 78.0%(351/450)of CREC and CRKP were sensitive to ceftazidime/avibactam combination,respectively. 94.7%(72/76)and 90.2%(406/450)of CREC and CRKP were sensitive to aztreonam/avibactam combination. Furthermore,57.9%(44/76)and 79.1%(356/450)were sensitive to imipenem/relebactam combination. The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii(CRAB)complex was 64.6%(370/573),while more than 80.0% of CRAB complex was sensitive to tigecycline,eravacycline and polymyxin B. The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa(CRPA)was 17.0%(99/581). There were differences in the composition ratio of Gram-negative bacteria in bloodstream infections and the prevalence of important Gram-negative bacteria resistance among different regions in China,with statistically significant differences in the prevalence of CREC,CRKP,CRPA and CRAB complex( χ2=10.6,28.6,10.8 and 19.3, P<0.05). The prevalence of ESBL-producing Escherichia coli, CREC,CRAB complex and CRKP were higher in provincial hospitals than those in municipal hospitals( χ2=12.5,9.8,12.7 and 57.8,all P<0.01). Conclusions:Gram-negative bacteria are the main pathogens causing bloodstream infections in China,and Escherichia coli is ranked in the top,while the trend of Klebsiella pneumoniae increases continuously with time. CRKP infection shows a slow upward trend,CREC infecton maintains a low prevalence level,and CRAB complex infection continues to exhibit a high prevalence rate. The composition and resistance patterns of pathogens causing bloodstream infections vary to some extent across different regions and levels of hospitals in China.
3.The diagnostic value of serum solute carrier family 7 member 11, urine retinol-binding protein and transferrin for acute kidney injury in patients with sepsis
Aiyun DU ; Haidong WANG ; Biye JIA ; Xiaojun ZHAO ; Linying MENG
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(7):648-653
Objective:To explore the diagnostic value of serum solute carrier family 7 member 11 (SLC7A11), urinary retinol-binding protein (RBP) and transferrin (TRF) for acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with sepsis.Methods:The clinical data of 204 patients with sepsis from January 2020 to December 2023 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Medical College were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 102 patients complicated with AKI (AKI group), including Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) classification Ⅰ stage 43 cases, Ⅱ stage 36 cases, Ⅲ stage 23 cases; 102 patients did not complicate with AKI (non-AKI group). Additionally, 102 healthy individuals from the same period were selected as a healthy control group. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect the serum expression level of SLC7A11, and fully automatic biochemical analyzers were used to detect urinary RBP and TRF levels. For patients in AKI group and non-AKI group, the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) was recorded; fully automatic analyzers were used to test hematological indicators, including creatinine, hemoglobin, platelet, albumin, uric acid, lactate, procalcitonin and C-reactive protein, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent risk factors of AKI in patients with sepsis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to analyze the values of serum SLC7A11 and urinary RBP, TRF in assessing the risk of AKI in patients with sepsis.Results:The serum SLC7A11 and urinary RBP, TRF in non-AKI group and AKI group were significantly higher than those in healthy control group: (28.66 ± 6.22) and (36.18 ± 7.29) ng/L vs. (14.32 ± 2.63) ng/L, (1.20 ± 0.25) and (1.47 ± 0.31) mg/L vs. (0.44 ± 0.08) mg/L, (1.82 ± 0.39) and (2.26 ± 0.45) mg/L vs. (1.08 ± 0.19) mg/L, furthermore the indexes in AKI group were significantly higher than those in non-AKI group, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). The serum SLC7A11 and urinary RBP, TRF in patients with KDIGO Ⅱ stage and Ⅲ stage were significantly higher than those in patients with KDIGO Ⅰ stage: (37.16 ± 7.41) and (45.20 ± 8.29) ng/L vs. (30.53 ± 6.46) ng/L, (1.50 ± 0.28) and (1.72 ± 0.35) mg/L vs. (1.31 ± 0.26) mg/L, (2.26 ± 0.46) and (2.77 ± 0.59) mg/L vs. (1.99 ± 0.40) mg/L, furthermore the indexes in patients with KDIGO Ⅲ stage were significantly higher than those in patients with KDIGO Ⅱ stage, and there were statistical differences ( P<0.05). The SOFA, creatinine and lactate in AKI group were significantly higher than those in non-AKI group: 12 (9, 15) scores vs. 7 (5, 9) scores, (133.71 ± 13.58) μmol/L vs. (108.18 ± 14.32) μmol/L and (13.61 ± 3.57) mmol/L vs. (10.95 ± 3.10) mmol/L, the albumin and eGFR were significantly lower than those in non-AKI group: (21.48 ± 2.48) g/L vs. (24.85 ± 2.83) g/L and (51.57 ± 9.64) ml/(min·1.73 m 2) vs. (59.21 ± 10.67) ml/(min·1.73 m 2), and there were statistical differences ( P<0.01); there were no statistical differences in hemoglobin, platelet, uric acid, procalcitonin and C-reactive protein between two groups ( P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis result showed that the high SOFA, creatinine, lactate, SLC7A11, urinary RBP, urinary TRF, and low eGFR, albumin were independent risk factors for AKI in patients with sepsis ( OR = 4.864, 5.631, 2.315, 5.862, 6.852, 6.218, 0.328 and 0.226; 95% CI 1.701 to 13.907, 1.803 to 17.585, 1.350 to 3.969, 2.115 to 16.242, 2.177 to 21.566, 1.900 to 20.353, 0.151 to 0.713 and 0.092 to 0.555; P<0.01). The ROC curve analysis result showed that the area under the curve of the combined assessment of serum SLC7A11 and urinary RBP, TRF for AKI in patients with sepsis was significantly larger than serum SLC7A11 and urinary RBP, TRF alone (0.892 vs. 0.774, 0.765 and 0.755), and there was statistical difference ( Z = 2.97, 3.20 and 3.38; P<0.01). Conclusions:The elevated expression levels of serum SLC7A11 and urinary RBP and TRF in patients with sepsis have a high value for the combined detection and assessment of AKI.
4.Research Progress on the Molecular Mechanism of Blood-Activating and Stasis-Eliminating Drugs Affecting Tumor Metasta-sis
Ziyan ZHU ; Yunxuan ZHU ; Qiong CHEN ; Jueyao ZOU ; Aiyun WANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Yin LU ; Wenx-ing CHEN
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(9):1251-1257
The method of promoting blood circulation and removing blood stasis holds a significant position in the theoretical frame-work of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)for cancer treatment.However,the impact of blood-activating and stasis-eliminating herbs on tumor metastasis remains a subject of clinical uncertainty,which has drawn considerable attention to research on their effects.Based on TCM's understanding of the etiology and pathogenesis of tumors,this article elaborates on the molecular mechanisms through which blood-activating and stasis-eliminating Chinese herbs and their active components influence tumor metastasis.This in-cludes their roles in affecting tumor angiogenesis,inducing normalization of tumor blood vessels,and interfering with the Warburg effect in tumor cells.The findings provide a scientific basis for the anti-tumor theory of the blood-activating and stasis-eliminating ap-proach.
5.Research Progress on the Molecular Mechanism of Blood-Activating and Stasis-Eliminating Drugs Affecting Tumor Metasta-sis
Ziyan ZHU ; Yunxuan ZHU ; Qiong CHEN ; Jueyao ZOU ; Aiyun WANG ; Yang ZHAO ; Yin LU ; Wenx-ing CHEN
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;41(9):1251-1257
The method of promoting blood circulation and removing blood stasis holds a significant position in the theoretical frame-work of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)for cancer treatment.However,the impact of blood-activating and stasis-eliminating herbs on tumor metastasis remains a subject of clinical uncertainty,which has drawn considerable attention to research on their effects.Based on TCM's understanding of the etiology and pathogenesis of tumors,this article elaborates on the molecular mechanisms through which blood-activating and stasis-eliminating Chinese herbs and their active components influence tumor metastasis.This in-cludes their roles in affecting tumor angiogenesis,inducing normalization of tumor blood vessels,and interfering with the Warburg effect in tumor cells.The findings provide a scientific basis for the anti-tumor theory of the blood-activating and stasis-eliminating ap-proach.
6.Risk factors for future exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients with no history of exacerbation in the past year
Dingding DENG ; Aiyun JIANG ; Shao WANG ; Xiaotao ZHANG ; Fangfang DAI ; Jun ZHU ; Ping CHEN ; Qing SONG ; Rui ZHAO
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(6):821-825
Objective:To analyze the risk factors associated with future exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who have no history of exacerbation in the past year.Methods:COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year, registered in the RealDTC study from January 2018 to December 2023, were enrolled. Demographic data, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea questionnaire scores, forced expiratory volume in the first second predicted of percentage (FEV 1%pred), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1) to forced vital capacity (FVC), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification, GOLD groups, and inhaled medication regimens were collected. All patients were followed up for one year, and the number of exacerbations was recorded. Patients were divided into an exacerbation group and a non-exacerbation group based on the occurrence of exacerbations during the follow-up period. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the influencing factors for exacerbations in COPD patients. Results:A total of 2 901 COPD patients were included, among which 633 patients (21.8%) experienced exacerbations during the follow-up period. Compared with the non-exacerbation group, patients in the exacerbation group were older, with higher CAT and mMRC scores, lower body mass index (BMI), FEV 1%pred, and FEV 1/FVC. The proportions of patients with high school education or above and those using long-acting β 2-agonist (LABA) + long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) medications were also lower (all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.010, 95% CI: 1.000-1.021), CAT score ≥20 ( OR=1.415, 95% CI: 1.074-1.865), education level of junior high school or below ( OR=1.243, 95% CI: 1.003-1.540), LABA + LAMA inhalation ( OR=0.605, 95% CI: 0.432-0.848), and BMI ( OR=0.969, 95% CI: 0.943-0.995) were independent risk factors for future exacerbations in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The risk of future exacerbations remains high in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year. High CAT scores, low education levels, and low BMI are associated with future exacerbations. Clinicians should pay close attention to the management of such patients and implement appropriate interventions.
7.Construction of a nursing follow-up checklist for patients undergoing autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Ting WANG ; Jiating WANG ; Aiyun JIN ; Xiaming ZHU ; Yun FANG ; Jing WANG ; Fei TIAN ; Yiqin PU ; Ying WAN ; Jin HE ; Xia YAN
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(8):914-920
Objective To construct a nursing follow-up checklist for patients undergoing autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation,providing a basis for postoperative follow-up care.Methods Using evidence-based methods,the literature from major guide websites and databases using Chinese and English search terms was retrieved,and their quality was evaluated.The relevant items were extracted,and a first draft was formed.15 experts were selected in relevant fields from 14 tertiary hospitals in 13 provinces,cities,and autonomous regions across the country for Delphi inquiry.The nursing follow-up checklist was revised again based on expert opinions and clinical practice.The nursing follow-up checklist was initially applied and then revised again to form the final draft.Results 15 experts include 12 undergraduate and 3 master's degree holders.The positivity coefficients of the 2 rounds of inquiry were 100%;the authority coefficients of the experts were 0.815;the Kendall coefficients were 0.119 and 0.144,respectively;the differences were statistically significant(P<0.001).The final nursing follow-up checklist was formed,which includes 6 primary indicators,including physiological status,psychological status,social and family support,living conditions,disease knowledge,and laboratory tests.19 patients(95%)found the follow-up content to be comprehensive.The follow-up nurses's satisfaction rate exceeded 85%.There were 27 secondary indicators and 61 tertiary indicators,with coefficients of variation of all indicators less than 0.25.Conclusion The nursing follow-up checklist is scientific,reliable,and practical,which can provide a basis for clinical nursing staff to follow up and comprehensively manage patients after autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.
8.The association between urinary levels of arsenic, selenium, and chromium in populations with past endemic arsenic exposure and the risk of diabetes mellitus and predisposing factorsns
Aiyun YAN ; Haiyan ZHANG ; Yu CAI ; Ya TU ; Pujun WANG ; Wenbo ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(11):872-876
Objective:To investigate the association between urinary arsenic, selenium, and chromium levels and the risk and predisposing factors of diabetes mellitus in people with previous endemic arsenic exposure.Methods:From September to December 2024, 240 residents in the drinking-water-borne endemic arsenic disease area in Hohhot were taken as the study subjects. They were divided into an exposed group ( n = 91) and a non-exposed group ( n = 149) based on whether they had suffered from arsenism in the past. The exposed group was further divided into diabetes and non diabetes subgroups ( n = 54, 37) based on the prevalence of diabetes, and the diabetes subgroup was further divided into type 1 and type 2 diabetes subgroups ( n = 23, 31) based on the type of diabetes. Questionnaire survey was conducted to investigate the basic situation, measure fasting blood glucose, and determine the levels of arsenic, selenium, and chromium in urine by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to assess the risk factors of diabetes mellitus. Results:The difference of prevalence of diabetes mellitus was statistically significant between the exposed group and non-exposed group [59.3% (54/91) vs. 41.6% (62/149), χ2 = 7.11, P = 0.008]. The levels of urinary arsenic, selenium, and chromium in the exposed group were higher than those in the non-exposed group ( t = - 2.00, - 2.14, - 2.18, P < 0.05). There were statistically significant differences in urinary arsenic level, body mass index (BMI), the distribution of age, smoking status, and gender between the diabetes patients and non-diabetes patients in the exposed group ( t = 2.20, 3.57, χ2 = 10.76, 5.23, 4.01, P < 0.05). The difference of urinary arsenic levels were statistically significant between patients with type 1 diabetes and type 2 diabetes in the exposed group ( t = - 2.06, P = 0.048). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that BMI, age, sex, smoking, and urinary arsenic levels were risk factors for diabetes ( P < 0.05). For every 1-unit increase in urinary arsenic, fasting blood glucose levels increased by 0.057 times (95% CI: 0.018 - 0.103, P = 0.029). Conclusions:There is a significant correlation between the urine arsenic level of people with previous endemic arsenic exposure and diabetes, especially type 2 diabetes. Men, smoking, overweight, age ≥65 years, and high urinary arsenic level are risk factors for diabetes.
9.Construction of a nursing follow-up checklist for patients undergoing autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Ting WANG ; Jiating WANG ; Aiyun JIN ; Xiaming ZHU ; Yun FANG ; Jing WANG ; Fei TIAN ; Yiqin PU ; Ying WAN ; Jin HE ; Xia YAN
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(8):914-920
Objective To construct a nursing follow-up checklist for patients undergoing autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation,providing a basis for postoperative follow-up care.Methods Using evidence-based methods,the literature from major guide websites and databases using Chinese and English search terms was retrieved,and their quality was evaluated.The relevant items were extracted,and a first draft was formed.15 experts were selected in relevant fields from 14 tertiary hospitals in 13 provinces,cities,and autonomous regions across the country for Delphi inquiry.The nursing follow-up checklist was revised again based on expert opinions and clinical practice.The nursing follow-up checklist was initially applied and then revised again to form the final draft.Results 15 experts include 12 undergraduate and 3 master's degree holders.The positivity coefficients of the 2 rounds of inquiry were 100%;the authority coefficients of the experts were 0.815;the Kendall coefficients were 0.119 and 0.144,respectively;the differences were statistically significant(P<0.001).The final nursing follow-up checklist was formed,which includes 6 primary indicators,including physiological status,psychological status,social and family support,living conditions,disease knowledge,and laboratory tests.19 patients(95%)found the follow-up content to be comprehensive.The follow-up nurses's satisfaction rate exceeded 85%.There were 27 secondary indicators and 61 tertiary indicators,with coefficients of variation of all indicators less than 0.25.Conclusion The nursing follow-up checklist is scientific,reliable,and practical,which can provide a basis for clinical nursing staff to follow up and comprehensively manage patients after autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation.
10.Risk factors for future exacerbations in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients with no history of exacerbation in the past year
Dingding DENG ; Aiyun JIANG ; Shao WANG ; Xiaotao ZHANG ; Fangfang DAI ; Jun ZHU ; Ping CHEN ; Qing SONG ; Rui ZHAO
Journal of Chinese Physician 2025;27(6):821-825
Objective:To analyze the risk factors associated with future exacerbations in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) who have no history of exacerbation in the past year.Methods:COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year, registered in the RealDTC study from January 2018 to December 2023, were enrolled. Demographic data, COPD Assessment Test (CAT) scores, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea questionnaire scores, forced expiratory volume in the first second predicted of percentage (FEV 1%pred), forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV 1) to forced vital capacity (FVC), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) classification, GOLD groups, and inhaled medication regimens were collected. All patients were followed up for one year, and the number of exacerbations was recorded. Patients were divided into an exacerbation group and a non-exacerbation group based on the occurrence of exacerbations during the follow-up period. Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the influencing factors for exacerbations in COPD patients. Results:A total of 2 901 COPD patients were included, among which 633 patients (21.8%) experienced exacerbations during the follow-up period. Compared with the non-exacerbation group, patients in the exacerbation group were older, with higher CAT and mMRC scores, lower body mass index (BMI), FEV 1%pred, and FEV 1/FVC. The proportions of patients with high school education or above and those using long-acting β 2-agonist (LABA) + long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA) medications were also lower (all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR=1.010, 95% CI: 1.000-1.021), CAT score ≥20 ( OR=1.415, 95% CI: 1.074-1.865), education level of junior high school or below ( OR=1.243, 95% CI: 1.003-1.540), LABA + LAMA inhalation ( OR=0.605, 95% CI: 0.432-0.848), and BMI ( OR=0.969, 95% CI: 0.943-0.995) were independent risk factors for future exacerbations in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The risk of future exacerbations remains high in COPD patients with no exacerbation history in the past year. High CAT scores, low education levels, and low BMI are associated with future exacerbations. Clinicians should pay close attention to the management of such patients and implement appropriate interventions.

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