Analysis of risk factors for retinal detachment in myopic patients and construction of Nomogram prediction model
10.3760/cma.j.cn511434-20221117-00616
- VernacularTitle:近视患者出现视网膜脱离的危险因素分析及列线图模型构建
- Author:
Chanjuan WANG
1
;
Xiaolu LI
;
Tao MU
;
Shaochi ZHANG
;
Hui WANG
;
Xiaojun BI
Author Information
1. 宁夏回族自治区人民医院（宁夏眼科医院) 西北民族大学第一附属医院 宁夏致盲性眼病临床医学研究中心, 银川 750000
- Keywords:
Myopia;
Retinal detachment;
Risk factors;
Nomogram model
- From:
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases
2023;39(8):669-674
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To analyze the risk factors associated with retinal detachment in patients with myopia, and to establish and validate the predictive column-line diagram model.Methods:A cross-sectional clinical study. From January 2020 to November 2021, 90 patients with myopia combined with retinal detachment who were diagnosed by ophthalmologic examination in the People's Hospital of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region were included in the study (observation group). Ninety myopic patients with age- and gender-matched myopia who underwent ophthalmologic examination for myopia during the same period were selected as the control group. The clinical data of the two groups were analyzed, and the indicators with differences were subjected to univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. The results of the regression analyses were visualized by using R software to obtain the column charts, and the accuracy of the column charts was verified by the ROC curves of the subjects' work characteristics; the clinical efficacy of the column chart model was verified by the internal data.Results:Compared with the control group, patients in the observation group were older, had higher myopic refraction, had more visual fatigue, ocular trauma, and cataracts, had lower choroidal and retinal thickness, and had more history of ophthalmic surgery, and the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for age, myopic refraction, retinal thickness, and choroidal thickness were 0.612, 0.613, 0.720, and 0.704, respectively; the optimal cutoff values were 43 years old, -3.5 D, 225 μm, and 144 μm. the ROC values were 0.612, 0.613, 0.720, and 0.704 for age (>43 years old), myopic refraction (>-3.5 D), visual fatigue (yes), ocular trauma (yes), cataracts (yes), retinal thickness (≤225 μm), and choroidal thickness (≤144 μm) were the risk factors affecting the development of retinal detachment in myopic patients ( P<0.05). The consistency index of the column chart model for predicting the risk of retinal detachment in patients with myopia was 0.731 (95% confidence interval 0.665-0.824); the risk threshold for predicting the development of retinal detachment in patients was >0.07. Conclusions:Age >43 years, myopic refraction >-3.5 D, presence of visual fatigue, ocular trauma, cataract, retinal thickness ≤225 μm, choroidal thickness ≤144 μm are the risk factors affecting the development of retinal detachment in myopic patients. The column-line diagram model constructed on the basis of the risk factors has good accuracy.
