A nonlinear relationship between the hemoglobin level and prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis: an analysis based on MIMIC-IV.
10.3760/cma.j.cn121430-20221009-00900
- Author:
Penglei YANG
1
;
Jun YUAN
1
;
Qihong CHEN
1
;
Jiangquan YU
2
;
Ruiqiang ZHENG
2
;
Lina YU
1
;
Zhou YUAN
1
;
Ying ZHANG
1
;
Wenxuan ZHONG
1
;
Tingting MA
1
;
Xizhen DING
1
Author Information
1. Department of Critical Care Medicine, Yangzhou University Affiliated Jiangdu People's Hospital, Yangzhou 225200, Jiangsu, China.
2. Department of Critical Care Medicine, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Yangzhou 225001, Jiangsu, China. Corresponding author: Chen Qihong, Email: chenqihong00@163.com.
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- MeSH:
Humans;
Male;
Female;
Aged;
Retrospective Studies;
Sepsis/diagnosis*;
Critical Care;
Intensive Care Units;
Prognosis;
Hemoglobins;
ROC Curve
- From:
Chinese Critical Care Medicine
2023;35(6):573-577
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
OBJECTIVE:To investigate the correlation of hemoglobin (Hb) level with prognosis of elderly patients diagnosed as sepsis.
METHODS:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Information on the cases of elderly patients with sepsis in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV), including basic information, blood pressure, routine blood test results [the Hb level of a patient was defined as his/her maximum Hb level from 6 hours before admission to intensive care unit (ICU) and 24 hours after admission to ICU], blood biochemical indexes, coagulation function, vital signs, severity score and outcome indicators were extracted. The curves of Hb level vs. 28-day mortality risk were developed by using the restricted cubic spline model based on the Cox regression analysis. The patients were divided into four groups (Hb < 100 g/L, 100 g/L ≤ Hb < 130 g/L, 130 g/L ≤ Hb < 150 g/L, Hb ≥ 150 g/L groups) based on these curves. The outcome indicators of patients in each group were analyzed, and the 28-day Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn. Logistic regression model and Cox regression model were used to analyze the relationship between Hb level and 28-day mortality risk in different groups.
RESULTS:A total of 7 473 elderly patients with sepsis were included. There was a "U" curve relationship between Hb levels within 24 hours after ICU admission and the risk of 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The patients with 100 g/L ≤ Hb < 130 g/L had a lower risk of 28-day mortality. When Hb level was less than 100 g/L, the risk of death decreased gradually with the increase of Hb level. When Hb level was ≥ 130 g/L, the risk of death gradually increased with the increase of Hb level. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis revealed that the mortality risks of patients with Hb < 100 g/L [odds ratio (OR) = 1.44, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.23-1.70, P < 0.001] and Hb ≥ 150 g/L (OR = 1.77, 95%CI was 1.26-2.49, P = 0.001) increased significantly in the model involving all confounding factors; the mortality risks of patients with 130 g/L ≤ Hb < 150 g/L increased, while the difference was not statistically significant (OR = 1.21, 95%CI was 0.99-1.48, P = 0.057). The multivariate Cox regression analysis suggested that the mortality risks of patients with Hb < 100 g/L [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.27, 95%CI was 1.12-1.44, P < 0.001] and Hb ≥ 150 g/L (HR = 1.49, 95%CI was 1.16-1.93, P = 0.002) increased significantly in the model involving all confounding factors; the mortality risks of patients with 130 g/L ≤ Hb < 150 g/L increased, while the difference was not statistically significant (HR = 1.17, 95%CI was 0.99-1.37, P = 0.053). Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day survival rate of elderly septic patients in 100 g/L ≤ Hb < 130 g/L group was significantly higher than that in Hb < 100 g/L, 130 g/L ≤ Hb < 150 g/L and Hb ≥ 150 g/L groups (85.26% vs. 77.33%, 79.81%, 74.33%; Log-Rank test: χ2 = 71.850, P < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS:Elderly patients with sepsis exhibited low mortality risk if their 100 g/L ≤ Hb < 130 g/L within 24 hours after admission to ICU, and both higher and lower Hb levels led to increased mortality risks.
