The Added Prognostic Value of Intracranial Artery Morphology to Predict Non-Cardioembolic Ischemic Stroke
10.3348/jksr.2018.78.4.249
- Author:
Na Hye HAN
1
;
Jinhee JANG
;
Hokyun BYUN
;
Kijeong LEE
;
Jaseong KOO
;
Hyun Seok CHOI
;
So Lyung JUNG
;
Kook Jin AHN
;
Bum Soo KIM
Author Information
1. Department of Radiology, Seoul St. Mary's Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea. znee@catholic.ac.kr
- Publication Type:Original Article
- From:Journal of the Korean Radiological Society
2018;78(4):249-258
- CountryRepublic of Korea
- Language:English
-
Abstract:
PURPOSE:To assess the added prognostic value of the morphologic characteristics of intracranial arteries in the risk modeling of a future non-cardioembolic stroke.
MATERIALS AND METHODS:This retrospective study included 86 patients without acute ischemic stroke who first underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) including the time-of-flight magnetic resonance angiography (TOF-MRA) at 3T. Diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) was performed for the follow-up imaging of these patients > 120 days after the initial MRI. The TOF-MRA result was used to analyze three morphological characteristics: dilatation, stenosis, and tortuosity. The presence of acute ischemic stroke was assessed using the follow-up DWI data. We built two prognostic models: model 1 includes the conventional stroke-risk factors, while model 2 includes the conventional risk factors and the morphologic characteristics of the intracranial arteries. We used the likelihood-ratio test to compare these two models. The models' performances were evaluated using Harrell's concordance index.
RESULTS:Fourteen patients suffered non-cardioembolic strokes. The performances of the two models differed significantly regarding the future-risk modeling of the non-cardioembolic stroke (p = 0.031). The Harrell's concordance index of model 2 (0.78 ± 0.05) exceeded that of model 1 (0.72 ± 0.07).
CONCLUSION:In addition to the conventional stroke-risk factors, the morphologic characteristics of the intracranial arteries were useful in the modeling of the future risk of the non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke.