Predictive value of soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor combined with alpha-fetoprotein and model for end-stage liver disease score in short-term prognosis assessment of patients with chronic hepatitis B related acute-on-chronic liver failure
10.3760/cma.j.cn311365-20200624-00677
- VernacularTitle:可溶性尿激酶型纤溶酶原激活物受体联合甲胎蛋白及终末期肝病模型评分对慢性乙型肝炎相关慢加急性肝衰竭患者近期预后的评估价值
- Author:
Hongmei YANG
;
Yu LI
;
Jing AI
;
Wenfeng SUN
;
Cheng QIU
;
Lunli ZHANG
- From:
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases
2021;39(5):271-275
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of serum soluble urokinase-type plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) combined with alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score in short-term prognosis assessment of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF).Methods:From January 2018 to May 2020, 66 patients with CHB related ACLF from Fuzhou First People′s Hospital were enrolled. After 90 days of follow-up, the patients with CHB related ACLF were divided into death group and survival group according to the outcome. Meanwhile, 30 patients with CHB were enrolled by simple random sampling method. The differences of serum suPAR in patients with CHB related ACLF and patients with CHB were analyzed. The values of suPAR, AFP and MELD score were compared between death group and survival group in patients with CHB related ACLF. The predictive value of suPAR, AFP, MELD score, Child-Turcotte Pugh score (CTP score) and suPAR combined with AFP and MELD score in the short-term prognosis of patients with CHB related ACLF were analyzed by area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC). Data were analyzed by two independent sample t test or non-parametric test. Results:The serum suPAR level of patients with CHB related ACLF was (9.6±0.8) ln ng/L, which was higher than that of patients with CHB ((8.0±0.3) ln ng/L). The difference was statistically significant ( t=14.533, P<0.01). The suPAR and MELD score of patients with CHB related ACLF in the death group were (9.9±0.7) ln ng/L and 29.6 (7.1) points, respectively, which were higher than those in the survival group ((9.4±0.7) ln ng/L and 21.0 (5.0) points, respectively). The AFP level in the death group was 45.9 (108.1) μg/L, which was lower than that in the survival group (209.3 (187.1) μg/L). There were significant differences in suPAR ( t=2.895, P=0.005), MELD score ( Z=4.708, P<0.01) and AFP ( Z=3.051, P<0.01) between the death group and the survival group. AUROC of suPAR (0.741, P=0.001), AFP (0.724, P=0.002) and MELD score (0.885, P<0.01) had predictive value for death in patients with CHB related ACLF. The sensitivities of suPAR, AFP, MELD score, CTP score and suPAR combined with AFP and MELD score were 84.6%, 73.1%, 88.5%, 96.2% and 84.6%, respectively, and the specificities were 75.0%, 72.5%, 70.0%, 52.5% and 92.5%, respectively. The AUROC of suPAR combined with AFP and MELD score was 0.871 ( P<0.01), which was higher than that of CTP score (0.793, P<0.01). Conclusions:Serum suPAR is increased in patients with CHB related ACLF. SuPAR combined with AFP and MELD score could apply in the prognostic value for patients with CHB related ACLF.
