Propensity score matching analysis of pancreaticoduodenectomy and total pancreatectomy for the prognosis of patients with pancreatic head cancer
10.3760/cma.j.cn115667-20200516-00075
- VernacularTitle:胰十二指肠切除术和全胰腺切除术对胰头癌患者预后的倾向性评分匹配分析
- Author:
Jiawei GAO
1
;
Fei ZHANG
;
Jiaming XIE
;
Zhaobi ZHU
;
Xiangrong XU
;
Wei CHEN
Author Information
1. 苏州大学附属第二医院普外科，苏州 215300
- From:
Chinese Journal of Pancreatology
2020;20(5):362-367
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:After the propensity score matching method was used to balance the covariates between groups, the effects of pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and total pancreatectomy (TP) on the survival of patients with pancreatic head cancer and related prognostic factors were compared.Methods:The National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology and Results (SEER) database were searched and 3 676 patients with pancreatic head cancer from 2010 to 2016 were selected, of whom 3 559 patients underwent PD (PD group) and 117 patients underwent TP (TP group) . Using propensity score matching to balance confounding factors, 117 pairs of cases from PD group and TP group were matched successfully. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to observe the overall survival rate and cancer-specific survival rate of patients before and after matching. Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model were used to analyze and evaluate the impact of different clinicopathological characteristics on the prognosis of patients with pancreatic head cancer.Results:Before matching, the 1, 3, and 5-year cancer-specific survival rates of 3 559 patients in the PD group were 72.8%, 35.1% and 24.9%, and the median survival time was 23.89 months; the 1, 3, and 5-year cancer-specific survival rates of 117 patients in the TP group were 67.9%, 29.4% and 26.1%, and the median survival time was 21.51 months, and all the differences were not statistically significant (all P>0.05). After matching, the 1, 3, and 5-year cancer-specific survival rates of 117 patients in the PD group were 77.8%, 44.5% and 31.8%, and the median survival time was 31.50 months, which was significantly better than that of the TP group, and the differences were statistically significant (all P values <0.05). Cox regression analysis showed that surgical methods, tumor differentiation degree, N staging and pathological types were independent risk factors for overall survival and cancer-specific survival. Conclusions:Surgical methods, tumor differentiation degree, N stage and pathological type were independent risk factors affecting the overall survival rate and cancer-related survival rate. The survival benefit of PD was significantly better than that of TP, and the clinical choice of TP treatment for patients with pancreatic head cancer should be cautious.
