Correlation analysis on meteorological factors regarding the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, 2011-2018
10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2019.12.011
- VernacularTitle: 新疆维吾尔自治区2011-2018年手足口病发病与气象因素的相关性分析
- Author:
Ruifang HUANG
1
;
Ling XIE
2
,
3
;
Suhong LIU
2
,
4
;
Kuke DING
1
;
Zhenguo GAO
1
;
Jun ZHAO
1
;
Xuan ZHANG
1
;
Yan CUI
1
Author Information
1. Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Urumqi, 830001, China
2. College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China
3. School of Environment and Resources, Guangxi Normal University, Guilin 541004, China
4. Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Hand, foot and mouth disease;
Epidemiological characteristic;
Meteorological factors;
Correlation analysis
- From:Chinese Journal of Epidemiology
2019;40(12):1563-1568
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To study the correlation between meteorological factors and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) in Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region (Xinjiang) so as to provide scientific evidence for the early warning, prediction, prevention and control of HFMD.
Methods:Data on HFMD surveillance and related population was collected from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention from 2011 to 2018. Meteorological data was obtained from http://www.tianqihoubao.com. Correlation analysis on meteorological factors and the incidence of HFMD in Xinjiang was conducted, using the Excel 2007, SPSS 17.0, and Spatial Distribution Map by ArcGIS 10.2 software.
Results:HFMD usually occurred between April and July. Numbers of patients reached the top in May and June. Temperature was positively correlated with the incidence of HFMD (r=0.370, P<0.01) while precipitation was positively correlated with the incidence of HFMD (r=0.747, P<0.01). The temperature threshold appeared as 5 ℃-35 ℃ for the incidence of HFMD. Interval period was one month between the peak of both the incidence of HFMD and the precipitation. A power function relationship (y=0.009 4x2.332 9, R2=0.898 9) was noticed between the precipitation and the incidence of HFMD.
Conclusions:The incidence of HFMD was closely related to the meteorological factors including temperature and precipitation in Xinjiang during 2011-2018. Our findings have provided evidence for the development of early warning system on HFMD in Xinjiang.
