Study on influence of floods on bacillary dysentery incidence in Liaoning province, 2004-2010

VernacularTitle:辽宁省2004-2010年洪涝灾害对细菌性痢疾发病影响的分析
Author: Xin XU ¹ ; Zhidong LIU ; Debiao HAN ; Yiqing XU ; Baofa JIANG
Author Information

1. 山东大学公共卫生学院流行病学系
Keywords: Bacillary dysentery; Floods; Panel data
From: Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2016;37(5):686-688
CountryChina
Language:Chinese
Abstract: Objective To understand the influence of floods on bacillary dysentery in Liaoning province.Methods The monthly surveillance data of bacillary dysentery,floods,meteorological and demographic data in Liaoning from 2004 to 2010 were collected.Panel Poisson regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the influence of floods on the incidence of bacillary dysentery in Liaoning.Results The mean monthly morbidity of bacillary dysentery was 2.17 per 100 000 during the study period,the bacillary dysentery cases mainly occurred in during July-September.Spearman correlation analysis showed that no lagged effect was detected in the influence of floods on the incidence of bacillary dysentery.After adjusting the influence of meteorological factors,panel data analysis showed that the influence of floods on the incidence of bacillary dysentery existed and the incidence rate ratio was 1.439 4 (95％CI:1.408 1-1.471 4).Conclusion Floods could significantly increase the risk of bacillary dysentery for population in Liaoning.