A Study of Prediction as to Scale and Levels of Paramedical and Pharmacy Higher Education
- VernacularTitle:相关医学和药学类高等教育规模和层次预测研究
- Author:
Liyang WEN
;
Yan LI
;
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Higher medical education;
Paramedical and pharmacy higher education;
Development scale;
Level structure;
Study of prediction
- From:
Chinese Journal of Medical Education Research
2003;0(03):-
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
The present study predicts the development of health manpower and level structure of paramedical and pharmacy higher education by methods of dynamic series, tendency extrapolation, grey forecasting and special istic prediction. The results show that in the future 5-10 years, it is suitable for the paramedical and pharmacy higher education lo enroll 50 000-70 000 new students every year, which will account for 35 percent of total medical students of higher medical education. In their level structure undergraduates will gradually reach 30 percent and students receiving 3-year special-i/ed training 70 percent. Some policy suggestions are put forward on the basis of prediction.
