Dynamic models of human plague in China and America between 1950 and 1998
- VernacularTitle:1950-1998年中国和美国人间鼠疫动态模型
- Author:
Zhong-lai, LI
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- From:Chinese Journal of Endemiology
2001;20(3):190-191
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
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Abstract:
Objective To study on dynamic laws of the human plague in China and America.Methods The autoregressive models of human plague dynamics were set up.Results Human plague were 7 923 and 398 cases in China and America between 1950 and 1998,respectively.The dynamic models ARIMA(1,2,0) of human plague in China and AR(1) in America between 1950 and 1998 were obtained,resectively.Conclusions These general trends on the cases of human plague occurred have increased in China and relative stabilized in America between 1999 and 2001.
