Prognostic factors of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
10.3760/cma.j.issn.1008-1372.2011.12.008
- VernacularTitle:慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重患者的预后影响因素
- Author:
Zhiqiang LV
;
Yun CHEN
;
Wei ZHANG
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Pulmonary disease,chronic obstructive;
Prognosis
- From:
Journal of Chinese Physician
2011;13(12):1611-1614,1620
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
ObjectiveTo investigate prognostic factors in acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD).Methods352 AECOPD patients were investigated.26 possible variables were analyzed.Multivariate Logistic and Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis were used.ResultsAccording to multivariate Logistic regression,it showed seven factors were statistically significant for short term prognosis ( P ＜0.05 ),including PaO2 ( OR =0.082),CKMB ( OR =4.967 ),mechanical ventilation ( OR =6.903 ),albumin ( OR =0.221 ),FEV1％ ( OR =0.255 ),charlson index ( OR =8.406 ) and hospital day ( OR =0.075).According to multivariate Cox regression,it showed seven factors were statistically significant for long term survival ( P ＜ 0.05 ) including acute exacerbation frequency( HR =1.611 ),charlson index( HR =4.319),SaO2 ( HR =0.224 ),troponin Ⅰ ( HR =3.824 ),albumin ( HR =0.569 ),hospital day ( HR =0.456) and FEV1％ (HR =0.494).Acute exacerbation frequency was correlated with dyspnea scale( rs =0.508,P ＜ 0.01 ).ConclusionsPaO2,albumin,FEV1％,CKMB and charlson index were related with short term prognosis.SaO2,albumin,FEV1 ％,troponin Ⅰ,charlson index and acute exacerbation frequency were related with long term survival.Higher acute exacerbation frequency contributed to more severe breathing difficulties and worse quality of life.
