Application of capture-recapture method in estimating the epidemic actuality of malaria in Sihong County
- VernacularTitle:用捕获-再捕获法对泗洪县疟疾流行现状评估
- Author:
Weiming WANG
;
Xiaolin JIN
;
Julin LI
;
Jun CAO
;
Guoding ZHU
;
Qi GAO
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Capture-recapture method (CRM);
Malaria;
Evaluation
- From:
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control
1989;0(01):-
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To investigate the real incidence of malaria in Sihong County located in the north of Jiangsu Province and estimate the epidemic actuality in this area. Methods By using the capture-recapture method (CRM), the patients and incidence of malaria were estimated in Sihong. Results In 9 villages of 3 townships, 4896 residents among 1248 families were investigated and 56 cases of malaria found (65 cases reported before) in 2002.There were 121 cases calculated by using CRM and the theoretic cases were 1.86 times of those which had been reported. Conclusion The data of blood-examination collected from the county and towns are obviously different. It indicates that there are potential troubles in the routine blood examination to the fevered patients in this county. The incidence of a certain town is still above 0.2%. The epidemic actuality of malaria is still serious in this county.[
