Preliminary Study on Flare-Prediction in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus
- VernacularTitle:系统性红斑狼疮复发预测的初步研究
- Author:
Jie WU
;
Ming LI
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Lupus erythematosus, systemic;
Recurrence;
Prediction
- From:
Chinese Journal of Dermatology
1995;0(01):-
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To study the value of routine laboratory examinations, symptoms and soluble IL-2 receptor (sIL-2R) in the flare-prediction on systemic lupus erythematosus(SLE). Methods A prospective study was performed in 106 outpatients with SLE and the patients′ conditions were assessed according to Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index(SLEDAI). Patients were asked to visit at no longer than 3-month interval. All patients were followed-up for 6 to 18 months. At each visit, laboratory examinations, symptoms, disease activity, as well as the changes in the treatment were recorded according to the protocol. The values of these parameters in flare-prediction were comprehensively assessed based on their frequency and time respectively when they became abnormal before the disease flare. Results Among the 106 patients, the disease activity of 67 cases were in remission and satisfied the prospective study criteria of the SLE flare. Thirty-one flares in 29 patients were observed. The frequency of flare was 0.44/patient/year. Comprehensively the most valuable predictor of those parameters was anti-dsDNA antibody, followed by complement components, sIL-2R, erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR), complete blood count, urine analysis, fatigue, mucous membrane ulceration, new rashes and alopecia. C3 was a better predictor for SLE flares than that of C4 and CH50. Conclusions The flares of SLE could be predicted. Early intervention will help to prevent patients from flare.
