Serum Biochemical Markers for Early Prediction of Severity of Acute Pancreatitis
10.3969/j.issn.1008-7125.2015.08.007
- VernacularTitle:血生化指标对急性胰腺炎严重程度早期预测价值的研究
- Author:
Mengjuan LIN
;
Zhenpeng HUANG
;
Baoping YU
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Pancreatitis;
Severity;
Biological Markers;
Calcium;
D-Dimer;
Procalcitonin
- From:
Chinese Journal of Gastroenterology
2015;(8):481-485
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Background:As the incidence of acute pancreatitis( AP)is increasing and the mortality remains high,early identification and early intervention of patients at risk of severe acute pancreatitis(SAP)is of great clinical significance. Aims:To investigate the value of commonly used AP-related serum biochemical markers for early prediction of severity of AP. Methods:Retrospective analysis was performed in 205 AP patients in Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University from Jan. 2014 to Dec. 2014,and 92 healthy subjects were served as controls. Patients with AP were divided into mild(n = 92), moderately severe(n = 72)and severe AP(n = 41)groups. The demographic characteristics,history of chronic diseases, serum biochemical markers within 48 hours after admission,Ranson score,BISAP score and other related clinical data were collected and compared between the four groups. The diagnostic performance of these indices in predicting SAP was evaluated by ROC curve,and the correlation of these indices with SAP was assessed by Logistic regression analysis. Results:There were significant differences in Ranson score,BISAP score,D-dimer,blood calcium,procalcitonin(PCT), CRP,hypersensitive CRP(HS-CRP),triacylglycerol and blood glucose between the four groups(P < 0. 05). The area under curve(AUC)of blood calcium was 0. 838 for early prediction of SAP,which was second to that of Ranson score and BISAP score. The accuracies of PCT and D-dimer were acceptable but inferior to blood calcium,while the accuracies of other indices were considerably low. Logistic regression analysis revealed that the odds ratio of risk for SAP of Ranson score,PCT and HS-CRP were all greater than 1 000,while that of blood calcium and D-dimer were 0. 013 and 19. 479, respectively. Conclusions:Of the AP-related serum biochemical markers,blood calcium,D-dimer and PCT are the preferred early predictors for severity of AP.
