The study of prospective space-time scan analysis for disease early warning in health emergency command and decision-making syste

VernacularTitle:前瞻性时空扫描分析在卫生应急指挥决策系统疾病预警模式中的应用研究
Author: Xianke WANG ; Ronggang YANG
Publication Type:Journal Article
Keywords: health emergency; command and decision system; early warning
From: Chongqing Medicine 2013;(31):3795-3797
CountryChina
Language:Chinese
Abstract: Objective To explore the feasibility of using the prospective space-time analysis and early warning in health emer-gency command system in Chongqing .Methods Prospective space-time scan analysis method was used for the early detection of disease outbreaks in mumps patients from 5 districts(Jiangbei ,Shapingba ,Dadukou ,Jiulongpo ,Nan′an ,) in Chongqing in 2006 ,then verified the aggregation using the actual reported mumps outbreaks .Results The results showed that 3 early warning signals at October 9th ,November 13th ,December 4th ,involving a total of 5 locations(streets/towns) .The strongest warning happened on Oc-tober 9th in Zengjia town of Shapingba district ,and Jingfeng town of Jiulongpo district ,the recurrence interval was 1 916 495 550 992 471 years .There were 2 mumps outbreaks have been reported in the surveyed areas .Both the the 2 outbreaks were detected by the prospective space-time scan statistic 5-6 days early than the actually occurred time .Conclusion The prospective space-time scan analysis method could be applied to the disease monitoring and early warning in health emergency command decision-making system in Chongqing .