The application of weighted combination forecasting model for health resource allocation
10.3760/cma.j.issn.1006-1924.2013.03.008
- VernacularTitle:加权组合预测模型在卫生资源配置中的应用
- Author:
Qisheng GAO
;
Dingwan CHEN
;
Panpan LIU
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Weighted;
Combination forecasting model;
Health resources
- From:
Chinese Journal of Medical Science Research Management
2013;(3):166-169
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Scientificly forecasting the health resources is the premise and foundation for making health resource planning.This paper summarized the application scope and characteristics of commonly used statistical models for health resources forecasting,introduced many S type curve prediction models commonly used in natural and social economic fields,hackled and concluded the weight calculation methods of combination forecasting models,and on this basis put forward that multivariable time series model or combination forecasting model based on single time series model and multi-linear regression equation of the predictive value should be set up for forecasting health resources,so as to provide methodological references for related forecasting research.
