Estimation and projection of lung cancer incidence and mortality in China.
- Author:
Wanqing CHEN
1
;
Siwei ZHANG
;
Xiaonong ZOU
Author Information
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- MeSH: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Child; Child, Preschool; China; epidemiology; Female; Humans; Incidence; Infant; Infant, Newborn; Lung Neoplasms; epidemiology; mortality; Male; Middle Aged
- From: Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2010;13(5):488-493
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVEThe aim of this study is to analyze lung cancer epidemiological trend and estimate lung cancer burden in China.
METHODSLung cancer age specific mortality and incidence rate ratios in different areas and sexes were obtained from national cancer registration database in 2004 and 2005. Cancer crude mortalities were retrieved from the database of the third national death survey, 2004-2005. Age specific incidence rates of lung cancer were calculated using mortality and M/I ratios. Annual percent change (APC) was estimated by log regression model using Joint Point software by analyzing pooled lung cancer incidence data from 10 cancer registries from 1988 to 2005.
RESULTSThe total estimated new cases and deaths of lung cancer in 2005 were 536 407 and 475 768 which were higher in male than in female. There was 1.63% increase of lung cancer incidence per year from 1988 to 2005, however, the trend showed a slowdown by 0.55% annually after adjusted by age.
CONCLUSIONLung cancer is one of major health issues in China and the burden is getting serious. Ageing population is main cause for increasing incidence and mortality of lung cancer. Effective cancer prevention and control is imperative. Especially, tobacco control should be carried out in statewide.
