Impact of temperature on mortality in three major Chinese cities.

Jing Zhang; Tian Tian LI; Jian Guo Tan; Cun Rui Huang; Hai Dong Kan

Return

Impact of temperature on mortality in three major Chinese cities.

Author: Jing ZHANG ¹ ; Tian Tian LI ² ; Jian Guo TAN ³ ; Cun Rui HUANG ⁴ ; Hai Dong KAN ⁵ ;
Author Information

1. School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
2. Institute of Environmental Health and Related Product Safety, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
3. Shanghai Key Laboratory of Meteorology and Health, Shanghai Meteorological Institute, SMB, Shanghai 200030, China.
4. School of Public Health and Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Queensland 4059, Australia.
5. School of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety of Ministry of Education, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China
Publication Type:Journal Article
Keywords: Climate change; Mortality; Temperature; Time-series
MeSH: China; Cities; Climate Change; Environmental Monitoring; statistics & numerical data; Humans; Mortality; Temperature; Urban Population; statistics & numerical data
From: Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2014;27(7):485-494
CountryChina
Language:English
Abstract:
OBJECTIVETo study the relation between temperature and mortality by estimating the temperature-related mortality in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou.
METHODSData of daily mortality, weather and air pollution in the three cities were collected. A distributed lag nonlinear model was established and used in analyzing the effects of temperature on mortality. Current and future net temperature-related mortality was estimated.
RESULTSThe association between temperature and mortality was J-shaped, with an increased death risk of both hot and cold temperature in these cities. The effects of cold temperature on health lasted longer than those of hot temperature. The projected temperature-related mortality increased with the decreased cold-related mortality. The mortality was higher in Guangzhou than in Beijing and Shanghai.
CONCLUSIONThe impact of temperature on health varies in the 3 cities of China, which may have implications for climate policy making in China.