Estimation and prediction on cancer related incidence and mortality in China, 2008
10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2012.01.013
- VernacularTitle:中国2008年肿瘤发病和死亡情况估计及预测
- Author:
Min DAI
1
;
Jian-Song REN
;
Ni LI
;
Qian LI
;
Lin YANG
;
Yu-Heng CHEN
Author Information
1. 中国医学科学院肿瘤医院
- Keywords:
Cancer;
Incidence;
Mortality
- From:
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology
2012;33(1):57-61
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To estimate the incidence and mortality rates of cancers in China in 2008.Methods Data from 36 cancer registry sites in China and from the Third National Death Survey in China (2004-2005) were used to estimate the incidence and mortality of cancer in China in 2008 by using mathematical models.Prediction on cancer incidence and mortality in the next 20 years was carried out.Results According to the age-standardized incidence rates,the top cancer sites were lung,stomach,liver,breast,oesophageal,colorectal,corpus uterine,cervical,leukemia and brain tumor.According to the age-standardized mortality rates,the top cancers in China were lung cancer,liver cancer,stomach cancer,oesophageal cancer,colorectal cancer,breast cancer,cervical cancer,leukemia,brain tumor and corpus uterine cancer.Cancer happened more frequently among people older than 40 years,particularly among males.Data related to prediction showed that the incidence and mortality of cancer in China would gradually increase in the next 20 years.Conclusion Both incidence and mortality of cancers in China had been increasing,with the most common cancers appeared to be lung,breast and digestive tract cancers,in China.People older than 40 years should be under specific care to receive prevention and care on cancer,with males in particular.
