Framingham risk score inadequately predicts cardiac risk in young patients presenting with a first myocardial infarction.
- Author:
Glenn K M LEE
1
;
Li-Ching LEE
;
Christopher W Y LIU
;
Shir Lynn LIM
;
Lu-Ming SHI
;
Hean-Yee ONG
;
Yean-Teng LIM
;
Tiong-Cheng YEO
Author Information
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- MeSH: Adult; Age Factors; Aged; Algorithms; Diabetes Complications; Female; Humans; Male; Middle Aged; Myocardial Infarction; complications; diagnosis; Retrospective Studies; Risk Assessment; Risk Factors; Sex Factors
- From:Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2010;39(3):163-167
- CountrySingapore
- Language:English
-
Abstract:
INTRODUCTIONThe Framingham Risk Score (FRS) is a well-validated epidemiologic tool used to assess the risk for a fi rst cardiac event. Because young patients presenting with a fi rst myocardial infarction (MI) tend to have less significant risk profiles compared with older patients, we hypothesized that FRS may underestimate cardiac risk in these patients.
MATERIALS AND METHODSWe studied 1267 patients between January 2002 and November 2007 presenting with a fi rst MI. Patients with pre-existing diabetes mellitus and vascular disease were excluded. FRS was calculated for each patient. Patients were divided based on their age: group A (<40 years), group B (40 to 64 years) and group C (> or =65 years).
RESULTSThe mean age was 54.7 +/- 11 years, 88.4% of the patients were males. Younger patients were more likely to be assigned with lower scores. Based on FRS, 63.0%, 29.3% and 14.2% of group A, B and C patients were classified as low risk (10-year risk for cardiac events<10%) respectively, P <0.001. The sensitivity of FRS in identifying at least intermediate risk subjects (10-year risk for cardiac events >10%) was 37.0% in group A vs 85.8% in group C (P <0.001). The incidence of newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus was higher in younger patients (12.0% vs 13.2% vs 7.1 % in groups A, B and C respectively, P = 0.027).
CONCLUSIONSFRS inadequately predicts cardiac risk in young patients presenting with a fi rst MI. This could be because a significant proportion of these young patients have undiagnosed diabetes mellitus, a coronary artery disease risk equivalent.