Risk factors for recurrence in stage I colorectal cancer after curative resection: a systematic review and meta-analysis
10.4174/astr.2025.108.1.39
- Author:
Sung Hwan HWANG
1
;
Seon-Hi SHIN
;
Yun Jin KIM
;
Jun Ho LEE
Author Information
1. Department of Surgery, Hanyang University Guri Hospital, Guri, Korea
- Publication Type:ORIGINAL ARTICLE
- From:Annals of Surgical Treatment and Research
2025;108(1):39-48
- CountryRepublic of Korea
- Language:English
-
Abstract:
Purpose:Patients with stage I colorectal cancer (CRC) rarely experience recurrence after curative resection. Therefore, the risk factors for stage I CRC recurrence are yet to be established. We aimed to identify risk factors for stage I CRC recurrence.
Methods:MEDLINE, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched for articles published between 1990 and 2022. The pooled proportions and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated. Fixed- or random-effect models were considered based on heterogeneity, using Cochran’s Q-statistic and the I2 -test.
Results:Nine studies involving 19,440 patients were included. Nine analyzed risk factors were identified. T2 stage (pooled HR, 2.070; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.758–2.438; P < 0.001; I2 =0.0%), lymphovascular invasion (HR, 1.685; 95% CI, 1.420–1.999; P < 0.001; I2 = 0.0%), venous invasion (HR, 1.794; 95% CI, 1.515–2.125; P < 0.001; I2 = 0.0%), CEA level (HR, 1.472; 95% CI, 1.093–1.983; P = 0.011; I2 = 1.8%) and rectal cancer (HR, 2.981; 95% CI, 2.378–3.735; P < 0.001; I2 = 0.0%) were risk factors for the recurrence. However, the risk of recurrence in right-sided colon cancer was lower than in leftsided colon cancer. (HR, 0.712; 95% CI, 0.537–0.944; P = 0.018; I2 = 0.0%). No statistically significant differences were observed in the number of harvested lymph nodes, age, and sex.
Conclusion:T2 stage, lymphovascular invasion, venous invasion, CEA level, rectal cancer, and left-sided colon cancer were risk factors for recurrence in stage I CRC. Intensive monitoring and surveillance are warranted for patients with high-risk features of recurrence.
