The predictive value of systemic immune-inflammatory response index combined with tumor burden score in the prognosis of patients after radical resection for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma
10.3760/cma.j.cn311367-20230906-00071
- VernacularTitle:系统免疫炎症指数联合肿瘤负荷评分对肝内胆管癌根治性切除术后患者预后的预测价值
- Author:
Hao YUAN
1
;
Haofeng ZHANG
;
Qingshan LI
;
Guan HUANG
;
Zhenwei YANG
;
Pengyu CHEN
;
Zuochao QI
;
Chenxi XIE
;
Bo MENG
;
Haibo YU
Author Information
1. 郑州大学人民医院(河南省人民医院)肝胆胰腺外科，郑州 450003
- Keywords:
Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma;
Tumor burden score;
Systemic immune inflammation index;
Prognosis;
Nomogram;
Radical surgery
- From:
Chinese Journal of Digestion
2024;44(4):257-265
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To explore the prognostic value of systemic immune-inflammatory index(SII)combined with tumor burden score (TBS) (hereinafter referred to as STS) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after radical resection, and to construct a nomogram model.Methods:The clinical data (including the degree of tumor differentiation, vascular cancer thrombus, and lymph node metastasis, etc.) of 258 ICC patients who received radical resection at People′s Hospital of Zhengzhou University (170 cases, training set) and Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University (88 cases, validation set) from January 1, 2016 to January 31, 2020 were retrospectively analyzed and graded by SII, TBS and STS. Multivariate Cox regression analysis were used to identify independent factors affecting the prognosis of patients with ICC. Kaplan-Meier survival curve and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were drawn to evaluate the predictive efficiency of SII, TBS and STS in the overall survival of patients with ICC after radical resection. The nomogram prediction model was constructed and evaluate the performance of nomogram model using consistency index (C-index) and calibration curve.Results:Among 170 ICC patients in the training set, there were 106 cases of SII grade 1 and 64 cases of SII grade 2; 137 cases of TBS grade 1 and 33 cases of TBS grade 2; and 98 cases of STS grade 1, 47 cases of STS grade 2, and 25 cases of STS grade 3. Among 88 ICC patients in the validation set, there were 33 cases of SII grade 1 and 55 cases of SII grade 2; 66 cases of TBS grade 1 and 22 cases of TBS grade 2; and 30 case of STS grade 1, 39 cases of TBS grade 2, and 19 cases of TBS grade 3.The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor differentiation degree (highly differentiated vs. moderately differentiated HR=0.157, 95% confidence interval(95% CI) 0.045 to 0.546, highly differentiated vs. poorly differentiated HR=0.452, 95% CI 0.273 to 0.750), STS (grade 3 vs. grade 2 HR=1.966, 95% CI 1.148 to 3.469; grade 3 vs. grade 1 HR=1.405, 95% CI 0.890 to 2.216), vascular cancer thrombus ( HR=2.006, 95% CI 1.313 to 3.066), nerve invasion ( HR=1.865, 95% CI 1.221 to 2.850), and lymph node metastasis ( HR=1.802, 95% CI 1.121 to 2.896) were independent influencing factors of overall survival in ICC patients after radical resection (all P<0.05). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that SII, TBS, and STS were independent influencing factors of overall survival in ICC patients (all P<0.05). The results of ROC analysis showed that the areas under the curve of SII, TBS and STS in predicting overall survival of ICC patients after radical resection were 0.566 (95% CI 0.479 to 0.652), 0.585 (95% CI 0.499 to 0.672), and 0.657 (95% CI 0.522 to 0.692), respectively. Tumor differentiation, vascular tumor thrombus, nerve invassion, lymph node metastasis, and STS were included to constract the nomogram model. The C-indexes of the training set and validation set based on the nomogram model were 0.792 (95% CI 0.699 to 0.825) and 0.776 (95% CI 0.716 to 0.833), respectively. The calibration curves of the survival rate of the training set and the validation set were close to the reference lines, and the nomogram model had better predictive ability in both the training set and the validation set. Conclusions:Preoperative STS grading is an effective and practical predictor of overall survival in ICC patients after radical section. Compared with SII and TBS alone, it has better predictive value for the prognosis of patients with ICC.
