UNOS based study for long-term outcomes and risk factors of liver transplantation recipients receiving grafts from donor aged 80 years and over
10.3760/cma.j.cn421203-20240313-00054
- VernacularTitle:一项基于UNOS的超高龄供肝移植预后和危险因素分析的队列研究
- Author:
Libin DONG
1
;
Xiaobo WANG
;
Shuqi CAI
;
Kai WANG
;
Xiao XU
Author Information
1. 浙江大学医学院，杭州 310058
- Keywords:
Liver transplantation;
The oldest old;
Older donated liver;
Prognosis;
Risk factor
- From:
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation
2024;45(6):382-390
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the long-term prognosis of liver transplantation (LT) recipients who received grafts from donors aged ≥80 years and the associated risk factors.Methods:Clinical and follow-up data of LT recipients from January 2002 to June 2023 were retrospectively analyzed using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Donors were categorized into three groups : non-elderly donors (NED, age < 60 years), elderly donors (ED, age 60-79 years), and very elderly donors (VED, age ≥80 years). Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce baseline selection bias among the groups. Survival rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and differences among the groups were compared using the Log-Rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for overall survival (OS) in the VED group. Recipients were further subdivided into three age groups (<50 years, 50-69 years, and ≥70 years) to compare survival outcomes among NED, ED, and VED groups.Results:A total of 115, 089 LT recipients were included, comprising 95, 973 (83.4%) in the NED group, 18, 520 (16.1 %) in the ED group, and 596 (0.5 %) in the VED group. After 3∶3∶1 PSM, each group included 1, 623 recipients for NED and ED, and 541 for VED, with no significant differences in baseline data. The 10-year OS rates for NED, ED, and VED groups were 61.8%, 55.9%, and 47.8%, respectively, and the 10-year graft survival (GS) rates were 61.3 %, 53.8%, and 45.9 %, respectively, with all comparisons showing statistical significance ( P< 0.001). In recipients aged <70 years, the VED group had significantly lower OS and GS rates (49.0% and 47.1 %, respectively ) compared to the NED (63.7 % and 61.8%) and ED (57.7% and 55.2 %) groups ( P< 0.001 ). For recipients aged ≥70 years, there were no significant differences in 10-year OS and GS among the NED (47.2% and 48.7 %), ED (47.0 % and 48.7 %), and VED (40.0 % and 39.2 %) groups ( P= 0.992 and P= 0.996, respectively). Cox regression analysis identified cold ischemia time ≥8 hours ( HR=1.447, 95% CI: 1.088-1.923, P=0.011), pre-transplant ICU dependence ( HR=1.803, 95% CI: 1.176–2.765, P=0.007), and hepatitis B/C virus infection ( HR =1.432, 95% CI: 1.057-1.941, P=0.020) as independent risk factors for OS in the VED group. Conclusions:Liver grafts from VED grafts significantly reduce long-term OS and GS in recipients, except in those aged ≥70 years where prognosis is comparable to recipients of NED and ED grafts.. For the VED group, factors such as cold ischemia time ≥8 hours, pre-transplant ICU dependence, and hepatitis B/C virus infection markedly influence the prognosis.
