Value of preoperative quantitative quadriceps muscle ultrasound measures in predicting postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery
10.3760/cma.j.cn131073.20240108.00705
- VernacularTitle:术前股四头肌超声定量分析预测胃肠手术老年患者术后谵妄的价值
- Author:
Lan CAO
1
;
Wenxuan JI
;
Cunjin WANG
;
Ju GAO
Author Information
1. 徐州医科大学扬州临床学院，扬州 225001
- Keywords:
Quadriceps muscle;
Ultrasonography;
Delirium;
Postoperative complications;
Aged;
Forecasting
- From:
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology
2024;44(7):791-796
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To evaluate the value of preoperative quantitative quadriceps muscle ultrasound measures in predicting postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery.Methods:This was a prospective study. A total of 277 elderly patients of both sexes, aged 65-88 yr, with American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification ≤ Ⅳ and body mass index of≤30 kg/m 2, undergoing elective gastrointestinal surgery with general anesthesia at the Northern Jiangsu People′s Hospital from March to December 2023, were included in the study. The quadriceps femoris thickness and echo intensity were measured using ultrasound before induction of anesthesia. Delirium was assessed using the Confusion Assessment Method score at 1-7 days after operation. The patients were divided into 2 groups based on the occurrence of POD: POD group and non-POD group. Factors with statistically significant differences between groups were included in the logistic regression analysis to identify the independent risk factors for POD, and then a visual risk Nomogram prediction model for POD risk factors was developed based on this analysis in elderly patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery. The receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and 95% confidence interval ( CI) were used to evaluate the predictive value of each independent risk factor and Nomogram prediction model for POD. The Youden Index was used to determine the critical value for predicting POD, and the sensitivity and specificity were calculated. Results:The results of logistic regression analysis revealed that age, preoperative Mini-Mental State Examination scores, quadriceps femoris thickness and echo intensity of quadriceps femoris were independent risk factors for POD in elderly patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery ( P<0.05). The AUC of preoperative quadriceps femoris thickness was 0.695 (95% CI 0.614-0.746), the critical value 2.465 cm, the sensitivity 73.7% and the specificity 78.2%. The AUC of preoperative quadriceps femoris echo intensity was 0.717 (95% CI 0.662-0.773), the critical value 59.985, the sensitivity 81.9% and the specificity 48.5%. Conclusions:Preoperative ultrasound measurement of quadriceps femoris thickness and echo intensity is an independent risk factor for POD and has some predictive value for POD in elderly patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery.
