Predictive value of GCS-F score combined with arterial lactate for prognosis of elderly patients with spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage
10.3969/j.issn.1009-0126.2024.10.015
- VernacularTitle:格拉斯哥-全面无反应量表评分联合动脉乳酸对老年自发性脑出血患者预后的预测价值
- Author:
Tengyu CHE
1
;
Xin HE
;
Lei LÜ
;
Jie CHENG
;
Xu ZHAO
;
Changxiang CHEN
Author Information
1. 063000 唐山,华北理工大学研究生学院
- Keywords:
cerebral hemorrhage;
prognosis;
forecasting;
logistic models
- From:
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases
2024;26(10):1187-1191
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To investigate the predictive value of Glasgow coma scale(GCS)-Full Out-line of UnResponsiveness(FOUR)scale(GCS-F)score and arterial lactate level for prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH)in elderly patients.Methods A total of 278 elderly ICH patients admitted to Neurosurgical Intensive Care Unit of the Affiliated Hospital of North China Universi-ty of Science and Technology from January 2022 to January 2024 were retrospectively recruited.According score at 90 d after onset,95 of them were assigned into good prognosis group and 183 into poor prognosis group.Basic information,vital signs at admission,pupils,laboratory indica-tors,GCS score and other clinical data were compared between the two groups.Binary logistic re-gression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors of poor prognosis in elderly ICH patients.ROC curve was drawn to analyze the prognostic value of GCS-F score(including eye opening re-sponse and limb movement in GCS,and brainstem response in FOUR scale)combined with lac-tate level in elderly ICH patients.Results Significantly higher blood pressure,elevated levels of blood glucose,creatinine and arterial lactic acid,increased percentages of supratentorial and sub-tentorial bleeding,and larger blood loss,while obviously lower GCS score and GCS-F score were observed in the poor prognosis group than the good prognosis group(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).In the analyses for poor prognosis rate of ICH patients at different levels,the poor prognosis rate of se-vere GCS-F patients was significantly higher than that of patients with same level of GCS score(P＜0.05).Binary logistic regression analysis showed that GPS-F score(OR=1.762,95％CI:1.507-2.061,P=0.000)and arterial lactate level(OR=0.536,95％CI:0.385-0.746,P=0.000)were risk factors for 90-day poor prognosis in elderly ICH patients.ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC value of arterial lactate,GCS score and GCS-F score in predicting 90-day poor prog-nosis in elderly ICH patients was 0.713(95％CI:0.650-0.775),0.827(95％CI:0.774-0.880)and 0.876(95％CI:0.828-0.925),respectively,and the AUC value of GCS-F score combined with arterial lactic acid was 0.919(95％CI:0.886-0.953),which was significantly higher than that of GCS score,GCS-F score and arterial lactic acid alone(P＜0.01).Conclusion GCS-F score has better performance than GCS score in predicting 90-day poor prognosis in elderly ICH pa-tients,especially for severe patients.The GPS-F score combined with arterial lactate level shows the best predictive effectiveness for elderly ICH patients.
