Related risk factors and construction of risk prediction model for hypokalemia in elderly patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage
10.3969/j.issn.1009-0126.2024.09.013
- VernacularTitle:老年急性脑出血患者并发低钾血症的相关危险因素及风险预测模型构建
- Author:
Shaohui LIU
1
;
Xi WU
;
Qianjun SHENGWEN
;
Zhixin WU
;
Siyuan WEI
;
Junna LEI
Author Information
1. 528000 广州中医药大学第八临床医学院佛山市中医院神经重症医学科
- Keywords:
cerebral hemorrhage;
hypokalemia;
risk factors;
comprehensive index model
- From:
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases
2024;26(9):1039-1043
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To explore the related risk factors of hypokalemia in elderly patients with acute cerebral hemorrhage(ACH),and construct a risk prediction model based on logistic regres-sion.Methods A total of 190 elderly ACH patients treated in Foshan Hospital of Traditional Chi-nese Medicine from June 2022 to May 2024 were enrolled as study objects,and were divided into hypokalemic group(potassium＜3.5 mmol/L,n=51)and normal group(potassium 3.5-5.5 mmol/L,n=139)according to whether hypokalemia occurred.Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of hypokalemia in the elderly ACH patients.Based on the identified risk factors,a comprehensive index model was constructed.ROC curve was drawn to analyze the diag-nostic value of the index for occurrence of hypokalemia in the patients.Results Larger female ra-tio,higher NIHSS score at admission,elevated urea nitrogen and blood creatinine at admission,and higher glomerular filtration rate(GFR)≤60 ml/min,and ratio of using hydrochlorothiazide＞20 mg/d were observed in the hypokalemic group than the normal group(P＜0.01).Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that female,NIHSS score at admission,urea nitrogen at ad-mission,serum creatinine at admission,GFR ≤60 ml/min,and hydrochlorothiazide dose＞20 mg/d were risk factors for hypokalemia in the ACH patients(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).Multivariate lo-gistic regression analysis indicated that female,NIHSS score at admission,GFR ≤60 ml/min,and hydrochlorothiazide dose＞20 mg/d were independent risk factors for hypokalemia in the elderly ACH patients(OR=6.393,95％CI:2.138-19.112,P=0.001;OR=3.123,95％CI:2.161-4.513,P=0.000;OR=3.327,95％CI:1.137-9.736,P=0.028;OR=3.111,95％CI:1.083-8.933,P=0.035).ROC curve analysis revealed that the AUC values of female,NIHSS score at admission,GFR,hydrochlorothiazide dose and comprehensive index in predicting hypokalemia in elderly ACH patients were 0.621,0.897,0.601,0.613 and 0.857,with a sensitivity of 52.90％,76.50％,49.00％,54.90％and 72.50％,and a specificity of 71.20％,88.50％,71.20％,67.60％and 87.80％,respectively.Conclusion Female,NIHSS score at admission,GFR ≤60 ml/min,and hydrochlorothiazide dose＞20 mg/d may affect the occurrence of hypokalemia in elderly ACH pa-tients,and our comprehensive index model based on these risk factors has high performance in predicting the occurrence of hypokalemia in elderly ACH patients.
