Predictive value of the Naples prognostic score for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after radical resection
10.3760/cma.j.cn113884-20240315-00072
- VernacularTitle:那不勒斯预后评分对肝内胆管癌患者根治性切除术后预后的预测价值
- Author:
Shuaibo LING
1
;
Luhao LI
;
Zhaochen LIU
;
Suxin LI
;
Lin LI
;
Xiaowei DANG
Author Information
1. 郑州大学第一附属医院肝胆胰外科 河南省卫生健康委员会普通外科（肝胆胰）疾病精准诊疗重点实验室 河南省肝胆胰疾病微创诊治工程研究中心，郑州 450052
- Keywords:
Cholangiocarcinoma;
Naples prognostic score;
Radical resection;
Prognosis
- From:
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery
2024;30(8):586-591
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To study the clinical value of the Naples prognostic score (NPS) in predicting the prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after radical resection and establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods:Clinical data of 77 patients with ICC undergoing radical hepatectomy for the first time in the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2018 to December 2022 were retrospectively collected, including 46 males and 31 females, aged (58.9±11.0) years old. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for NPS to predict the death after radical hepatectomy in ICC patients was 0.673, and the optimal cut-off value for NPS based on the Youden's index was 2.5. According to the optimal cut-off value of NPS, patients were divided into two groups: the low NPS group (patients with NPS≤2.5, n=37) and high NPS group (patients with NPS>2.5, n=40). The clinicopathological data including resection extent, blood transfusion, tumor differentiation, lymphovascular invasion, lymph node metastasis and postoperative complications were compared between the groups. Follow-ups were conducted via outpatient or telephone reviews. Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis, and log-rank test was used for survival comparison. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze the risk factors affecting postoperative survival. A prediction nomogram was established and evaluated. Results:Compared to the low NPS group, the proportion of patients with tumor length ≥5 cm, lymphovascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, tumor carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥37 U/ml and the level of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio were increased in the high NPS group, while the proportion of patients with serum albumin ≥40 g/L was decreased (all P<0.05). The cumulative survival rate of patients in the high NPS group was lower than that of the low NPS group ( P=0.001). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that ICC patients with lymphovascular invasion, lymph node metastasis, and NPS>2.5 had a higher risk of short survival after surgery (all P<0.05). The nomogram model based on NPS has a good predictive capacity. Conclusion:High preoperative NPS score indicates poor postoperative prognosis, and NPS score is an independent risk factor affecting the prognosis of ICC patients.
