The value of prophylactic cranial irradiation in patients with limited-stage small cell lung cancer at different risk of brain metastasis
10.3760/cma.j.cn113030-20230919-00094
- VernacularTitle:局限期小细胞肺癌不同脑转移风险人群脑预防照射的价值
- Author:
Xingyue LI
1
;
Meng YAN
;
Song GUAN
;
Jia TIAN
;
Jianian LAI
;
Chunliu MENG
;
Jintao MA
;
Kai REN
;
Xue LI
;
Lujun ZHAO
Author Information
1. 天津医科大学肿瘤医院放射治疗科，国家恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心，天津市恶性肿瘤临床医学研究中心，天津市肿瘤防治重点实验室，天津 300060
- Keywords:
Small cell lung carcinoma, limited-stage;
Prophylactic cranial irradiation;
Brain metastasis;
Nomogram;
Risk prediction
- From:
Chinese Journal of Radiation Oncology
2024;33(7):606-613
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To establish a brain metastasis (BM) prediction model for limited-stage small cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) patients who achieved complete response (CR) or partial response (PR) after thoracic chemoradiotherapy, and to explore the value of prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) in different risk groups.Methods:Clinical data of 274 patients with LS-SCLC who achieved CR/PR after thoracic chemoradiotherapy in Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute & Hospital from January 2010 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed, including 144 cases in the PCI group and 130 in the non-PCI group. The nomogram was developed based on variables determined by univariate and multivariate analyses in the non-PCI group. The bootstrap method, receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were employed to evaluate the predictive power and clinical benefits of the model. Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups based on risk scores. The brain metastases-free survival (BMFS), progression-free survival (PFS), extracranial progression-free survival (ePFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between patients with and without PCI in different risk-stratified populations using the log-rank test.Results:The nomogram included five variables: systemic immune inflammation index (SII), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), pro-gastrin-releasing peptide precursor (ProGRP), neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and blood calcium. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the nomogram in predicting 1- and 2-year BMFS was 0.761 and 0.822. In the low-risk group, there was no significant difference in the BMFS ( P=0.374), PFS ( P=0.551), ePFS ( P=0.508) and OS ( P=0.767) between the PCI and non-PCI groups. In the high-risk group, PCI could significantly increase the BMFS ( P<0.001) and PFS ( P=0.022), while there was no significant difference in the ePFS ( P=0.963) and OS ( P=0.632). And propensity score-matching (PSM) analysis showed similar results. Conclusions:PCI does not improve OS in LS-SCLC patients regardless of high or low risk of BM. However, PCI significantly prolong the BMFS and PFS in patients at a high risk of BM.
