Predictive value of early gastric cancer model for disease progression in high-risk pop-ulations
10.12354/j.issn.1000-8179.2024.20240205
- VernacularTitle:早期胃癌预测模型对胃癌高危人群疾病进展的预测价值
- Author:
Sun SHUSHEN
1
;
Song RUI
;
Li XUE
;
Lv HONGMIN
Author Information
1. 天津大学津南医院(天津市津南医院)消化内科(300052)
- Keywords:
prediction model;
high-risk population for gastric cancer;
disease progression;
diagnostic efficacy
- From:
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology
2024;51(5):231-235
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To assess the value of a model based on helicobacter pylori(Hp)status and peripheral blood levels of pepsinogen Ⅰ(PGⅠ),PGⅡ,and gastrin-17(G-17)for predicting disease progression in high-risk populations for gastric cancer.Methods:Retrospective se-lection of clinical data from 126 high-risk individuals for gastric cancer who underwent PGⅠ,PGⅡ,G-17,and C14 urea breath tests and gastro-scopy tissue biopsy at Tianjin University Jinnan Hospital from January 2023 to January 2024,Based on pathological biopsy results using gast-ric cancer tissues obtained by gastroscopy,the high-risk population for gastric cancer was assigned into normal control,precancerous lesion,and early gastric cancer groups.The diagnostic efficacies of PGⅠ,PGⅡ,G-17,C14 urea breath,and other indicators in each patient group were determined,and a predictive model was constructed.Results:The HP-positivity rate(82.35％)and PGⅡ level(22.73 ng/mL)in the early gastric cancer group were higher than those in the precancerous lesion and control groups.The PGI level(51.36 ng/mL)was lower in early gastric cancer than in precancerous lesions and control tissues.The G-17 level(5.17 pmol/L)was lower in the precancerous lesion group than in the control and early gastric cancer groups(P<0.05).Combined use of PGⅠ、PGⅡ、G-17and Hp,the area under curve(AUC)can reach 0.899,a sensitivity of 94.12％,and a specificity of 95.65％,making these factors ideal diagnostic tools for gastric cancer.According to the prediction model,the threshold for precancerous lesions was 10 points,and the critical value for early cancer was 19 points.Conclu-sions:Implementation of the C14 urea breath test combined with PGⅠ,PGⅡ,and G-17 detection in high-risk populations for gastric cancer can help monitor disease progression in high-risk populations for gastric cancer.
