Development and validation of a risk model for postoperative olfactory impairment in patients with chronic sinusitis with nasal polyps based on immunoinflammatory indexes
10.3969/j.issn.1000-484X.2024.09.023
- VernacularTitle:基于免疫炎症指标的慢性鼻窦炎伴鼻息肉患者术后嗅觉障碍风险模型的建立及验证
- Author:
Jie SONG
1
;
Yilong WANG
;
Chunrong ZENG
Author Information
1. 海南医学院第二附属医院耳鼻咽喉头颈外科,海口 570000
- Keywords:
Chronic sinusitis;
Nasal polyps;
Olfactory impairment
- From:
Chinese Journal of Immunology
2024;40(9):1933-1939
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To explore the establishment and validation of a risk model for postoperative olfactory impairment in pa-tients with chronic sinusitis with nasal polyps(CRSwNP)based on immunoinflammatory indexes.Methods:Retrospective analysis of 100 patients who attended CRSwNP in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical College from October 2020 to October 2022 all underwent nasal endoscopic surgery and were divided into no olfactory impairment group(44 cases)and olfactory impairment group(56 cases)according to the results of postoperative olfactory test,baseline data and routine examination indexes of the two groups were compared and analyzed,independent risk variables affecting olfactory impairment in CRSwNP patients were analyzed by Logistic multifactorial regression,and columnar graph prediction model was constructed and validated.Results:There were statistical-ly significant differences in staging,lesion site,Lund-Mackay score,anterior olfactory fissure score,posterior olfactory fissure score,percentage of serum eosinophils,olfactory marker protein-positive cell count in the upper turbinate mucosa,and urea nitrogen be-tween the two groups of CRSwNP patients(P<0.05).IL-5,human eosinophil cationic protein(ECP)/peroxidase(MPO),tissue inhib-itor of metalloproteinases 1(TIMP1),chemokine 2(CCL2),chemokine 3(CCL3),chemokine 4(CCL4),total immunoglobulin E(IgE)of tissue specimens,and total IgE of serum specimens in the olfactory impairment group were higher than those in the group without olfactory impairment,the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).The multifactorial logistic results were that stag-ing,lesion site,Lund-Mackay score,anterior olfactory fissure score,posterior olfactory fissure score,IL-5,ECP/MPO,CCL4,and total IgE of tissue specimens were all independent risk factors affecting olfactory impairment in patients with CRSwNP;while olfactory marker protein-positive cell count in the upper turbinate mucosa was an independent protective factor for olfactory impairment in pa-tients with CRSwNP.The results were validated by establishing a line graph model.The validation results of building the column line graph model suggested that the C-index of the training and validation sets were 0.858 and 0.825,respectively,and the area under the characteristic curve(AUC)of the subject patients were 0.853 and 0.815,respectively.Conclusion:A model to explore the risk of postoperative olfactory impairment in CRSwNP patients based on immunoinflammatory indexes has been established,the model with high predictive performance to help guide clinical decision making.
